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GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

GXO NYSE Transportation Services DE CIK: 0001852244
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 10, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
69% Confidence
AGREEMENT
SELL
72% Conf
HOLD
66% Conf

📊 GXO Key Takeaways

Revenue: $13.2B
Net Margin: 0.2%
Free Cash Flow: $110.0M
Current Ratio: 0.85x
Debt/Equity: 0.88x
EPS: $0.28
AI Rating: SELL with 72% confidence
GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO) receives a SELL rating with 69% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $13.2B, net profit margin of 0.2%, and return on equity (ROE) of 1.1%, GXO Logistics, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Transportation sector. Below is our complete GXO stock analysis for 2026.

Is GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO) a Good Investment?

Claude

GXO exhibits severe earnings deterioration despite solid 12.5% revenue growth, with EPS collapsing 75% YoY and net margins at critically thin 0.2%, indicating fundamental operational challenges or pricing pressure that cannot be sustained. The company generates adequate operating cash flow but returns minimal capital to shareholders (1.1% ROE, 0.3% ROA) while maintaining elevated debt, suggesting the growth strategy is not translating to profitable expansion.

ChatGPT

Solid double-digit revenue growth and manageable leverage with strong interest coverage are positives, but profitability is extremely thin. EPS and net margin declined, liquidity is sub-1x, and free cash flow conversion is weak. Patience is warranted until margins and cash conversion improve.

Why Buy GXO Logistics, Inc. Stock? GXO Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Solid top-line growth of 12.5% YoY demonstrates market demand
  • + Adequate operating cash flow of 434M supports operational needs
  • + Strong interest coverage ratio of 18.8x indicates manageable debt service
ChatGPT
  • + 12.5% YoY revenue growth to $13.18B
  • + Strong interest coverage (18.8x) and moderate leverage (D/E 0.88x)
  • + Positive free cash flow ($110M) and sizable cash balance ($854M)

GXO Stock Risks: GXO Logistics, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! EPS declined 75% YoY despite revenue growth signals severe margin compression or structural profitability issues
  • ! Net margin of 0.2% leaves virtually no buffer for operational challenges or cost pressures
  • ! Current ratio of 0.85x indicates working capital constraints and potential short-term liquidity stress
  • ! Extremely poor capital efficiency (1.1% ROE, 0.3% ROA) suggests capital is not being deployed productively
  • ! Net income declining 11.1% YoY while revenue grows indicates deteriorating operational performance
ChatGPT
  • ! Very thin profitability (1.9% operating margin, 0.2% net margin) and EPS down 75% YoY
  • ! Sub-1.0 current and quick ratios (0.85x) signal working-capital strain
  • ! High capex needs relative to OCF limiting FCF margin (0.8%)

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Quarterly operating margin trend and gross margin recovery
  • * Year-over-year earnings growth and EPS trajectory stabilization
  • * Free cash flow conversion and capital expenditure efficiency
  • * Working capital management and current ratio improvement above 1.0x
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin (%)
  • * Free cash flow margin (%)

GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$13.2B
Net Income
$32.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.28
Free Cash Flow
$110.0M
Total Assets
$12.3B
Cash Position
$854.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 0.8% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

GXO Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 1.9%
Net Margin 0.2%
ROE 1.1%
ROA 0.3%
FCF Margin 0.8%

GXO vs Transportation Sector: How GXO Logistics, Inc. Compares

How GXO Logistics, Inc. compares to Transportation sector averages

Net Margin
GXO 0.2%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
GXO Sector
ROE
GXO 1.1%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
GXO Sector
Current Ratio
GXO 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
GXO Sector
Debt/Equity
GXO 0.9x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
GXO Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is GXO Logistics, Inc. Stock Overvalued? GXO Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, GXO Logistics, Inc. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Transportation sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
1.1%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
0.2%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.88x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

GXO Logistics, Inc. Balance Sheet: GXO Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.85x
Quick Ratio
0.85x
Debt/Equity
0.88x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
18.85x
Long-term Debt
$2.6B

GXO Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

GXO 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $7.9B, Net Income $60.0M, EPS $0.52. Year 2022: Revenue $9.0B, Net Income -$31.0M, EPS $-0.27. Year 2023: Revenue $9.8B, Net Income $153.0M, EPS $1.32. Year 2024: Revenue $11.7B, Net Income $197.0M, EPS $1.67. Year 2025: Revenue $13.2B, Net Income $229.0M, EPS $1.92.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: GXO Logistics, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 66% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $1.92 reflects profitable operations.

GXO Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
0.8%
Free cash flow / Revenue

GXO Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for GXO Logistics, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $3.2B -$11.0M $-0.09
Q2 2025 $2.8B $1.0M $0.01
Q1 2025 $2.5B -$37.0M $-0.31
Q3 2024 $2.5B $33.0M $0.28
Q2 2024 $2.4B $1.0M $0.01
Q1 2024 $2.3B $25.0M $0.21
Q3 2023 $2.3B $63.0M $0.53
Q2 2023 $2.2B $51.0M $0.44

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

GXO Logistics, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$434.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$200.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$324.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

GXO SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for GXO Logistics, Inc. (CIK: 0001852244)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 8, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775685716.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775163358.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775162630.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775162529.xml View →
Mar 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773181580.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about GXO

What is the AI rating for GXO?

GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 69% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are GXO's key strengths?

Claude: Solid top-line growth of 12.5% YoY demonstrates market demand. Adequate operating cash flow of 434M supports operational needs. ChatGPT: 12.5% YoY revenue growth to $13.18B. Strong interest coverage (18.8x) and moderate leverage (D/E 0.88x).

What are the risks of investing in GXO?

Claude: EPS declined 75% YoY despite revenue growth signals severe margin compression or structural profitability issues. Net margin of 0.2% leaves virtually no buffer for operational challenges or cost pressures. ChatGPT: Very thin profitability (1.9% operating margin, 0.2% net margin) and EPS down 75% YoY. Sub-1.0 current and quick ratios (0.85x) signal working-capital strain.

What is GXO's revenue and growth?

GXO Logistics, Inc. reported revenue of $13.2B.

Does GXO pay dividends?

GXO Logistics, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find GXO SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for GXO Logistics, Inc. (CIK: 0001852244) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is GXO's EPS?

GXO Logistics, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.28.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is GXO a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, GXO Logistics, Inc. has a SELL rating with 69% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is GXO stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for GXO: ROE of 1.1% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 0.2% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy GXO stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives GXO Logistics, Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is GXO's free cash flow?

GXO Logistics, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $434.0M, with capital expenditures of $324.0M. FCF margin is 0.8%.

How does GXO compare to other Transportation stocks?

Vs Transportation sector averages: Net margin 0.2% (avg: 10%), ROE 1.1% (avg: 18%), current ratio 0.85 (avg: 1).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 10, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI