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Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (GBTG) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

GBTG NYSE Transportation Services DE CIK: 0001820872
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 12, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
C
77% Confidence
AGREEMENT
C
78% Conf
B
76% Conf

📊 GBTG Key Takeaways

Revenue: $840.0M
Net Margin: 6.2%
Free Cash Flow: $-52.0M
Current Ratio: 1.18x
Debt/Equity: 0.94x
EPS: $0.10
AI Grade: C with 78% confidence
Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (GBTG) receives a C fundamental grade with 77% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $840.0M, net profit margin of 6.2%, and return on equity (ROE) of 3.2%, Global Business Travel Group, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Transportation sector. Below is our complete GBTG stock analysis for 2026.

Is Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (GBTG) a Good Investment?

Claude

Global Business Travel Group exhibits concerning operational fundamentals with negative operating cash flow of -$15M and free cash flow of -$52M despite 12.2% revenue growth, indicating deteriorating cash generation quality. The critical interest coverage ratio of 0.1x signals the company cannot service debt from operating income, creating existential financial risk. Weak capital returns (ROE 3.2%, ROA 1.0%) and razor-thin operating margins (0.4%) demonstrate structural profitability challenges requiring fundamental business model improvement.

ChatGPT

Global Business Travel Group shows solid top-line momentum, positive operating leverage, and healthy cash generation, which supports a constructive fundamental view. However, overall profitability remains thin, free cash flow conversion is modest, and leverage with only moderate interest coverage limits the margin of safety. The business looks fundamentally stable but not strong enough yet to justify a more aggressive rating.

Global Business Travel Group, Inc. Key Strengths (GBTG)

Claude
  • + Solid revenue growth of 12.2% year-over-year demonstrates market demand in transportation services sector
  • + Adequate liquidity position with $442M in cash providing near-term operational cushion
  • + Manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.94x indicates balanced capital structure relative to equity base
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue grew 12.2% year over year, indicating continued demand recovery and business momentum
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $233M and free cash flow of $104M show the company is generating real cash
  • + Balance sheet liquidity is adequate with $434M in cash and current and quick ratios of 1.14x

GBTG Stock Risks: Global Business Travel Group, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critical interest coverage ratio of 0.1x means operating income cannot cover interest expenses, creating debt service sustainability crisis
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$52M is fundamentally unsustainable and indicates business is consuming rather than generating capital
  • ! Negative operating cash flow of -$15M despite positive net income reveals severe earnings quality issues and deteriorating operational cash conversion
ChatGPT
  • ! Operating and net margins remain thin at 4.8% and 4.0%, leaving earnings vulnerable to cost pressure or slower growth
  • ! Long-term debt of $1.42B and interest coverage of 3.9x indicate leverage is still meaningful
  • ! Net income declined 1.8% year over year despite strong revenue growth, raising some concern about earnings quality and expense discipline

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow - must return to positive immediately to demonstrate business sustainability
  • * Interest coverage ratio - requires improvement to 2.5x+ to indicate debt service stability and refinancing ability
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin expansion and net income growth
  • * Free cash flow conversion and interest coverage

Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (GBTG) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$840.0M
Net Income
$52.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.10
Free Cash Flow
$-52.0M
Total Assets
$5.1B
Cash Position
$442.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Global Business Travel Group, Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

GBTG Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 0.4%
Net Margin 6.2%
ROE 3.2%
ROA 1.0%
FCF Margin -6.2%

GBTG vs Transportation Sector: How Global Business Travel Group, Inc. Compares

How Global Business Travel Group, Inc. compares to Transportation sector averages

Net Margin
GBTG 6.2%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
GBTG Sector
ROE
GBTG 3.2%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
GBTG Sector
Current Ratio
GBTG 1.2x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
GBTG Sector
Debt/Equity
GBTG 0.9x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
GBTG Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Global Business Travel Group, Inc. Stock Overvalued? GBTG Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Global Business Travel Group, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Transportation sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
3.2%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
6.2%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.94x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Global Business Travel Group, Inc. Balance Sheet: GBTG Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.18x
Quick Ratio
1.18x
Debt/Equity
0.94x
Debt/Assets
67.2%
Interest Coverage
0.09x
Long-term Debt
$1.5B

GBTG Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

GBTG 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $0, Net Income -$1.9K, EPS N/A. Year 2022: Revenue $1.9B, Net Income N/A, EPS $-0.51. Year 2023: Revenue $2.3B, Net Income N/A, EPS $-0.51. Year 2024: Revenue $2.4B, Net Income N/A, EPS $-0.51. Year 2025: Revenue $2.7B, Net Income N/A, EPS $-0.30.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Global Business Travel Group, Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $-0.30 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

GBTG Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-6.2%
Free cash flow / Revenue

GBTG Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Global Business Travel Group, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $621.0M $54.0M $0.10
Q3 2025 $597.0M $15.0M $0.05
Q2 2025 $625.0M $8.0M $0.01
Q1 2025 $610.0M -$19.0M $-0.04
Q3 2024 $571.0M -$8.0M $-0.02
Q2 2024 $592.0M $8.0M $0.01
Q1 2024 $578.0M -$19.0M $-0.04
Q3 2023 $488.0M -$8.0M $-0.02

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Global Business Travel Group, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$15.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$38.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$37.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

GBTG SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (CIK: 0001820872)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Jun 8, 2026 8-K ny20072693x3_8k.htm View →
Jun 5, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Jun 5, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Jun 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/primarydocument.xml View →
May 18, 2026 8-K gbtg-20260513.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about GBTG

What is the AI rating for GBTG?

Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (GBTG) has a Combined AI Grade of C from Claude (C) and ChatGPT (B) with 77% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are GBTG's key strengths?

Claude: Solid revenue growth of 12.2% year-over-year demonstrates market demand in transportation services sector. Adequate liquidity position with $442M in cash providing near-term operational cushion. ChatGPT: Revenue grew 12.2% year over year, indicating continued demand recovery and business momentum. Positive operating cash flow of $233M and free cash flow of $104M show the company is generating real cash.

What are the risks of investing in GBTG?

Claude: Critical interest coverage ratio of 0.1x means operating income cannot cover interest expenses, creating debt service sustainability crisis. Negative free cash flow of -$52M is fundamentally unsustainable and indicates business is consuming rather than generating capital. ChatGPT: Operating and net margins remain thin at 4.8% and 4.0%, leaving earnings vulnerable to cost pressure or slower growth. Long-term debt of $1.42B and interest coverage of 3.9x indicate leverage is still meaningful.

What is GBTG's revenue and growth?

Global Business Travel Group, Inc. reported revenue of $840.0M.

Does GBTG pay dividends?

Global Business Travel Group, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find GBTG SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (CIK: 0001820872) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is GBTG's EPS?

Global Business Travel Group, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.10.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is GBTG's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in June 2026, Global Business Travel Group, Inc. has a C grade with 77% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is GBTG stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for GBTG: ROE of 3.2% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 6.2% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is GBTG's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Global Business Travel Group, Inc. a combined C grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is GBTG's free cash flow?

Global Business Travel Group, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $-15.0M, with capital expenditures of $37.0M. FCF margin is -6.2%.

How does GBTG compare to other Transportation stocks?

Vs Transportation sector averages: Net margin 6.2% (avg: 10%), ROE 3.2% (avg: 18%), current ratio 1.18 (avg: 1).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 12, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI