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Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

MSFT Nasdaq Services-Prepackaged Software WA CIK: 0000789019
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 18, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
BUY
91% Confidence
AGREEMENT
STRONG BUY
92% Conf
BUY
90% Conf

📊 MSFT Key Takeaways

Revenue: $158.9B
Net Margin: 41.7%
Free Cash Flow: $31.5B
Current Ratio: 1.39x
Debt/Equity: 0.10x
EPS: $8.87
AI Rating: STRONG BUY with 92% confidence
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) receives a BUY rating with 91% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $158.9B, net profit margin of 41.7%, and return on equity (ROE) of 16.9%, Microsoft Corp. demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Technology sector. Below is our complete MSFT stock analysis for 2026.

Is Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) a Good Investment?

Claude

Microsoft demonstrates exceptional financial health with industry-leading profitability metrics (41.7% net margin, 48.0% operating margin) and strong revenue growth of 14.9% YoY, supported by robust cash generation. The company maintains a fortress balance sheet with minimal leverage (0.10x debt/equity), exceptional liquidity (1.39x current ratio), and impressive free cash flow of $31.5B, positioning it to fund operations, R&D, and shareholder returns sustainably.

ChatGPT

Microsoft shows exceptional fundamental quality with high-margin growth, as revenue rose 14.9% while net income and diluted EPS both grew about 15.5%, indicating strong operating leverage and disciplined execution. Financial health is robust, with low leverage, strong liquidity, and very high interest coverage, though elevated capital expenditure has reduced free cash flow conversion and should be monitored for return efficiency.

Why Buy Microsoft Corp. Stock? MSFT Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional profitability with 41.7% net margin and 48% operating margin, among the highest in enterprise software
  • + Strong double-digit revenue growth (14.9% YoY) combined with 15.5% net income growth demonstrates operating leverage
  • + Fortress balance sheet with low leverage (0.10x D/E), strong liquidity (1.39x current ratio), and substantial free cash flow ($31.5B)
  • + Excellent cash generation with 80.8B operating cash flow and 19.8% FCF margin enabling continuous investment in high-growth areas
  • + Superior returns on equity (16.9%) and assets (10.0%) indicate efficient capital deployment
  • + Strong interest coverage ratio (26.0x) indicates minimal financial distress risk
ChatGPT
  • + Exceptional profitability, including 68.5% gross margin, 48.0% operating margin, and 41.7% net margin
  • + Strong earnings quality with double-digit revenue, net income, and EPS growth occurring together
  • + Healthy balance sheet with low debt/equity of 0.10x, solid liquidity, and 26.0x interest coverage

MSFT Stock Risks: Microsoft Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Mature market saturation in traditional software segments requiring continuous innovation to sustain growth rates
  • ! High capital expenditure requirements ($49.3B) for cloud infrastructure and AI capabilities may pressure future free cash flow margins
  • ! Significant insider selling activity (31 Form 4 filings in 90 days) warrants monitoring for potential management concerns
  • ! Heavy dependence on cloud and AI market adoption continuing at current trajectory to maintain growth momentum
  • ! Regulatory and antitrust pressures in key markets could impact revenue and operating flexibility
ChatGPT
  • ! Capital expenditures are very high at $49.27B, pressuring free cash flow despite strong operating cash generation
  • ! Current ROE and ROA are solid but not extreme relative to the company’s large asset and equity base, so capital efficiency must keep improving
  • ! Sustaining nearly 15% growth at Microsoft’s scale will require continued strong execution across major product segments

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin sustainability and gross margin trends given rising capital intensity
  • * Free cash flow trajectory and CapEx as percentage of revenue amid cloud infrastructure investments
  • * Revenue growth rate deceleration in mature segments offset by AI/cloud acceleration
  • * Return on invested capital (ROIC) trends to validate efficiency of massive CapEx programs
  • * Debt/Equity ratio changes if leverage increases to fund strategic initiatives
ChatGPT
  • * Free cash flow margin and capex intensity
  • * Revenue growth versus operating income growth

Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$158.9B
Net Income
$66.2B
EPS (Diluted)
$8.87
Free Cash Flow
$31.5B
Total Assets
$665.3B
Cash Position
$24.3B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Microsoft Corp. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

MSFT Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 68.5%
Operating Margin 48.0%
Net Margin 41.7%
ROE 16.9%
ROA 10.0%
FCF Margin 19.8%

MSFT vs Technology Sector: How Microsoft Corp. Compares

How Microsoft Corp. compares to Technology sector averages

Net Margin
MSFT 41.7%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
MSFT Sector
ROE
MSFT 16.9%
vs
Sector Avg 22.0%
MSFT Sector
Current Ratio
MSFT 1.4x
vs
Sector Avg 2.5x
MSFT Sector
Debt/Equity
MSFT 0.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.5x
MSFT Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Microsoft Corp. Stock Overvalued? MSFT Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Microsoft Corp. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Technology sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
16.9%
Sector avg: 22%
Net Profit Margin
41.7%
Sector avg: 18%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.10x
Sector avg: 0.5x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Microsoft Corp. Balance Sheet: MSFT Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.39x
Quick Ratio
1.38x
Debt/Equity
0.10x
Debt/Assets
41.2%
Interest Coverage
25.97x
Long-term Debt
$40.3B

MSFT Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

MSFT 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $168.1B, Net Income $39.2B, EPS $5.06. Year 2022: Revenue $198.3B, Net Income $44.3B, EPS $5.76. Year 2023: Revenue $211.9B, Net Income $61.3B, EPS $8.05. Year 2024: Revenue $245.1B, Net Income $72.7B, EPS $9.65. Year 2025: Revenue $281.7B, Net Income $72.4B, EPS $9.68.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Microsoft Corp.'s revenue has grown significantly by 68% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $9.68 reflects profitable operations.

MSFT Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
19.8%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MSFT Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Microsoft Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $69.6B $24.1B $3.23
Q1 2026 $65.6B $24.7B $3.30
Q3 2025 $61.9B $21.9B $2.94
Q2 2025 $62.0B $21.9B $2.93
Q1 2025 $56.5B $22.3B $2.99
Q3 2024 $52.9B $18.3B $2.45
Q2 2024 $52.7B $16.4B $2.20
Q1 2024 $50.1B $17.6B $2.35

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Microsoft Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$80.8B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$13.1B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$49.3B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$12.9B
Returned to shareholders

MSFT SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Microsoft Corp. (CIK: 0000789019)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 15, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 13, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 13, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 13, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MSFT

What is the AI rating for MSFT?

Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (STRONG BUY) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 91% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MSFT's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional profitability with 41.7% net margin and 48% operating margin, among the highest in enterprise software. Strong double-digit revenue growth (14.9% YoY) combined with 15.5% net income growth demonstrates operating leverage. ChatGPT: Exceptional profitability, including 68.5% gross margin, 48.0% operating margin, and 41.7% net margin. Strong earnings quality with double-digit revenue, net income, and EPS growth occurring together.

What are the risks of investing in MSFT?

Claude: Mature market saturation in traditional software segments requiring continuous innovation to sustain growth rates. High capital expenditure requirements ($49.3B) for cloud infrastructure and AI capabilities may pressure future free cash flow margins. ChatGPT: Capital expenditures are very high at $49.27B, pressuring free cash flow despite strong operating cash generation. Current ROE and ROA are solid but not extreme relative to the company’s large asset and equity base, so capital efficiency must keep improving.

What is MSFT's revenue and growth?

Microsoft Corp. reported revenue of $158.9B.

Does MSFT pay dividends?

Microsoft Corp. pays dividends, with $12,931.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find MSFT SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Microsoft Corp. (CIK: 0000789019) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MSFT's EPS?

Microsoft Corp. has a diluted EPS of $8.87.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MSFT a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Microsoft Corp. has a BUY rating with 91% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is MSFT stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MSFT: ROE of 16.9% (sector avg: 22%), net margin of 41.7% (sector avg: 18%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy MSFT stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Microsoft Corp. a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MSFT's free cash flow?

Microsoft Corp.'s operating cash flow is $80.8B, with capital expenditures of $49.3B. FCF margin is 19.8%.

How does MSFT compare to other Technology stocks?

Vs Technology sector averages: Net margin 41.7% (avg: 18%), ROE 16.9% (avg: 22%), current ratio 1.39 (avg: 2.5).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 18, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI