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Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

EXPE Nasdaq Transportation Services DE CIK: 0001324424
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 24, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
BUY
72% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
BUY
72% Conf
BUY
73% Conf

📊 EXPE Key Takeaways

Revenue: $14.7B
Net Margin: 8.8%
Free Cash Flow: $3.1B
Current Ratio: 0.73x
Debt/Equity: 4.80x
EPS: $9.81
AI Rating: BUY with 72% confidence
Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) receives a BUY rating with 72% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $14.7B, net profit margin of 8.8%, and return on equity (ROE) of 100.8%, Expedia Group, Inc. demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Transportation sector. Below is our complete EXPE stock analysis for 2026.

Is Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) a Good Investment?

Claude

Expedia demonstrates solid operational performance with 7.6% revenue growth, strong profitability (12.7% operating margin, 8.8% net margin), and exceptional free cash flow generation ($3.1B, 21.1% margin). However, significant leverage (4.8x Debt/Equity) and weak liquidity (0.73x current ratio) present financial stability concerns that temper the otherwise healthy operational fundamentals.

ChatGPT

Expedia shows solid fundamental quality through healthy revenue growth, double-digit operating margins, and very strong free cash flow generation. The business appears operationally resilient, but flat net income, weak liquidity, and elevated leverage keep the outlook from being more aggressive.

Why Buy Expedia Group, Inc. Stock? EXPE Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong free cash flow generation ($3.1B, 21.1% FCF margin) demonstrating capital-efficient operations
  • + Excellent interest coverage ratio (30.2x) indicating strong ability to service debt obligations
  • + Solid revenue growth (7.6% YoY) with expanding operating income in a competitive travel services market
  • + Exceptional ROE (100.8%) reflecting efficient use of shareholder capital despite leverage
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue grew 7.6% year over year while maintaining a 12.7% operating margin
  • + Free cash flow is strong at $3.11B, equal to a robust 21.1% FCF margin
  • + Cash generation and interest coverage of 30.2x support debt servicing capacity

EXPE Stock Risks: Expedia Group, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! High financial leverage (4.8x Debt/Equity) with $6.2B long-term debt against only $1.3B equity creates refinancing risk
  • ! Weak liquidity position (0.73x current ratio) raises concerns about short-term obligations coverage
  • ! Modest net income decline (-0.5% YoY) despite revenue growth suggests margin pressure or operational challenges
  • ! Net margin of 8.8% provides limited cushion for adverse market conditions or competitive pressures
ChatGPT
  • ! Current and quick ratios of 0.73x indicate limited short-term balance sheet flexibility
  • ! Debt-to-equity of 4.80x is high and equity is relatively thin at $1.28B
  • ! Net income declined 0.5% year over year, suggesting earnings growth is lagging revenue growth

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Debt reduction trajectory and Debt/Equity ratio trend to improve financial leverage
  • * Liquidity metrics (current ratio, cash position) to ensure operational flexibility
  • * Operating margin sustainability amid pricing competition and cost inflation
  • * Free cash flow conversion rate relative to revenue growth to validate capital efficiency
ChatGPT
  • * Free cash flow conversion and operating cash flow trend
  • * Leverage and liquidity, especially debt levels versus cash and current ratio

Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$14.7B
Net Income
$1.3B
EPS (Diluted)
$9.81
Free Cash Flow
$3.1B
Total Assets
$24.5B
Cash Position
$5.4B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 21.1% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

EXPE Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 12.7%
Net Margin 8.8%
ROE 100.8%
ROA 5.3%
FCF Margin 21.1%

EXPE vs Transportation Sector: How Expedia Group, Inc. Compares

How Expedia Group, Inc. compares to Transportation sector averages

Net Margin
EXPE 8.8%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
EXPE Sector
ROE
EXPE 100.8%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
EXPE Sector
Current Ratio
EXPE 0.7x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
EXPE Sector
Debt/Equity
EXPE 4.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
EXPE Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Expedia Group, Inc. Stock Overvalued? EXPE Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Expedia Group, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Transportation sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
100.8%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
8.8%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
4.80x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Expedia Group, Inc. Balance Sheet: EXPE Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.73x
Quick Ratio
0.73x
Debt/Equity
4.80x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
30.18x
Long-term Debt
$6.2B

EXPE Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

EXPE 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $12.1B, Net Income $565.0M, EPS $3.77. Year 2022: Revenue $11.7B, Net Income -$2.6B, EPS $-19.00. Year 2023: Revenue $12.8B, Net Income $12.0M, EPS $-1.80. Year 2024: Revenue $13.7B, Net Income $352.0M, EPS $2.17. Year 2025: Revenue $14.7B, Net Income $797.0M, EPS $5.31.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Expedia Group, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 22% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $5.31 reflects profitable operations.

EXPE Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
21.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

EXPE Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Expedia Group, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $4.1B $684.0M $5.04
Q2 2025 $3.6B $130.0M $0.96
Q1 2025 $2.9B -$135.0M $-0.99
Q3 2024 $3.9B $425.0M $2.87
Q2 2024 $3.4B $240.0M $1.55
Q1 2024 $2.7B -$135.0M $-0.95
Q3 2023 $3.6B $175.0M $1.08
Q2 2023 $3.2B -$185.0M $-1.17

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Expedia Group, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$3.9B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$1.9B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$770.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$200.0M
Returned to shareholders

EXPE SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Expedia Group, Inc. (CIK: 0001324424)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 15, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →
Apr 10, 2026 8-K tm2611456d1_8k.htm View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about EXPE

What is the AI rating for EXPE?

Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (BUY) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 72% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are EXPE's key strengths?

Claude: Strong free cash flow generation ($3.1B, 21.1% FCF margin) demonstrating capital-efficient operations. Excellent interest coverage ratio (30.2x) indicating strong ability to service debt obligations. ChatGPT: Revenue grew 7.6% year over year while maintaining a 12.7% operating margin. Free cash flow is strong at $3.11B, equal to a robust 21.1% FCF margin.

What are the risks of investing in EXPE?

Claude: High financial leverage (4.8x Debt/Equity) with $6.2B long-term debt against only $1.3B equity creates refinancing risk. Weak liquidity position (0.73x current ratio) raises concerns about short-term obligations coverage. ChatGPT: Current and quick ratios of 0.73x indicate limited short-term balance sheet flexibility. Debt-to-equity of 4.80x is high and equity is relatively thin at $1.28B.

What is EXPE's revenue and growth?

Expedia Group, Inc. reported revenue of $14.7B.

Does EXPE pay dividends?

Expedia Group, Inc. pays dividends, with $200.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find EXPE SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Expedia Group, Inc. (CIK: 0001324424) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is EXPE's EPS?

Expedia Group, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $9.81.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is EXPE a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Expedia Group, Inc. has a BUY rating with 72% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is EXPE stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for EXPE: ROE of 100.8% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 8.8% (sector avg: 10%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy EXPE stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Expedia Group, Inc. a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is EXPE's free cash flow?

Expedia Group, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $3.9B, with capital expenditures of $770.0M. FCF margin is 21.1%.

How does EXPE compare to other Transportation stocks?

Vs Transportation sector averages: Net margin 8.8% (avg: 10%), ROE 100.8% (avg: 18%), current ratio 0.73 (avg: 1).

Is Expedia Group, Inc. carrying too much debt?

EXPE has a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.80x, which is above the Transportation sector average of 1x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

Why is EXPE's return on equity (ROE) so high?

Expedia Group, Inc. has a return on equity of 100.8%, significantly above the Transportation sector average of 18%. A high ROE indicates the company is efficient at generating profits from shareholder equity. This is supported by a 8.8% net margin.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 24, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI