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BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (BRSP) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

BRSP NYSE Real Estate Investment Trusts MD CIK: 0001717547
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 21, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
📅 Next earnings: Apr 28, 2026 (in 12 days) • After-hours ET • EPS est. $0.13 (vs $0.13 prior year) • All earnings →
Combined AI Rating
SELL
87% Confidence
AGREEMENT
STRONG SELL
92% Conf
SELL
82% Conf

📊 BRSP Key Takeaways

Revenue: $330.6M
Net Margin: -9.4%
Free Cash Flow: $73.0M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 2.63x
EPS: $-0.26
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 92% confidence
BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (BRSP) receives a SELL rating with 87% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $330.6M, net profit margin of -9.4%, and return on equity (ROE) of -3.3%, BrightSpire Capital, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Real Estate sector. Below is our complete BRSP stock analysis for 2026.

Is BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (BRSP) a Good Investment?

Claude

BrightSpire Capital exhibits severe profitability deterioration with negative operating margins (-13.4%), net margins (-9.4%), and negative returns on both equity (-3.3%) and assets (-0.9%), indicating fundamental operational challenges in their real estate portfolio. Despite positive free cash flow of $73.0M, the company's negative net income of -$31.1M, combined with high leverage at 2.63x debt-to-equity and deteriorating interest coverage of -1.9x, signals significant financial stress. The declining revenue (-7.9% YoY) alongside persistent losses suggests structural issues in the business model that free cash flow generation alone cannot offset.

ChatGPT

BrightSpire Capital’s fundamentals show a stressed earnings profile, with negative operating income, negative net margin, and weak returns on equity and assets despite some year-over-year improvement in net income and EPS. The balance sheet is highly leveraged, with debt at 2.63x equity and negative interest coverage, which raises refinancing and earnings durability concerns. Positive operating cash flow is a stabilizing factor, but the overall growth quality and financial health remain weak.

Why Buy BrightSpire Capital, Inc. Stock? BRSP Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Positive free cash flow of $73.0M despite net losses, indicating ability to service debt in near term
  • + Substantial asset base of $3.6B provides collateral and operational foundation for REIT operations
  • + Improved net loss trajectory with net income improving 5.6% YoY, showing some stabilization efforts
ChatGPT
  • + Positive operating cash flow and free cash flow generation of $73.03M
  • + Year-over-year improvement in net income and diluted EPS despite remaining negative
  • + Meaningful equity base of $938.43M supports balance sheet resilience

BRSP Stock Risks: BrightSpire Capital, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Persistent unprofitability with negative operating income of -$44.3M and net losses of -$31.1M indicating core business dysfunction
  • ! Unsustainable leverage at 2.63x debt-to-equity with $2.5B long-term debt and negative interest coverage (-1.9x), creating debt service risk
  • ! Revenue decline of 7.9% YoY combined with deteriorating margins suggests continued portfolio stress and reduced asset yields
ChatGPT
  • ! Negative operating margin and net margin indicate an unprofitable core earnings profile
  • ! High leverage with $2.47B of long-term debt and 2.63x debt-to-equity
  • ! Negative interest coverage suggests earnings are insufficient to comfortably service debt

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin trend - critical inflection point needed to move from -13.4% toward positive territory
  • * Interest coverage ratio improvement - currently at -1.9x, must turn positive to reduce default risk
  • * Revenue stabilization - address the YoY decline of -7.9% through portfolio optimization or tenant retention
ChatGPT
  • * Interest coverage and debt reduction trend
  • * Net income margin and operating cash flow consistency

BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (BRSP) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$330.6M
Net Income
$-31.1M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.26
Free Cash Flow
$73.0M
Total Assets
$3.6B
Cash Position
$66.8M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 22.1% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

BRSP Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -13.4%
Net Margin -9.4%
ROE -3.3%
ROA -0.9%
FCF Margin 22.1%

BRSP vs Real Estate Sector: How BrightSpire Capital, Inc. Compares

How BrightSpire Capital, Inc. compares to Real Estate sector averages

Net Margin
BRSP -9.4%
vs
Sector Avg 20.0%
BRSP Sector
ROE
BRSP -3.3%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
BRSP Sector
Current Ratio
BRSP 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
BRSP Sector
Debt/Equity
BRSP 2.6x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
BRSP Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is BrightSpire Capital, Inc. Stock Overvalued? BRSP Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, BrightSpire Capital, Inc. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Real Estate sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-3.3%
Sector avg: 8%
Net Profit Margin
-9.4%
Sector avg: 20%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
2.63x
Sector avg: 1.5x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

BrightSpire Capital, Inc. Balance Sheet: BRSP Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
2.63x
Debt/Assets
74.0%
Interest Coverage
-1.87x
Long-term Debt
$2.5B

BRSP Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

BRSP 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $588.6M, Net Income -$414.5M, EPS $-3.25. Year 2022: Revenue $364.6M, Net Income -$353.3M, EPS $-2.75. Year 2023: Revenue $415.1M, Net Income -$101.0M, EPS $-0.79. Year 2024: Revenue $415.1M, Net Income $45.8M, EPS $0.34. Year 2025: Revenue $415.1M, Net Income -$15.5M, EPS $-0.12.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: BrightSpire Capital, Inc.'s revenue has declined by 29% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $-0.12 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

BRSP Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
22.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

BRSP Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for BrightSpire Capital, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $83.9M $984.0K $0.00
Q2 2025 $85.9M -$17.8M $-0.15
Q1 2025 $77.6M $5.3M $0.04
Q3 2024 $88.2M $775.0K $0.01
Q2 2024 $91.4M -$7.5M $-0.06
Q1 2024 $95.8M -$4.1M $-0.03
Q3 2023 $97.1M $775.0K $0.01
Q2 2023 $85.4M -$7.5M $-0.06

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

BrightSpire Capital, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$73.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$10.9M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Dividends Paid
$83.0M
Returned to shareholders

BRSP SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (CIK: 0001717547)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 14, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1776208159.xml View →
Apr 1, 2026 8-K brsp-20260330.htm View →
Apr 1, 2026 DEF 14A brsp-20260331.htm View →
Mar 18, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1773865773.xml View →
Mar 18, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1773865641.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about BRSP

What is the AI rating for BRSP?

BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (BRSP) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (STRONG SELL) and ChatGPT (SELL) with 87% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are BRSP's key strengths?

Claude: Positive free cash flow of $73.0M despite net losses, indicating ability to service debt in near term. Substantial asset base of $3.6B provides collateral and operational foundation for REIT operations. ChatGPT: Positive operating cash flow and free cash flow generation of $73.03M. Year-over-year improvement in net income and diluted EPS despite remaining negative.

What are the risks of investing in BRSP?

Claude: Persistent unprofitability with negative operating income of -$44.3M and net losses of -$31.1M indicating core business dysfunction. Unsustainable leverage at 2.63x debt-to-equity with $2.5B long-term debt and negative interest coverage (-1.9x), creating debt service risk. ChatGPT: Negative operating margin and net margin indicate an unprofitable core earnings profile. High leverage with $2.47B of long-term debt and 2.63x debt-to-equity.

What is BRSP's revenue and growth?

BrightSpire Capital, Inc. reported revenue of $330.6M.

Does BRSP pay dividends?

BrightSpire Capital, Inc. pays dividends, with $83.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find BRSP SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (CIK: 0001717547) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is BRSP's EPS?

BrightSpire Capital, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.26.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is BRSP a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, BrightSpire Capital, Inc. has a SELL rating with 87% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is BRSP stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for BRSP: ROE of -3.3% (sector avg: 8%), net margin of -9.4% (sector avg: 20%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy BRSP stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives BrightSpire Capital, Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is BRSP's free cash flow?

BrightSpire Capital, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $73.0M, with capital expenditures of N/A. FCF margin is 22.1%.

How does BRSP compare to other Real Estate stocks?

Vs Real Estate sector averages: Net margin -9.4% (avg: 20%), ROE -3.3% (avg: 8%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.5).

Is BrightSpire Capital, Inc. carrying too much debt?

BRSP has a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.63x, which is above the Real Estate sector average of 1.5x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 21, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI