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Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. (STWD) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

STWD NYSE Real Estate Investment Trusts CIK: 0001465128
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 16, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
78% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 STWD Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.8B
Net Margin: 22.3%
Free Cash Flow: $99.4M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.34x
EPS: $1.15
AI Rating: SELL with 78% confidence
Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. (STWD) receives a SELL rating with 78% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $1.8B, net profit margin of 22.3%, and return on equity (ROE) of 6.1%, Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Real Estate sector. Below is our complete STWD stock analysis for 2026.

Is Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. (STWD) a Good Investment?

Claude

Starwood Property Trust faces deteriorating fundamentals with revenue declining 5.3% YoY and net income down 7.1% YoY, coupled with critically low interest coverage of 0.5x, indicating operating income cannot cover interest expenses. While the REIT maintains moderate leverage and strong operating margins, persistently weak returns on equity (6.1%) and assets (0.7%), combined with anemic free cash flow generation (5.4% FCF margin), suggest the company is struggling with capital efficiency and debt servicing capacity.

Why Buy Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. Stock? STWD Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong operating margins (26%) and net profit margins (22.3%) demonstrate solid core business economics
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $977.9M provides liquidity for operations and distributions
  • + Moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.34x is manageable relative to total asset base of $63.2B

STWD Stock Risks: Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critical interest coverage of 0.5x indicates operating income cannot cover interest obligations, raising sustainability concerns for debt servicing
  • ! Revenue declining 5.3% YoY and net income down 7.1% YoY signal deteriorating operating performance
  • ! Extremely poor capital efficiency with ROE of 6.1% and ROA of 0.7% suggest misallocation of shareholder capital
  • ! Minimal free cash flow ($99.4M) after capex leaves limited cushion for unforeseen challenges or dividend sustainability

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Interest coverage ratio trend—must improve above 1.0x to ensure debt sustainability
  • * Revenue growth reversal—watch for stabilization or return to positive YoY growth
  • * Return on equity improvement—critical to demonstrate better capital deployment
  • * Free cash flow generation as percentage of revenue—currently too low at 5.4%

Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. (STWD) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$1.8B
Net Income
$411.5M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.15
Free Cash Flow
$99.4M
Total Assets
$63.2B
Cash Position
$499.5M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

STWD Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 26.0%
Net Margin 22.3%
ROE 6.1%
ROA 0.7%
FCF Margin 5.4%

STWD vs Real Estate Sector: How Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. Compares

How Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. compares to Real Estate sector averages

Net Margin
STWD 22.3%
vs
Sector Avg 20.0%
STWD Sector
ROE
STWD 6.1%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
STWD Sector
Current Ratio
STWD 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
STWD Sector
Debt/Equity
STWD 0.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
STWD Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. Stock Overvalued? STWD Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Real Estate sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
6.1%
Sector avg: 8%
Net Profit Margin
22.3%
Sector avg: 20%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.34x
Sector avg: 1.5x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. Balance Sheet: STWD Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.34x
Debt/Assets
88.1%
Interest Coverage
0.46x
Long-term Debt
$2.3B

STWD Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

STWD 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $509.7M, EPS $1.79. Year 2022: Revenue $1.5B, Net Income $331.7M, EPS $1.16. Year 2023: Revenue $2.0B, Net Income $447.7M, EPS $1.52. Year 2024: Revenue $2.0B, Net Income $871.5M, EPS $2.74. Year 2025: Revenue $2.0B, Net Income $339.2M, EPS $1.07.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Starwood Property Trust, Inc..'s revenue has grown significantly by 71% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $1.07 reflects profitable operations.

STWD Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
5.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

STWD Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $479.5M $72.6M $0.19
Q2 2025 $444.3M $77.9M $0.24
Q1 2025 $418.2M $112.3M $0.33
Q3 2024 $479.5M $47.4M $0.15
Q2 2024 $489.8M $77.9M $0.24
Q1 2024 $490.4M $52.0M $0.16
Q3 2023 $390.5M $47.4M $0.15
Q2 2023 $325.6M $168.8M $0.54

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$977.9M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$878.5M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$668.9M
Returned to shareholders

STWD SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. (CIK: 0001465128)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Mar 20, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Mar 18, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Mar 18, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about STWD

What is the AI rating for STWD?

Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. (STWD) has an AI rating of SELL with 78% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are STWD's key strengths?

Claude: Strong operating margins (26%) and net profit margins (22.3%) demonstrate solid core business economics. Positive operating cash flow of $977.9M provides liquidity for operations and distributions.

What are the risks of investing in STWD?

Claude: Critical interest coverage of 0.5x indicates operating income cannot cover interest obligations, raising sustainability concerns for debt servicing. Revenue declining 5.3% YoY and net income down 7.1% YoY signal deteriorating operating performance.

What is STWD's revenue and growth?

Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. reported revenue of $1.8B.

Does STWD pay dividends?

Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. pays dividends, with $668.9M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find STWD SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. (CIK: 0001465128) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is STWD's EPS?

Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. has a diluted EPS of $1.15.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is STWD a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. has a SELL rating with 78% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is STWD stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for STWD: ROE of 6.1% (sector avg: 8%), net margin of 22.3% (sector avg: 20%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy STWD stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Starwood Property Trust, Inc.. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is STWD's free cash flow?

Starwood Property Trust, Inc..'s operating cash flow is $977.9M, with capital expenditures of $878.5M. FCF margin is 5.4%.

How does STWD compare to other Real Estate stocks?

Vs Real Estate sector averages: Net margin 22.3% (avg: 20%), ROE 6.1% (avg: 8%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.5).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 16, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI