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Arbor Realty Trust Inc. (ABR-PF) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

ABR-PF NYSE Real Estate Investment Trusts MD CIK: 0001253986
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
70% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
62% Conf
HOLD
78% Conf

📊 ABR-PF Key Takeaways

Revenue: $238.2M
Net Margin: 45.1%
Free Cash Flow: $372.4M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 3.75x
EPS: $0.56
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence
Arbor Realty Trust Inc. (ABR-PF) receives a HOLD rating with 70% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $238.2M, net profit margin of 45.1%, and return on equity (ROE) of 3.6%, Arbor Realty Trust Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Real Estate sector. Below is our complete ABR-PF stock analysis for 2026.

Is Arbor Realty Trust Inc. (ABR-PF) a Good Investment?

Claude

Arbor Realty Trust demonstrates strong operational profitability with 74% operating margins and solid interest coverage of 14.5x, supported by positive free cash flow of $372.4M. However, concerning trends include declining revenue (-12.5% YoY), significantly lower net income (-31.9% YoY), and diluted EPS compression (-52.5% YoY), indicating earnings quality deterioration despite operational strength. The elevated debt-to-equity ratio of 3.75x combined with low ROA of 0.7% and ROE of 3.6% suggest capital is not being efficiently deployed, warranting cautious positioning.

ChatGPT

Arbor Realty Trust remains highly profitable on a margin basis and continues to generate solid operating cash flow, supported by strong interest coverage and a meaningful cash balance. However, the quality of the current fundamental picture is weakened by sharp year-over-year declines in revenue, net income, and diluted EPS, combined with high leverage and modest returns on equity and assets. The company looks financially stable for now, but fundamentals point more to balance-sheet management and earnings stabilization than clear operating momentum.

Why Buy Arbor Realty Trust Inc. Stock? ABR-PF Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong operating margin of 74.2% demonstrates pricing power and cost control
  • + Robust interest coverage ratio of 14.5x indicates strong ability to service debt obligations
  • + Positive free cash flow of $372.4M provides financial flexibility and supports distributions
  • + Adequate cash position of $482.9M provides liquidity buffer
ChatGPT
  • + Very high operating and net margins indicate the business is still generating strong earnings from its revenue base
  • + Operating cash flow is solid at $372.38M and exceeds reported net income, which supports earnings quality
  • + Interest coverage of 14.5x and nearly $483M in cash provide a cushion against near-term financing pressure

ABR-PF Stock Risks: Arbor Realty Trust Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Sharp revenue decline of 12.5% YoY suggests weakening mortgage/lending market demand
  • ! Severe net income decline of 31.9% YoY and diluted EPS compression of 52.5% YoY indicate significant earnings deterioration
  • ! High leverage with 3.75x debt-to-equity ratio limits financial flexibility and increases refinancing risk
  • ! Extremely low ROA of 0.7% and ROE of 3.6% demonstrate poor capital efficiency relative to asset base
  • ! Significant insider activity (21 Form 4 filings in 90 days) warrants further investigation into magnitude and direction
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue, net income, and diluted EPS are all declining materially year over year, signaling weakening earnings momentum
  • ! Leverage is elevated with $11.07B of long-term debt and a 3.75x debt-to-equity ratio
  • ! ROE of 3.6% and ROA of 0.7% are low for the balance-sheet size, suggesting limited efficiency in generating shareholder returns

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue trend stabilization and return to growth trajectory
  • * Net income recovery and EPS trend reversal
  • * Debt-to-equity ratio reduction and deleveraging progress
  • * Return on assets and return on equity improvement
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability amid market headwinds
ChatGPT
  • * Net income and diluted EPS trend over the next several quarters
  • * Debt levels, interest coverage, and cash flow from operations

Arbor Realty Trust Inc. (ABR-PF) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$238.2M
Net Income
$107.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.56
Free Cash Flow
$372.4M
Total Assets
$14.5B
Cash Position
$482.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 156.3% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

ABR-PF Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 74.2%
Net Margin 45.1%
ROE 3.6%
ROA 0.7%
FCF Margin 156.3%

ABR-PF vs Real Estate Sector: How Arbor Realty Trust Inc. Compares

How Arbor Realty Trust Inc. compares to Real Estate sector averages

Net Margin
ABR-PF 45.1%
vs
Sector Avg 20.0%
ABR-PF Sector
ROE
ABR-PF 3.6%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
ABR-PF Sector
Current Ratio
ABR-PF 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
ABR-PF Sector
Debt/Equity
ABR-PF 3.7x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
ABR-PF Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Arbor Realty Trust Inc. Stock Overvalued? ABR-PF Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Arbor Realty Trust Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Real Estate sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
3.6%
Sector avg: 8%
Net Profit Margin
45.1%
Sector avg: 20%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
3.75x
Sector avg: 1.5x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Arbor Realty Trust Inc. Balance Sheet: ABR-PF Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
3.75x
Debt/Assets
78.8%
Interest Coverage
14.48x
Long-term Debt
$11.1B

ABR-PF Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

ABR-PF 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Arbor Realty Trust Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $1.75 reflects profitable operations.

ABR-PF Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
156.3%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ABR-PF Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Arbor Realty Trust Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2018 $6.6M $11.9M $0.21

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Arbor Realty Trust Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$372.4M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$2.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Dividends Paid
$319.9M
Returned to shareholders

ABR-PF SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Arbor Realty Trust Inc. (CIK: 0001253986)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2610938-1_4seq1.xml View →
Mar 25, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm269824-3_4seq1.xml View →
Mar 25, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm269824-2_4seq1.xml View →
Mar 25, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm269824-1_4seq1.xml View →
Mar 23, 2026 8-K abr-20260323.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about ABR-PF

What is the AI rating for ABR-PF?

Arbor Realty Trust Inc. (ABR-PF) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 70% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are ABR-PF's key strengths?

Claude: Strong operating margin of 74.2% demonstrates pricing power and cost control. Robust interest coverage ratio of 14.5x indicates strong ability to service debt obligations. ChatGPT: Very high operating and net margins indicate the business is still generating strong earnings from its revenue base. Operating cash flow is solid at $372.38M and exceeds reported net income, which supports earnings quality.

What are the risks of investing in ABR-PF?

Claude: Sharp revenue decline of 12.5% YoY suggests weakening mortgage/lending market demand. Severe net income decline of 31.9% YoY and diluted EPS compression of 52.5% YoY indicate significant earnings deterioration. ChatGPT: Revenue, net income, and diluted EPS are all declining materially year over year, signaling weakening earnings momentum. Leverage is elevated with $11.07B of long-term debt and a 3.75x debt-to-equity ratio.

What is ABR-PF's revenue and growth?

Arbor Realty Trust Inc. reported revenue of $238.2M.

Does ABR-PF pay dividends?

Arbor Realty Trust Inc. pays dividends, with $319.9M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find ABR-PF SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Arbor Realty Trust Inc. (CIK: 0001253986) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is ABR-PF's EPS?

Arbor Realty Trust Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.56.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is ABR-PF a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Arbor Realty Trust Inc. has a HOLD rating with 70% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is ABR-PF stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for ABR-PF: ROE of 3.6% (sector avg: 8%), net margin of 45.1% (sector avg: 20%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy ABR-PF stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Arbor Realty Trust Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is ABR-PF's free cash flow?

Arbor Realty Trust Inc.'s operating cash flow is $372.4M, with capital expenditures of N/A. FCF margin is 156.3%.

How does ABR-PF compare to other Real Estate stocks?

Vs Real Estate sector averages: Net margin 45.1% (avg: 20%), ROE 3.6% (avg: 8%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.5).

Is Arbor Realty Trust Inc. carrying too much debt?

ABR-PF has a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.75x, which is above the Real Estate sector average of 1.5x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI