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Sera Prognostics, Inc.. (SERA) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

SERA Nasdaq Services-Medical Laboratories DE CIK: 0001534969
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 15, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
STRONG SELL
95% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 SERA Key Takeaways

Revenue: $81.0K
Net Margin: -39,417.3%
Free Cash Flow: $-26.3M
Current Ratio: 1.69x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $-0.67
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 95% confidence
Sera Prognostics, Inc.. (SERA) receives a STRONG SELL rating with 95% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $81.0K, net profit margin of -39,417.3%, and return on equity (ROE) of -42.3%, Sera Prognostics, Inc.. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Healthcare sector. Below is our complete SERA stock analysis for 2026.

Is Sera Prognostics, Inc.. (SERA) a Good Investment?

Claude

SERA is a pre-revenue stage company with only $81K in annual revenue and massive operating losses of $36.5M, coupled with a cash burn rate of $26.3M in free cash flow against just $3.9M in cash reserves. The company faces severe liquidity risk with a projected cash runway of less than 2 months at current burn rates, making near-term capital infusion or dramatic operational restructuring essential for survival.

Why Buy Sera Prognostics, Inc.. Stock? SERA Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Zero long-term debt (0.00x Debt/Equity) reduces financial leverage risk
  • + Current ratio of 1.69x indicates short-term liquidity is adequate relative to current liabilities
  • + Stockholders' equity of $75.4M exceeds total liabilities, providing asset cushion

SERA Stock Risks: Sera Prognostics, Inc.. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critically low cash balance of $3.9M with $26.3M annual free cash flow burn creates runway of <2 months
  • ! Revenue of only $81K is immaterial and shows zero YoY growth with no path to sustainability
  • ! Operating losses of $36.5M indicate company is in development stage with no commercialization yet achieved

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Quarterly cash burn rate and remaining cash runway
  • * Revenue growth trajectory and path to commercial viability
  • * Capital raising activities and dilution to shareholders
  • * Reduction in operating expenses and timeline to profitability

Sera Prognostics, Inc.. (SERA) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$81.0K
Net Income
$-31.9M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.67
Free Cash Flow
$-26.3M
Total Assets
$101.9M
Cash Position
$3.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Sera Prognostics, Inc.. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

SERA Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -45,066.7%
Net Margin -39,417.3%
ROE -42.3%
ROA -31.3%
FCF Margin -32,529.6%

SERA vs Healthcare Sector: How Sera Prognostics, Inc.. Compares

How Sera Prognostics, Inc.. compares to Healthcare sector averages

Net Margin
SERA -39,417.3%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
SERA Sector
ROE
SERA -42.3%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
SERA Sector
Current Ratio
SERA 1.7x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
SERA Sector
Debt/Equity
SERA 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
SERA Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Sera Prognostics, Inc.. Stock Overvalued? SERA Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Sera Prognostics, Inc.. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Healthcare sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-42.3%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
-39,417.3%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Sera Prognostics, Inc.. Balance Sheet: SERA Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.69x
Quick Ratio
1.69x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
26.0%
Interest Coverage
-4,056.00x
Long-term Debt
N/A

SERA Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

SERA 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $82.0K, Net Income -$19.8M, EPS $-12.76. Year 2022: Revenue $268.0K, Net Income -$35.0M, EPS $-2.33. Year 2023: Revenue $306.0K, Net Income -$44.2M, EPS $-1.43. Year 2024: Revenue $306.0K, Net Income -$36.2M, EPS $-1.16. Year 2025: Revenue $81.0K, Net Income -$32.9M, EPS $-0.99.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Sera Prognostics, Inc..'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 1% decline. The most recent EPS of $-0.99 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

SERA Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-32,529.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

SERA Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Sera Prognostics, Inc.. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $16.0K -$7.8M $-0.16
Q2 2025 $17.0K -$8.0M $-0.16
Q1 2025 N/A -$8.1M $-0.20
Q3 2024 $29.0K -$7.2M $-0.23
Q2 2024 $24.0K -$8.1M $-0.25
Q1 2024 N/A -$8.1M $-0.25
Q3 2023 $42.0K -$7.2M $-0.23
Q2 2023 $78.0K -$10.5M $-0.34

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Sera Prognostics, Inc.. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$25.6M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$726.0K
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

SERA SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Sera Prognostics, Inc.. (CIK: 0001534969)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 18, 2026 10-K sera-20251231.htm View →
Mar 18, 2026 8-K sera-20260318.htm View →
Mar 13, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Mar 13, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Mar 13, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about SERA

What is the AI rating for SERA?

Sera Prognostics, Inc.. (SERA) has an AI rating of STRONG SELL with 95% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are SERA's key strengths?

Claude: Zero long-term debt (0.00x Debt/Equity) reduces financial leverage risk. Current ratio of 1.69x indicates short-term liquidity is adequate relative to current liabilities.

What are the risks of investing in SERA?

Claude: Critically low cash balance of $3.9M with $26.3M annual free cash flow burn creates runway of <2 months. Revenue of only $81K is immaterial and shows zero YoY growth with no path to sustainability.

What is SERA's revenue and growth?

Sera Prognostics, Inc.. reported revenue of $81.0K.

Does SERA pay dividends?

Sera Prognostics, Inc.. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find SERA SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Sera Prognostics, Inc.. (CIK: 0001534969) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is SERA's EPS?

Sera Prognostics, Inc.. has a diluted EPS of $-0.67.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is SERA a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Sera Prognostics, Inc.. has a STRONG SELL rating with 95% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is SERA stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for SERA: ROE of -42.3% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -39,417.3% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy SERA stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Sera Prognostics, Inc.. a combined STRONG SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is SERA's free cash flow?

Sera Prognostics, Inc..'s operating cash flow is $-25.6M, with capital expenditures of $726.0K. FCF margin is -32,529.6%.

How does SERA compare to other Healthcare stocks?

Vs Healthcare sector averages: Net margin -39,417.3% (avg: 12%), ROE -42.3% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.69 (avg: 2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 15, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI