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Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

HUBG Nasdaq Arrangement of Transportation of Freight & Cargo IL CIK: 0000940942
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 11, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-09-30
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
64% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
60% Conf
HOLD
68% Conf

📊 HUBG Key Takeaways

Revenue: $2.8B
Net Margin: 2.9%
Free Cash Flow: $120.4M
Current Ratio: 1.47x
Debt/Equity: 0.15x
EPS: $1.34
AI Rating: HOLD with 60% confidence
Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) receives a HOLD rating with 64% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $2.8B, net profit margin of 2.9%, and return on equity (ROE) of 4.7%, Hub Group, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Transportation sector. Below is our complete HUBG stock analysis for 2026.

Is Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) a Good Investment?

Claude

Hub Group demonstrates financial stability with strong liquidity and positive free cash flow generation, but faces material headwinds with declining revenue (-6.1% YoY) and deteriorating earnings (-35.1% EPS decline). The company's thin operating margins (4.0%) and weak return on equity (4.7%) offer limited upside without significant operational improvement.

ChatGPT

Hub Group shows cyclical pressure with revenue down and margins compressed, but maintains a strong balance sheet and solid liquidity. Positive free cash flow and low leverage provide resilience, yet modest ROE and operating margins limit near‑term earnings power. Fundamentals look balanced until demand and pricing recover.

Why Buy Hub Group, Inc. Stock? HUBG Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong balance sheet with conservative debt/equity ratio of 0.15x and excellent interest coverage of 14.6x
  • + Positive free cash flow generation of $120.4M despite margin pressures, indicating underlying cash generation capability
  • + Healthy current ratio of 1.47x provides adequate liquidity cushion for operational needs
ChatGPT
  • + Low leverage (0.15x D/E) and strong interest coverage (14.6x)
  • + Healthy liquidity (1.47x current/quick) with $119.7M cash
  • + Consistent positive FCF (4.4% margin) with modest capex

HUBG Stock Risks: Hub Group, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Revenue decline of 6.1% YoY indicates topline contraction and potential market share losses in competitive logistics sector
  • ! Operating margins of 4.0% leave minimal room for error; vulnerable to cost pressures in cyclical transportation industry
  • ! EPS down 35.1% YoY while net income remains flat suggests significant underlying operational deterioration beyond nominal factors
  • ! Low return on equity (4.7%) and ROA (2.8%) indicate capital deployment inefficiency
  • ! Cyclical industry exposure with economic sensitivity; vulnerable to freight market downturns
ChatGPT
  • ! Soft demand and pricing pressure (revenue -6.1% YoY)
  • ! Margin compression (4.0% operating) driving low ROE (4.7%)
  • ! EPS volatility (-35.1% YoY) vs flat net income suggests dilution/one-offs

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth trend - critical to confirm if decline reverses or continues as structural headwind
  • * Operating margin expansion - assess cost management and pricing power recovery
  • * Free cash flow sustainability - ensure positive FCF persists amid revenue contraction
  • * Return on equity improvement - need material improvement from current 4.7% level
  • * Market share dynamics - track competitive positioning relative to industry peers
ChatGPT
  • * YoY revenue growth
  • * Operating margin

Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$2.8B
Net Income
$80.6M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.34
Free Cash Flow
$120.4M
Total Assets
$2.9B
Cash Position
$119.7M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 4.4% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility.

HUBG Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 32.3%
Operating Margin 4.0%
Net Margin 2.9%
ROE 4.7%
ROA 2.8%
FCF Margin 4.4%

HUBG vs Transportation Sector: How Hub Group, Inc. Compares

How Hub Group, Inc. compares to Transportation sector averages

Net Margin
HUBG 2.9%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
HUBG Sector
ROE
HUBG 4.7%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
HUBG Sector
Current Ratio
HUBG 1.5x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
HUBG Sector
Debt/Equity
HUBG 0.1x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
HUBG Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Hub Group, Inc. Stock Overvalued? HUBG Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Hub Group, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Transportation sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
4.7%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
2.9%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.15x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Hub Group, Inc. Balance Sheet: HUBG Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.47x
Quick Ratio
1.47x
Debt/Equity
0.15x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
14.65x
Long-term Debt
$255.0M

HUBG Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

HUBG 5-year financial data: Year 2020: Revenue $3.7B, Net Income $201.7M, EPS $6.01. Year 2021: Revenue $4.2B, Net Income $107.2M, EPS $3.20. Year 2022: Revenue $5.3B, Net Income $73.6M, EPS $2.19. Year 2023: Revenue $5.3B, Net Income $171.5M, EPS $2.53. Year 2024: Revenue $5.3B, Net Income $356.9M, EPS $5.32.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Hub Group, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 45% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $5.32 reflects profitable operations.

HUBG Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
4.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

HUBG Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Hub Group, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $934.5M $23.6M $0.39
Q2 2025 $905.6M $25.2M $0.42
Q1 2025 $915.2M $26.8M $0.44
Q3 2024 $986.9M $23.6M $0.39
Q2 2024 $986.5M $29.0M $0.47
Q1 2024 $999.5M $27.1M $0.44
Q3 2023 $1.0B $30.5M $0.97
Q2 2023 $1.0B $46.5M $1.44

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Hub Group, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$159.6M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$13.8M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$39.2M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$22.5M
Returned to shareholders

HUBG SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Hub Group, Inc. (CIK: 0000940942)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 24, 2026 8-K d92097d8k.htm View →
Feb 5, 2026 8-K d77454d8k.htm View →
Jan 7, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Jan 6, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about HUBG

What is the AI rating for HUBG?

Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 64% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are HUBG's key strengths?

Claude: Strong balance sheet with conservative debt/equity ratio of 0.15x and excellent interest coverage of 14.6x. Positive free cash flow generation of $120.4M despite margin pressures, indicating underlying cash generation capability. ChatGPT: Low leverage (0.15x D/E) and strong interest coverage (14.6x). Healthy liquidity (1.47x current/quick) with $119.7M cash.

What are the risks of investing in HUBG?

Claude: Revenue decline of 6.1% YoY indicates topline contraction and potential market share losses in competitive logistics sector. Operating margins of 4.0% leave minimal room for error; vulnerable to cost pressures in cyclical transportation industry. ChatGPT: Soft demand and pricing pressure (revenue -6.1% YoY). Margin compression (4.0% operating) driving low ROE (4.7%).

What is HUBG's revenue and growth?

Hub Group, Inc. reported revenue of $2.8B.

Does HUBG pay dividends?

Hub Group, Inc. pays dividends, with $22.5M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find HUBG SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Hub Group, Inc. (CIK: 0000940942) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is HUBG's EPS?

Hub Group, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $1.34.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is HUBG a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Hub Group, Inc. has a HOLD rating with 64% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is HUBG stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for HUBG: ROE of 4.7% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 2.9% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy HUBG stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Hub Group, Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is HUBG's free cash flow?

Hub Group, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $159.6M, with capital expenditures of $39.2M. FCF margin is 4.4%.

How does HUBG compare to other Transportation stocks?

Vs Transportation sector averages: Net margin 2.9% (avg: 10%), ROE 4.7% (avg: 18%), current ratio 1.47 (avg: 1).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 11, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-09-30 | Powered by Claude AI