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Forward Air Corp. (FWRD) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

FWRD Nasdaq Arrangement of Transportation of Freight & Cargo DE CIK: 0000912728
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 12, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
D
90% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
D
88% Conf
D
91% Conf

📊 FWRD Key Takeaways

Revenue: $582.0M
Net Margin: -5.9%
Free Cash Flow: $38.8M
Current Ratio: 1.23x
Debt/Equity: 20.87x
EPS: $-1.09
AI Grade: D with 88% confidence
Forward Air Corp. (FWRD) receives a D fundamental grade with 90% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $582.0M, net profit margin of -5.9%, and return on equity (ROE) of -42.4%, Forward Air Corp. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Transportation sector. Below is our complete FWRD stock analysis for 2026.

Is Forward Air Corp. (FWRD) a Good Investment?

Claude

Forward Air is in severe financial distress with interest coverage of only 0.5x, indicating operations cannot service debt. The company posted a $34.3M net loss despite $582M revenue, with unsustainable leverage (Debt/Equity 20.87x) and flat growth at 0.8% YoY, leaving minimal room for error.

ChatGPT

Forward Air's fundamentals appear severely impaired: revenue is essentially flat while profitability remains weak, with a 1.5% operating margin and a sizable net loss. The balance sheet is the central concern, as very high leverage, thin liquidity cushion relative to debt, and interest coverage below 1x suggest elevated financial risk. Although losses and EPS improved year over year, the improvement is not strong enough to offset the combination of negative free cash flow and strained capital structure.

Forward Air Corp. Key Strengths (FWRD)

Claude
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $45.7M demonstrates core business generates cash
  • + Free cash flow positive at $38.8M provides temporary liquidity buffer
  • + Cash position of $141M offers near-term financial runway
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue remained stable with slight year-over-year growth, indicating the business still has demand support
  • + Current and quick ratios above 1x suggest near-term liquidity is adequate for now
  • + Net loss and diluted EPS improved meaningfully year over year, showing some operating stabilization

FWRD Stock Risks: Forward Air Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Interest coverage ratio of 0.5x indicates operations cannot cover debt service, creating imminent default risk
  • ! Debt/Equity ratio of 20.87x is critically elevated relative to tiny $81M equity base
  • ! Net loss of $34.3M with -5.9% net margin shows core business is unprofitable despite operational positive income
  • ! Flat revenue growth of 0.8% offers no growth catalyst to improve financial position
  • ! Thin 3.5% operating margin leaves no cushion for operational disruptions
ChatGPT
  • ! Leverage is extremely high, with debt/equity of 14.89x and only $113.34M of equity supporting $1.69B of long-term debt
  • ! Interest coverage of 0.9x indicates operating income is not fully covering interest expense
  • ! Free cash flow is negative and net margin remains deeply negative, limiting financial flexibility

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Interest coverage ratio trend - must improve above 1.5x to indicate debt sustainability
  • * Net income and operating margins - need to return to profitability
  • * Debt reduction progress - Debt/Equity must decline toward sustainable levels
  • * Revenue growth acceleration - flat growth insufficient to support recovery narrative
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability - critical to monitor given debt burden
ChatGPT
  • * Interest coverage and operating margin
  • * Free cash flow and debt reduction progress

Forward Air Corp. (FWRD) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$582.0M
Net Income
$-34.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$-1.09
Free Cash Flow
$38.8M
Total Assets
$2.7B
Cash Position
$141.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Forward Air Corp. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

FWRD Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 3.5%
Net Margin -5.9%
ROE -42.4%
ROA -1.3%
FCF Margin 6.7%

FWRD vs Transportation Sector: How Forward Air Corp. Compares

How Forward Air Corp. compares to Transportation sector averages

Net Margin
FWRD -5.9%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
FWRD Sector
ROE
FWRD -42.4%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
FWRD Sector
Current Ratio
FWRD 1.2x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
FWRD Sector
Debt/Equity
FWRD 20.9x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
FWRD Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Forward Air Corp. Stock Overvalued? FWRD Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Forward Air Corp. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Transportation sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-42.4%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
-5.9%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
20.87x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Forward Air Corp. Balance Sheet: FWRD Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.23x
Quick Ratio
1.22x
Debt/Equity
20.87x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
0.50x
Long-term Debt
$1.7B

FWRD Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

FWRD 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $1.7B, Net Income $87.1M, EPS $3.04. Year 2022: Revenue $2.0B, Net Income $23.7M, EPS $0.84. Year 2023: Revenue $1.7B, Net Income $105.9M, EPS $3.85. Year 2024: Revenue $2.5B, Net Income $193.2M, EPS $7.14. Year 2025: Revenue $2.5B, Net Income $167.4M, EPS $6.40.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Forward Air Corp.'s revenue has grown significantly by 50% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $6.40 reflects profitable operations.

FWRD Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
6.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

FWRD Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Forward Air Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $582.0M -$34.3M $-1.09
Q3 2025 $631.8M -$16.3M $-0.52
Q2 2025 $618.8M -$12.6M $-0.41
Q1 2025 $541.8M -$50.6M $-1.68
Q3 2024 $341.0M $9.3M $0.36
Q2 2024 $333.6M $20.0M $0.76
Q1 2024 $357.7M $36.4M $1.37
Q3 2023 $413.4M $9.3M $0.36

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Forward Air Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$45.7M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$6.9M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

FWRD SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Forward Air Corp. (CIK: 0000912728)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 11, 2026 10-Q fwrd-20260331.htm View →
May 7, 2026 8-K fwrd-20260507.htm View →
May 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1777665683.xml View →
Apr 29, 2026 8-K tm2612551d6_8k.htm View →
Apr 29, 2026 DEF 14A tm2612551-4_def14a.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about FWRD

What is the AI rating for FWRD?

Forward Air Corp. (FWRD) has a Combined AI Grade of D from Claude (D) and ChatGPT (D) with 90% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are FWRD's key strengths?

Claude: Positive operating cash flow of $45.7M demonstrates core business generates cash. Free cash flow positive at $38.8M provides temporary liquidity buffer. ChatGPT: Revenue remained stable with slight year-over-year growth, indicating the business still has demand support. Current and quick ratios above 1x suggest near-term liquidity is adequate for now.

What are the risks of investing in FWRD?

Claude: Interest coverage ratio of 0.5x indicates operations cannot cover debt service, creating imminent default risk. Debt/Equity ratio of 20.87x is critically elevated relative to tiny $81M equity base. ChatGPT: Leverage is extremely high, with debt/equity of 14.89x and only $113.34M of equity supporting $1.69B of long-term debt. Interest coverage of 0.9x indicates operating income is not fully covering interest expense.

What is FWRD's revenue and growth?

Forward Air Corp. reported revenue of $582.0M.

Does FWRD pay dividends?

Forward Air Corp. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find FWRD SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Forward Air Corp. (CIK: 0000912728) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is FWRD's EPS?

Forward Air Corp. has a diluted EPS of $-1.09.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is FWRD's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in June 2026, Forward Air Corp. has a D grade with 90% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is FWRD stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for FWRD: ROE of -42.4% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of -5.9% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is FWRD's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Forward Air Corp. a combined D grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is FWRD's free cash flow?

Forward Air Corp.'s operating cash flow is $45.7M, with capital expenditures of $6.9M. FCF margin is 6.7%.

How does FWRD compare to other Transportation stocks?

Vs Transportation sector averages: Net margin -5.9% (avg: 10%), ROE -42.4% (avg: 18%), current ratio 1.23 (avg: 1).

Is Forward Air Corp. carrying too much debt?

FWRD has a debt-to-equity ratio of 20.87x, which is above the Transportation sector average of 1x. However, the current ratio of 1.23 suggests adequate short-term liquidity.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 12, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI