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Aar Corp. (AIR) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

AIR NYSE Aircraft & Parts DE CIK: 0000001750
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-11-30
Combined AI Rating
SELL
77% Confidence
AGREEMENT
SELL
75% Conf
HOLD
79% Conf

📊 AIR Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.5B
Net Margin: 4.5%
Free Cash Flow: $-47.4M
Current Ratio: 2.84x
Debt/Equity: 0.61x
EPS: $1.85
AI Rating: SELL with 75% confidence
Aar Corp. (AIR) receives a SELL rating with 77% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $1.5B, net profit margin of 4.5%, and return on equity (ROE) of 4.4%, Aar Corp. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Automotive sector. Below is our complete AIR stock analysis for 2026.

Is Aar Corp. (AIR) a Good Investment?

Claude

AAR Corp demonstrates strong revenue growth of 19.9% YoY, but this growth is not translating to bottom-line performance with net income flat year-over-year and EPS declining 72.9%. Critical concerns include negative operating cash flow of -$31.3M and negative free cash flow of -$47.4M, indicating the company is burning cash despite top-line expansion and raising questions about earnings quality and capital efficiency.

ChatGPT

AAR CORP shows solid top-line momentum with nearly 20% revenue growth and reasonable balance-sheet liquidity, which supports continued operations and growth investment. However, profit conversion is weak relative to sales, net income was flat despite higher revenue, diluted EPS fell sharply, and cash generation turned negative. The fundamentals point to a business with real demand strength but uneven earnings quality and limited margin of safety.

Why Buy Aar Corp. Stock? AIR Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 19.9% YoY demonstrates solid demand in aircraft and parts sector
  • + Healthy liquidity position with current ratio of 2.84x providing operational flexibility
  • + Moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.61x suggests reasonable leverage levels
ChatGPT
  • + Strong year-over-year revenue growth indicates healthy demand and execution
  • + Liquidity is solid with a 2.84x current ratio and 1.31x quick ratio
  • + Debt-to-equity of 0.61x is manageable relative to equity base

AIR Stock Risks: Aar Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Negative operating cash flow of -$31.3M contradicts revenue growth, signaling potential working capital issues or earnings quality concerns
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$47.4M indicates company is consuming rather than generating cash, unsustainable for long-term value creation
  • ! Significant EPS decline of 72.9% YoY despite flat net income suggests substantial share dilution or poor capital allocation decisions
  • ! Low profitability margins (net margin 4.5%, operating margin 6.2%) with weak ROE of 4.4% indicate poor capital efficiency
  • ! Interest coverage ratio of 2.2x provides limited buffer for debt service in economic downturns
ChatGPT
  • ! Operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative, weakening growth quality
  • ! Interest coverage of 2.2x leaves limited cushion if borrowing costs or earnings pressure increase
  • ! Flat net income and a 72.9% drop in diluted EPS suggest margin pressure, dilution, or other earnings-quality concerns

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trend - must return to positive territory to validate earnings quality
  • * Free cash flow generation - critical indicator of sustainable profitability and cash generation ability
  • * Net income and EPS growth - currently stalling despite revenue expansion, questioning operational leverage
  • * Working capital management - negative OCF suggests deteriorating collections or inventory management
  • * Debt service capacity - monitor interest coverage ratio given high long-term debt of $952.7M
ChatGPT
  • * Operating cash flow and free cash flow trend
  • * Operating margin and interest coverage

Aar Corp. (AIR) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$1.5B
Net Income
$69.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.85
Free Cash Flow
$-47.4M
Total Assets
$3.2B
Cash Position
$75.6M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 2.84x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

AIR Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 18.9%
Operating Margin 6.2%
Net Margin 4.5%
ROE 4.4%
ROA 2.1%
FCF Margin -3.1%

AIR vs Automotive Sector: How Aar Corp. Compares

How Aar Corp. compares to Automotive sector averages

Net Margin
AIR 4.5%
vs
Sector Avg 6.0%
AIR Sector
ROE
AIR 4.4%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
AIR Sector
Current Ratio
AIR 2.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
AIR Sector
Debt/Equity
AIR 0.6x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
AIR Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Aar Corp. Stock Overvalued? AIR Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Aar Corp. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Automotive sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
4.4%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
4.5%
Sector avg: 6%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.61x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Aar Corp. Balance Sheet: AIR Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.84x
Quick Ratio
1.31x
Debt/Equity
0.61x
Debt/Assets
0.1%
Interest Coverage
2.20x
Long-term Debt
$952.7M

AIR Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

AIR 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $2.1B, Net Income $7.5M, EPS $0.21. Year 2022: Revenue $2.1B, Net Income $4.4M, EPS $0.13. Year 2023: Revenue $2.0B, Net Income $35.8M, EPS $1.00. Year 2024: Revenue $2.3B, Net Income $78.7M, EPS $2.17. Year 2025: Revenue $2.8B, Net Income $90.2M, EPS $2.53.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Aar Corp.'s revenue has grown significantly by 34% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $2.53 reflects profitable operations.

AIR Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-3.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

AIR Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Aar Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2026 $678.2M -$8.9M $-0.25
Q2 2026 $686.1M -$12.6M $-0.36
Q1 2026 $661.7M $18.0M $0.50
Q3 2025 $567.3M -$8.9M $-0.25
Q2 2025 $545.4M -$12.6M $-0.36
Q1 2025 $549.7M -$600.0K $-0.02
Q3 2024 $521.1M $14.0M $0.39
Q2 2024 $469.8M $22.5M $0.64

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Aar Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$31.3M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$10.1M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$16.1M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

AIR SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Aar Corp. (CIK: 0000001750)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 30, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Mar 30, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Mar 27, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Mar 27, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Mar 25, 2026 10-Q air-20260228x10q.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about AIR

What is the AI rating for AIR?

Aar Corp. (AIR) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 77% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are AIR's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 19.9% YoY demonstrates solid demand in aircraft and parts sector. Healthy liquidity position with current ratio of 2.84x providing operational flexibility. ChatGPT: Strong year-over-year revenue growth indicates healthy demand and execution. Liquidity is solid with a 2.84x current ratio and 1.31x quick ratio.

What are the risks of investing in AIR?

Claude: Negative operating cash flow of -$31.3M contradicts revenue growth, signaling potential working capital issues or earnings quality concerns. Negative free cash flow of -$47.4M indicates company is consuming rather than generating cash, unsustainable for long-term value creation. ChatGPT: Operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative, weakening growth quality. Interest coverage of 2.2x leaves limited cushion if borrowing costs or earnings pressure increase.

What is AIR's revenue and growth?

Aar Corp. reported revenue of $1.5B.

Does AIR pay dividends?

Aar Corp. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find AIR SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Aar Corp. (CIK: 0000001750) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is AIR's EPS?

Aar Corp. has a diluted EPS of $1.85.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is AIR a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Aar Corp. has a SELL rating with 77% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is AIR stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for AIR: ROE of 4.4% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 4.5% (sector avg: 6%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy AIR stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Aar Corp. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is AIR's free cash flow?

Aar Corp.'s operating cash flow is $-31.3M, with capital expenditures of $16.1M. FCF margin is -3.1%.

How does AIR compare to other Automotive stocks?

Vs Automotive sector averages: Net margin 4.5% (avg: 6%), ROE 4.4% (avg: 12%), current ratio 2.84 (avg: 1.2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-11-30 | Powered by Claude AI