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Aaon, Inc.. (AAON) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

AAON Nasdaq Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip NV CIK: 0000824142
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 18, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
📅 Next earnings: Apr 29, 2026 (in 13 days) • TBD ET • EPS est. $0.31 (vs $0.37 prior year) • All earnings →
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
60% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
45% Conf
HOLD
74% Conf

📊 AAON Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.4B
Net Margin: 7.5%
Free Cash Flow: $-82.4M
Current Ratio: 2.63x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $1.29
AI Rating: HOLD with 45% confidence
Aaon, Inc.. (AAON) receives a HOLD rating with 60% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $1.4B, net profit margin of 7.5%, and return on equity (ROE) of 12.0%, Aaon, Inc.. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Market sector. Below is our complete AAON stock analysis for 2026.

Is Aaon, Inc.. (AAON) a Good Investment?

Claude

AAON demonstrates strong profitability fundamentals with healthy gross margins (26.7%) and solid returns on equity (12.0%), supported by exceptional liquidity (2.63x current ratio). However, critical data anomalies—including implausible 8235% revenue growth, negative free cash flow of -$82.4M despite $534K operating cash flow, and cash equivalents of only $13K against $1.7B assets—suggest either severe reporting inconsistencies or material operational distress requiring clarification.

ChatGPT

AAON shows a solid underlying profitability profile, with positive gross, operating, and net margins, strong returns on capital, and a very liquid balance sheet with effectively no leverage. However, the reported revenue surge appears low quality given the sharp decline in net income, extremely weak operating cash flow relative to sales, and negative free cash flow driven by heavy capital spending. Fundamentally, this looks like a financially healthy company facing a period of weaker earnings conversion and elevated execution risk.

Why Buy Aaon, Inc.. Stock? AAON Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong gross margin of 26.7% indicates pricing power and operational efficiency in manufacturing
  • + Excellent liquidity position with current ratio of 2.63x and no debt (0.00x debt/equity)
  • + Solid ROE of 12.0% and ROA of 6.4% demonstrate reasonable capital deployment efficiency
  • + Operating margin of 10.1% shows disciplined cost control in core operations
ChatGPT
  • + Strong balance sheet liquidity with a 2.63x current ratio and 1.84x quick ratio
  • + Minimal financial leverage, with 0.00x debt-to-equity and extremely high interest coverage
  • + Still profitable at multiple levels, including 26.7% gross margin and 10.1% operating margin

AAON Stock Risks: Aaon, Inc.. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Severe data inconsistency: $534K operating cash flow cannot support -$82.4M free cash flow, indicating potential reporting error or cash accounting anomaly
  • ! Implausible 8235% YoY revenue growth with concurrent 36.2% net income decline suggests one-time items, acquisition-related distortions, or data quality failure
  • ! Cash position of $13K is financially impossible for a $1.7B asset company, indicating either critical liquidity crisis or measurement error
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$82.4M with $82.9M capex suggests company is consuming cash despite reported profitability
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue growth quality is questionable because earnings fell sharply despite reported top-line expansion
  • ! Operating cash flow is exceptionally weak versus revenue, indicating poor cash conversion
  • ! Negative free cash flow and elevated capital expenditures may pressure financial flexibility if sustained

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Reconcile operating cash flow ($534K) against free cash flow anomaly and cash balance verification
  • * Clarify revenue growth driver and validate YoY comparability; investigate net income decline despite massive top-line growth
  • * Confirm actual liquid cash position and working capital sufficiency for $82.9M capex program
  • * Monitor cash conversion and working capital trends given disconnect between GAAP profitability and cash generation
ChatGPT
  • * Operating cash flow relative to net income and revenue
  • * Net margin and free cash flow trend over the next few reporting periods

Aaon, Inc.. (AAON) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$1.4B
Net Income
$107.6M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.29
Free Cash Flow
$-82.4M
Total Assets
$1.7B
Cash Position
$13.0K

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 2.63x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

AAON Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 26.7%
Operating Margin 10.1%
Net Margin 7.5%
ROE 12.0%
ROA 6.4%
FCF Margin -5.7%

AAON vs Market Sector: How Aaon, Inc.. Compares

How Aaon, Inc.. compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
AAON 7.5%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
AAON Sector
ROE
AAON 12.0%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
AAON Sector
Current Ratio
AAON 2.6x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
AAON Sector
Debt/Equity
AAON 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
AAON Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Aaon, Inc.. Stock Overvalued? AAON Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Aaon, Inc.. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
12.0%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
7.5%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Aaon, Inc.. Balance Sheet: AAON Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.63x
Quick Ratio
1.84x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
73,124.00x
Long-term Debt
N/A

AAON Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

AAON 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $534.5M, Net Income $53.7M, EPS $1.02. Year 2022: Revenue $888.8M, Net Income $79.0M, EPS $1.49. Year 2023: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $58.8M, EPS $0.73. Year 2024: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $100.4M, EPS $1.24. Year 2025: Revenue $1.4B, Net Income $177.6M, EPS $2.13.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Aaon, Inc..'s revenue has grown significantly by 170% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $2.13 reflects profitable operations.

AAON Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-5.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

AAON Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Aaon, Inc.. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $327.3M $30.8M $0.37
Q2 2025 $311.6M $15.5M $0.19
Q1 2025 $262.1M $29.3M $0.35
Q3 2024 $312.0M $48.1M $0.58
Q2 2024 $284.0M $45.7M $0.55
Q1 2024 $262.1M $36.8M $0.44
Q3 2023 $242.6M $27.5M $0.34
Q2 2023 $208.8M $15.9M $0.30

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Aaon, Inc.. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$534.0K
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$30.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$82.9M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$32.6M
Returned to shareholders

AAON SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Aaon, Inc.. (CIK: 0000824142)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 10, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775843599.xml View →
Apr 10, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775842855.xml View →
Apr 10, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775842839.xml View →
Apr 10, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775842824.xml View →
Apr 10, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775842785.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about AAON

What is the AI rating for AAON?

Aaon, Inc.. (AAON) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 60% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are AAON's key strengths?

Claude: Strong gross margin of 26.7% indicates pricing power and operational efficiency in manufacturing. Excellent liquidity position with current ratio of 2.63x and no debt (0.00x debt/equity). ChatGPT: Strong balance sheet liquidity with a 2.63x current ratio and 1.84x quick ratio. Minimal financial leverage, with 0.00x debt-to-equity and extremely high interest coverage.

What are the risks of investing in AAON?

Claude: Severe data inconsistency: $534K operating cash flow cannot support -$82.4M free cash flow, indicating potential reporting error or cash accounting anomaly. Implausible 8235% YoY revenue growth with concurrent 36.2% net income decline suggests one-time items, acquisition-related distortions, or data quality failure. ChatGPT: Revenue growth quality is questionable because earnings fell sharply despite reported top-line expansion. Operating cash flow is exceptionally weak versus revenue, indicating poor cash conversion.

What is AAON's revenue and growth?

Aaon, Inc.. reported revenue of $1.4B.

Does AAON pay dividends?

Aaon, Inc.. pays dividends, with $32.6M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find AAON SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Aaon, Inc.. (CIK: 0000824142) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is AAON's EPS?

Aaon, Inc.. has a diluted EPS of $1.29.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is AAON a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Aaon, Inc.. has a HOLD rating with 60% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is AAON stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for AAON: ROE of 12.0% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 7.5% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy AAON stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Aaon, Inc.. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is AAON's free cash flow?

Aaon, Inc..'s operating cash flow is $534.0K, with capital expenditures of $82.9M. FCF margin is -5.7%.

How does AAON compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 7.5% (avg: 12%), ROE 12.0% (avg: 15%), current ratio 2.63 (avg: 1.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 18, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI