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Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

WCN NYSE Refuse Systems A6 CIK: 0001318220
Updated This Month • Analysis: Apr 29, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
72% Confidence
N/A
HOLD
72% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 WCN Key Takeaways

Revenue: $2.4B
Net Margin: 9.3%
Free Cash Flow: $249.0M
Current Ratio: 0.69x
Debt/Equity: 1.13x
EPS: $0.86
AI Rating: HOLD with 72% confidence
Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) receives a HOLD rating with 72% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $2.4B, net profit margin of 9.3%, and return on equity (ROE) of 2.7%, Waste Connections, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Market sector. Below is our complete WCN stock analysis for 2026.

Is Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) a Good Investment?

Claude

WCN exhibits stable operational performance with strong free cash flow generation ($249M, 10.5% margin) and solid operating margins (15.4%), reflecting a defensible waste management business. However, fundamentals are concerning: flat revenue and earnings growth, very weak capital returns (ROE 2.7%, ROA 1.0%), elevated leverage (Debt/Equity 1.13x), and liquidity constraints (Current Ratio 0.69x) limit upside potential and create refinancing risk.

Why Buy Waste Connections, Inc. Stock? WCN Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong free cash flow generation ($249M annually) and high conversion of revenue to operating cash flow ($545.6M)
  • + Solid operating margins (15.4%) and stable profitability (9.3% net margin) in defensive waste services industry
  • + Recurring revenue business model with essential services provides revenue stability and predictability

WCN Stock Risks: Waste Connections, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Zero revenue and net income growth (0.0% YoY) indicates stalled organic growth and market maturity
  • ! Extremely weak capital efficiency with ROE of 2.7% and ROA of 1.0% despite $21.2B in total assets
  • ! Liquidity stress with Current Ratio of 0.69x and only $112.4M cash against $9.1B long-term debt; interest coverage of 4.6x provides limited cushion

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth rate and organic growth drivers (acquisitions masking stagnation)
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and capital allocation decisions (debt paydown vs. shareholder returns)
  • * Debt-to-EBITDA ratio and refinancing obligations given tight liquidity position
  • * Operating margin trajectory (monitor for margin compression or cost pressures)
  • * Working capital trends and current ratio improvement

Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$2.4B
Net Income
$219.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.86
Free Cash Flow
$249.0M
Total Assets
$21.2B
Cash Position
$112.4M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

WCN Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 15.4%
Net Margin 9.3%
ROE 2.7%
ROA 1.0%
FCF Margin 10.5%

WCN vs Market Sector: How Waste Connections, Inc. Compares

How Waste Connections, Inc. compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
WCN 9.3%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
WCN Sector
ROE
WCN 2.7%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
WCN Sector
Current Ratio
WCN 0.7x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
WCN Sector
Debt/Equity
WCN 1.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
WCN Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Waste Connections, Inc. Stock Overvalued? WCN Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Waste Connections, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
2.7%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
9.3%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.13x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Waste Connections, Inc. Balance Sheet: WCN Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.69x
Quick Ratio
0.69x
Debt/Equity
1.13x
Debt/Assets
62.0%
Interest Coverage
4.64x
Long-term Debt
$9.1B

WCN Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

WCN 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $6.2B, Net Income $566.8M, EPS $2.14. Year 2022: Revenue $7.2B, Net Income $204.7M, EPS $0.78. Year 2023: Revenue $8.0B, Net Income $618.0M, EPS $2.36. Year 2024: Revenue $8.9B, Net Income $835.7M, EPS $3.24. Year 2025: Revenue $9.5B, Net Income $762.8M, EPS $2.95.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Waste Connections, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 54% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $2.95 reflects profitable operations.

WCN Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
10.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

WCN Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Waste Connections, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $2.2B N/A $0.86
Q3 2025 $2.3B $286.3M $1.11
Q2 2025 $2.2B $275.5M $1.07
Q1 2025 $2.1B $230.1M $0.89
Q3 2024 $2.1B $229.0M $0.89
Q2 2024 $2.0B $209.2M $0.81
Q1 2024 $1.9B $197.8M $0.77
Q3 2023 $1.9B $229.0M $0.89

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Waste Connections, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$545.6M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$284.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$296.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$88.7M
Returned to shareholders

WCN SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Waste Connections, Inc. (CIK: 0001318220)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 18, 2026 4 xslF345X06/primarydocument.xml View →
May 15, 2026 8-K tm2614785d1_8k.htm View →
May 14, 2026 4 xslF345X06/primarydocument.xml View →
May 13, 2026 4 xslF345X06/primarydocument.xml View →
May 4, 2026 4 xslF345X06/primarydocument.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about WCN

What is the AI rating for WCN?

Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) has an AI rating of HOLD with 72% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are WCN's key strengths?

Claude: Strong free cash flow generation ($249M annually) and high conversion of revenue to operating cash flow ($545.6M). Solid operating margins (15.4%) and stable profitability (9.3% net margin) in defensive waste services industry.

What are the risks of investing in WCN?

Claude: Zero revenue and net income growth (0.0% YoY) indicates stalled organic growth and market maturity. Extremely weak capital efficiency with ROE of 2.7% and ROA of 1.0% despite $21.2B in total assets.

What is WCN's revenue and growth?

Waste Connections, Inc. reported revenue of $2.4B.

Does WCN pay dividends?

Waste Connections, Inc. pays dividends, with $88.7M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find WCN SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Waste Connections, Inc. (CIK: 0001318220) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is WCN's EPS?

Waste Connections, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.86.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is WCN a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Waste Connections, Inc. has a HOLD rating with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is WCN stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for WCN: ROE of 2.7% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 9.3% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy WCN stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Waste Connections, Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is WCN's free cash flow?

Waste Connections, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $545.6M, with capital expenditures of $296.6M. FCF margin is 10.5%.

How does WCN compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 9.3% (avg: 12%), ROE 2.7% (avg: 15%), current ratio 0.69 (avg: 1.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 29, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI