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Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

TSLA Nasdaq Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies TX CIK: 0001318605
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 18, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
📅 Next earnings: Apr 22, 2026 (in 6 days) • After-hours ET • EPS est. $0.21 (vs $0.15 prior year) • All earnings →
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
72% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
62% Conf
HOLD
82% Conf

📊 TSLA Key Takeaways

Revenue: $94.8B
Net Margin: 4.0%
Free Cash Flow: $6.2B
Current Ratio: 2.16x
Debt/Equity: 0.08x
EPS: $1.08
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) receives a HOLD rating with 72% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $94.8B, net profit margin of 4.0%, and return on equity (ROE) of 4.6%, Tesla, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Automotive sector. Below is our complete TSLA stock analysis for 2026.

Is Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) a Good Investment?

Claude

Tesla exhibits solid financial health with strong liquidity (2.16x current ratio), minimal leverage (0.08x debt/equity), and robust interest coverage, but faces concerning profitability headwinds with flat revenue growth, compressed margins (18% gross margin), and a 47% YoY decline in diluted EPS despite positive operating cash flow. The company's ability to sustain and expand profitability amid intense automotive competition remains the critical question.

ChatGPT

Tesla’s fundamentals show a financially strong company with ample liquidity, low leverage, and solid free cash flow generation, which provides resilience and strategic flexibility. However, flat revenue, flat net income, weak margins, and a sharp diluted EPS decline indicate that profitability quality has deteriorated materially, limiting the case for a more aggressive rating until operating performance improves.

Why Buy Tesla, Inc. Stock? TSLA Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional balance sheet strength with $16.5B cash and only $6.6B long-term debt, providing significant financial flexibility
  • + Strong cash generation with $14.7B operating cash flow and $6.2B free cash flow demonstrating operational sustainability
  • + Healthy liquidity position (2.16x current ratio, 1.77x quick ratio) with minimal financial distress risk
ChatGPT
  • + Very strong balance sheet with low debt-to-equity and high interest coverage
  • + Healthy liquidity profile with current ratio of 2.16x and $16.51B in cash
  • + Positive operating cash flow and free cash flow support ongoing investment capacity

TSLA Stock Risks: Tesla, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Stagnant top-line growth (0% YoY revenue increase) signals market maturation or increased competitive pressure in core markets
  • ! Significant earnings per share deterioration (-47.1% YoY) indicates either increased share count or material margin compression despite stable net income
  • ! Margin compression across profitability metrics (4.6% operating margin, 4.0% net margin) suggests pricing power erosion or rising cost pressures
ChatGPT
  • ! Profitability has compressed significantly, with operating margin at 4.6% and net margin at 4.0%
  • ! Growth quality is weak as revenue and net income are flat despite continued capital intensity
  • ! Diluted EPS fell 47.1% YoY, signaling pressure on per-share earnings power

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth rate and market share trends in key geographies
  • * Gross margin trajectory and ability to maintain pricing amid competition
  • * Free cash flow conversion and capital allocation efficiency
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin and gross margin trend
  • * Revenue growth relative to capital expenditures and free cash flow

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$94.8B
Net Income
$3.8B
EPS (Diluted)
$1.08
Free Cash Flow
$6.2B
Total Assets
$137.8B
Cash Position
$16.5B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 2.16x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

TSLA Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 18.0%
Operating Margin 4.6%
Net Margin 4.0%
ROE 4.6%
ROA 2.8%
FCF Margin 6.6%

TSLA vs Automotive Sector: How Tesla, Inc. Compares

How Tesla, Inc. compares to Automotive sector averages

Net Margin
TSLA 4.0%
vs
Sector Avg 6.0%
TSLA Sector
ROE
TSLA 4.6%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
TSLA Sector
Current Ratio
TSLA 2.2x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
TSLA Sector
Debt/Equity
TSLA 0.1x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
TSLA Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Tesla, Inc. Stock Overvalued? TSLA Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Tesla, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Automotive sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
4.6%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
4.0%
Sector avg: 6%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.08x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Tesla, Inc. Balance Sheet: TSLA Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.16x
Quick Ratio
1.77x
Debt/Equity
0.08x
Debt/Assets
39.9%
Interest Coverage
26.88x
Long-term Debt
$6.6B

TSLA Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

TSLA 5-year financial data: Year 2018: Revenue $21.5B, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2023: Revenue $96.8B, Net Income $5.5B, EPS $1.63. Year 2024: Revenue $97.7B, Net Income $12.6B, EPS $3.62. Year 2025: Revenue $97.7B, Net Income $15.0B, EPS $4.30.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Tesla, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 355% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $4.30 reflects profitable operations.

TSLA Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
6.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

TSLA Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Tesla, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $25.2B $1.4B $0.39
Q2 2025 $22.5B $1.2B $0.33
Q1 2025 $19.3B $409.0M $0.12
Q3 2024 $23.4B $1.9B $0.53
Q2 2024 $24.9B $1.5B $0.42
Q1 2024 $21.3B $1.1B $0.34
Q3 2023 $21.5B $1.9B $0.53
Q3 2018 $6.8B $311.5M $1.75

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Tesla, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$14.7B
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$8.5B
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

TSLA SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Tesla, Inc. (CIK: 0001318605)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/edgardoc.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 8-K tsla-20260402.htm View →
Apr 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2610684-1_4seq1.xml View →
Mar 9, 2026 4 xslF345X05/tm268346-1_4seq1.xml View →
Feb 27, 2026 4 xslF345X05/tm267481-1_4seq1.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about TSLA

What is the AI rating for TSLA?

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 72% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are TSLA's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional balance sheet strength with $16.5B cash and only $6.6B long-term debt, providing significant financial flexibility. Strong cash generation with $14.7B operating cash flow and $6.2B free cash flow demonstrating operational sustainability. ChatGPT: Very strong balance sheet with low debt-to-equity and high interest coverage. Healthy liquidity profile with current ratio of 2.16x and $16.51B in cash.

What are the risks of investing in TSLA?

Claude: Stagnant top-line growth (0% YoY revenue increase) signals market maturation or increased competitive pressure in core markets. Significant earnings per share deterioration (-47.1% YoY) indicates either increased share count or material margin compression despite stable net income. ChatGPT: Profitability has compressed significantly, with operating margin at 4.6% and net margin at 4.0%. Growth quality is weak as revenue and net income are flat despite continued capital intensity.

What is TSLA's revenue and growth?

Tesla, Inc. reported revenue of $94.8B.

Does TSLA pay dividends?

Tesla, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find TSLA SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Tesla, Inc. (CIK: 0001318605) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is TSLA's EPS?

Tesla, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $1.08.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is TSLA a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Tesla, Inc. has a HOLD rating with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is TSLA stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for TSLA: ROE of 4.6% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 4.0% (sector avg: 6%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy TSLA stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Tesla, Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is TSLA's free cash flow?

Tesla, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $14.7B, with capital expenditures of $8.5B. FCF margin is 6.6%.

How does TSLA compare to other Automotive stocks?

Vs Automotive sector averages: Net margin 4.0% (avg: 6%), ROE 4.6% (avg: 12%), current ratio 2.16 (avg: 1.2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 18, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI