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Redwire Corp (RDW) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

RDW NYSE Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts CIK: 0001819810
Updated This Month • Analysis: Apr 8, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
77% Confidence
AGREEMENT
STRONG SELL
88% Conf
SELL
66% Conf

📊 RDW Key Takeaways

Revenue: $335.4M
Net Margin: -67.6%
Free Cash Flow: $-190.8M
Current Ratio: 1.62x
Debt/Equity: 0.08x
EPS: $-2.28
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 88% confidence
Redwire Corp (RDW) receives a SELL rating with 77% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $335.4M, net profit margin of -67.6%, and return on equity (ROE) of -21.4%, Redwire Corp demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Market sector. Below is our complete RDW stock analysis for 2026.

Is Redwire Corp (RDW) a Good Investment?

Claude

Redwire is in severe financial distress with a fundamentally broken business model. The company generated -$226.6M net income on $335.4M revenue (-67.6% margin) while burning -$190.8M in free cash flow, indicating the business cannot sustain operations at current scale. Despite 10.3% revenue growth and improving losses year-over-year, the company faces rapid cash depletion at a -$177.3M operating cash burn rate with only $94.5M in cash remaining.

ChatGPT

Despite double-digit revenue growth and a modestly leveraged balance sheet, Redwire’s core operations are deeply unprofitable with extremely low gross margins and significant operating losses. Until the company demonstrates sustained margin expansion and a clear path to positive operating cash flow, the ongoing cash burn poses a material financing and execution risk.

Why Buy Redwire Corp Stock? RDW Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Revenue growth of 10.3% year-over-year shows top-line momentum
  • + Low leverage with 0.08x debt-to-equity ratio provides minimal financial distress risk from debt
  • + Improving loss trajectory with net income improving 16.8% YoY, suggesting operational progress toward breakeven
ChatGPT
  • + Double-digit revenue growth (+10.3% YoY)
  • + Low leverage with debt/equity of 0.08x
  • + Adequate near-term liquidity (current 1.62x, quick 1.27x)

RDW Stock Risks: Redwire Corp Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Negative operating cash flow of -$177.3M and free cash flow of -$190.8M indicate unsustainable cash burn with ~6 months of runway remaining
  • ! Gross margin of 5.2% suggests severe business model issues, integration challenges, or pricing inadequacy to cover operational structure
  • ! Operating margin of -68.5% means the company loses $0.68 on every revenue dollar; growth without profitability accelerates losses
ChatGPT
  • ! Persistently negative margins (gross 5.2%, operating -68.5%)
  • ! Heavy cash burn (OCF -$177M, FCF -$191M) relative to $94M cash
  • ! Negative interest coverage indicating structurally unprofitable operations

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Gross margin trajectory - must improve above 15-20% for business viability
  • * Operating cash flow path to positive - critical survival metric
  • * Cash burn rate and runway - company must reach cash flow breakeven before cash depletion
ChatGPT
  • * Gross margin %
  • * Operating cash flow (TTM)

Redwire Corp (RDW) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$335.4M
Net Income
$-226.6M
EPS (Diluted)
$-2.28
Free Cash Flow
$-190.8M
Total Assets
$1.4B
Cash Position
$94.5M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Redwire Corp presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

RDW Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 5.2%
Operating Margin -68.5%
Net Margin -67.6%
ROE -21.4%
ROA -15.6%
FCF Margin -56.9%

RDW vs Market Sector: How Redwire Corp Compares

How Redwire Corp compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
RDW -67.6%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
RDW Sector
ROE
RDW -21.4%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
RDW Sector
Current Ratio
RDW 1.6x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
RDW Sector
Debt/Equity
RDW 0.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
RDW Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Redwire Corp Stock Overvalued? RDW Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Redwire Corp has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-21.4%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
-67.6%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.08x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Redwire Corp Balance Sheet: RDW Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.62x
Quick Ratio
1.27x
Debt/Equity
0.08x
Debt/Assets
21.5%
Interest Coverage
-5.78x
Long-term Debt
$85.2M

RDW Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

RDW 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $137.6M, Net Income -$1.3M, EPS $0.00. Year 2022: Revenue $160.5M, Net Income -$61.5M, EPS $-1.36. Year 2023: Revenue $243.8M, Net Income -$130.6M, EPS $-2.09. Year 2024: Revenue $304.1M, Net Income -$27.3M, EPS $-0.73. Year 2025: Revenue $335.4M, Net Income -$27.3M, EPS $-0.73.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Redwire Corp's revenue has grown significantly by 144% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-0.73 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

RDW Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-56.9%
Free cash flow / Revenue

RDW Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Redwire Corp including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $68.6M -$21.0M $-0.29
Q2 2025 $61.8M -$18.1M $-0.42
Q1 2025 $61.4M -$2.9M $-0.09
Q3 2024 $62.6M -$6.3M $-0.14
Q2 2024 $60.1M -$5.5M $-0.16
Q1 2024 $57.6M -$7.3M $-0.17
Q3 2023 $37.2M -$6.3M $-0.14
Q2 2023 $36.7M -$5.5M $-0.16

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Redwire Corp Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$177.3M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$13.5M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

RDW SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Redwire Corp (CIK: 0001819810)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 16, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2611964-1_4seq1.xml View →
Apr 14, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2611771-1_4seq1.xml View →
Apr 10, 2026 DEF 14A rdw-20260410.htm View →
Apr 10, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2611547-1_4seq1.xml View →
Apr 7, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775597117.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about RDW

What is the AI rating for RDW?

Redwire Corp (RDW) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (STRONG SELL) and ChatGPT (SELL) with 77% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are RDW's key strengths?

Claude: Revenue growth of 10.3% year-over-year shows top-line momentum. Low leverage with 0.08x debt-to-equity ratio provides minimal financial distress risk from debt. ChatGPT: Double-digit revenue growth (+10.3% YoY). Low leverage with debt/equity of 0.08x.

What are the risks of investing in RDW?

Claude: Negative operating cash flow of -$177.3M and free cash flow of -$190.8M indicate unsustainable cash burn with ~6 months of runway remaining. Gross margin of 5.2% suggests severe business model issues, integration challenges, or pricing inadequacy to cover operational structure. ChatGPT: Persistently negative margins (gross 5.2%, operating -68.5%). Heavy cash burn (OCF -$177M, FCF -$191M) relative to $94M cash.

What is RDW's revenue and growth?

Redwire Corp reported revenue of $335.4M.

Does RDW pay dividends?

Redwire Corp does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find RDW SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Redwire Corp (CIK: 0001819810) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is RDW's EPS?

Redwire Corp has a diluted EPS of $-2.28.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is RDW a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Redwire Corp has a SELL rating with 77% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is RDW stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for RDW: ROE of -21.4% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -67.6% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy RDW stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Redwire Corp a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is RDW's free cash flow?

Redwire Corp's operating cash flow is $-177.3M, with capital expenditures of $13.5M. FCF margin is -56.9%.

How does RDW compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin -67.6% (avg: 12%), ROE -21.4% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.62 (avg: 1.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 8, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI