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Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

NSC NYSE Railroads, Line-Haul Operating VA CIK: 0000702165
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
📅 Next earnings: Apr 24, 2026 (in 8 days) • Pre-market ET • EPS est. $2.61 (vs $2.69 prior year) • All earnings →
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
72% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
72% Conf
HOLD
72% Conf

📊 NSC Key Takeaways

Revenue: $12.2B
Net Margin: 23.6%
Free Cash Flow: $2.2B
Current Ratio: 0.85x
Debt/Equity: 1.06x
EPS: $12.75
AI Rating: HOLD with 72% confidence
Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) receives a HOLD rating with 72% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $12.2B, net profit margin of 23.6%, and return on equity (ROE) of 18.5%, Norfolk Southern Corp. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Transportation sector. Below is our complete NSC stock analysis for 2026.

Is Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) a Good Investment?

Claude

Norfolk Southern demonstrates solid operational efficiency with strong 35.8% operating margins and healthy 23.6% net margins, generating robust free cash flow of $2.2B annually. However, modest revenue growth of 0.5% YoY, elevated leverage at 1.06x debt-to-equity, and a concerning current ratio of 0.85x suggest limited near-term upside despite fundamentally sound operations.

ChatGPT

Norfolk Southern shows strong core profitability, with a 35.8% operating margin, 23.6% net margin, and solid free cash flow generation of $2.16B. However, growth is minimal, with revenue and net income essentially flat year over year, while leverage and sub-1.0 liquidity ratios limit balance-sheet flexibility. The fundamentals support a stable, high-quality operator, but not a clearly accelerating growth story.

Why Buy Norfolk Southern Corp. Stock? NSC Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional operating margin of 35.8% demonstrates pricing power and operational efficiency in core railroad operations
  • + Strong free cash flow generation of $2.2B (17.7% FCF margin) provides capital flexibility and demonstrates cash conversion quality
  • + Solid interest coverage ratio of 5.4x indicates manageable debt service obligations and financial stability
  • + ROE of 18.5% and ROA of 6.4% demonstrate effective capital deployment and profitability for shareholders
ChatGPT
  • + High operating and net margins indicate strong railroad operating economics
  • + Free cash flow generation is solid, with a 17.7% FCF margin and capex covered by operating cash flow
  • + Returns on equity and assets are healthy, showing efficient use of capital

NSC Stock Risks: Norfolk Southern Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Anemic revenue growth of 0.5% YoY signals stagnant top-line expansion and potential industry headwinds or competitive pressures
  • ! Current ratio of 0.85x and quick ratio of 0.85x indicate potential liquidity constraints and limited short-term financial flexibility
  • ! High leverage at 1.06x debt-to-equity with $16.5B long-term debt limits balance sheet flexibility for opportunistic investments or downturns
  • ! Minimal net income growth of 0.1% YoY despite EPS growth of 10.2% suggests heavy reliance on share buybacks rather than organic earnings expansion
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue and net income growth are nearly flat, suggesting limited near-term expansion
  • ! Liquidity is tight with a current and quick ratio of 0.85x
  • ! Leverage is meaningful, with debt/equity at 1.06x and interest coverage only moderate at 5.4x

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Quarterly revenue trend and volume indicators to assess whether growth inflection emerges
  • * Free cash flow conversion and capital allocation decisions between debt reduction and shareholder returns
  • * Operating margin sustainability amid potential labor cost pressures and fuel pricing volatility
  • * Debt reduction trajectory and working capital management to improve current ratio above 1.0x
ChatGPT
  • * Volume and revenue growth relative to pricing and operating efficiency
  • * Free cash flow after capital expenditures alongside debt reduction and interest coverage

Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$12.2B
Net Income
$2.9B
EPS (Diluted)
$12.75
Free Cash Flow
$2.2B
Total Assets
$45.2B
Cash Position
$1.5B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

NSC Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 35.8%
Net Margin 23.6%
ROE 18.5%
ROA 6.4%
FCF Margin 17.7%

NSC vs Transportation Sector: How Norfolk Southern Corp. Compares

How Norfolk Southern Corp. compares to Transportation sector averages

Net Margin
NSC 23.6%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
NSC Sector
ROE
NSC 18.5%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
NSC Sector
Current Ratio
NSC 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
NSC Sector
Debt/Equity
NSC 1.1x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
NSC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Norfolk Southern Corp. Stock Overvalued? NSC Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Norfolk Southern Corp. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Transportation sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
18.5%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
23.6%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.06x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Norfolk Southern Corp. Balance Sheet: NSC Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.85x
Quick Ratio
0.85x
Debt/Equity
1.06x
Debt/Assets
65.6%
Interest Coverage
5.40x
Long-term Debt
$16.5B

NSC Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

NSC 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $11.3B, Net Income $2.7B, EPS $10.25. Year 2022: Revenue $12.7B, Net Income $2.0B, EPS $7.84. Year 2023: Revenue $12.7B, Net Income $3.0B, EPS $12.11. Year 2024: Revenue $12.7B, Net Income $3.3B, EPS $13.88. Year 2025: Revenue $12.2B, Net Income $1.8B, EPS $8.02.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Norfolk Southern Corp.'s revenue has shown modest growth of 8% over the 5-year period. The most recent EPS of $8.02 reflects profitable operations.

NSC Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
17.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

NSC Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Norfolk Southern Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $3.1B $53.0M $3.16
Q2 2025 $3.0B $53.0M $3.25
Q1 2025 $3.0B $53.0M $0.23
Q3 2024 $3.0B $53.0M $2.10
Q2 2024 $3.0B $53.0M $1.56
Q1 2024 $3.0B $53.0M $0.23
Q3 2023 $3.0B $356.0M $2.10
Q2 2023 $3.0B $356.0M $1.56

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Norfolk Southern Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$4.4B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$534.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$2.2B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$1.2B
Returned to shareholders

NSC SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Norfolk Southern Corp. (CIK: 0000702165)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 8-K nsc-20260402.htm View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →
Mar 27, 2026 DEF 14A nsc-20260327.htm View →
Feb 24, 2026 4 xslF345X05/doc4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about NSC

What is the AI rating for NSC?

Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 72% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are NSC's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional operating margin of 35.8% demonstrates pricing power and operational efficiency in core railroad operations. Strong free cash flow generation of $2.2B (17.7% FCF margin) provides capital flexibility and demonstrates cash conversion quality. ChatGPT: High operating and net margins indicate strong railroad operating economics. Free cash flow generation is solid, with a 17.7% FCF margin and capex covered by operating cash flow.

What are the risks of investing in NSC?

Claude: Anemic revenue growth of 0.5% YoY signals stagnant top-line expansion and potential industry headwinds or competitive pressures. Current ratio of 0.85x and quick ratio of 0.85x indicate potential liquidity constraints and limited short-term financial flexibility. ChatGPT: Revenue and net income growth are nearly flat, suggesting limited near-term expansion. Liquidity is tight with a current and quick ratio of 0.85x.

What is NSC's revenue and growth?

Norfolk Southern Corp. reported revenue of $12.2B.

Does NSC pay dividends?

Norfolk Southern Corp. pays dividends, with $1,215.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find NSC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Norfolk Southern Corp. (CIK: 0000702165) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is NSC's EPS?

Norfolk Southern Corp. has a diluted EPS of $12.75.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is NSC a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Norfolk Southern Corp. has a HOLD rating with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is NSC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for NSC: ROE of 18.5% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 23.6% (sector avg: 10%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy NSC stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Norfolk Southern Corp. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is NSC's free cash flow?

Norfolk Southern Corp.'s operating cash flow is $4.4B, with capital expenditures of $2.2B. FCF margin is 17.7%.

How does NSC compare to other Transportation stocks?

Vs Transportation sector averages: Net margin 23.6% (avg: 10%), ROE 18.5% (avg: 18%), current ratio 0.85 (avg: 1).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI