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Csx Corp. (CSX) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

CSX Nasdaq Railroads, Line-Haul Operating VA CIK: 0000277948
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 23, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
📅 Next earnings: Apr 22, 2026 (in 6 days) • After-hours ET • EPS est. $0.39 (vs $0.34 prior year) • All earnings →
Combined AI Rating
BUY
77% Confidence
AGREEMENT
BUY
72% Conf
HOLD
82% Conf

📊 CSX Key Takeaways

Revenue: $14.1B
Net Margin: 20.5%
Free Cash Flow: $1.7B
Current Ratio: 0.81x
Debt/Equity: 1.38x
EPS: $1.54
AI Rating: BUY with 72% confidence
Csx Corp. (CSX) receives a BUY rating with 77% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $14.1B, net profit margin of 20.5%, and return on equity (ROE) of 22.0%, Csx Corp. demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Transportation sector. Below is our complete CSX stock analysis for 2026.

Is Csx Corp. (CSX) a Good Investment?

Claude

CSX demonstrates robust operational profitability with a 32.1% operating margin and strong interest coverage of 30.3x, indicating excellent ability to service debt. However, declining revenues (-3.1% YoY) and net income (-16.7% YoY) signal near-term headwinds in demand, though the company maintains solid cash generation with $1.7B free cash flow and healthy FCF margin of 12.1%.

ChatGPT

CSX remains a fundamentally solid railroad with high operating and net margins, strong returns on equity, and very strong interest coverage, indicating durable earnings power despite a capital-intensive business model. However, the latest period shows weakening growth quality, with revenue, net income, and diluted EPS all declining year over year, while leverage remains meaningful and liquidity is below 1x. The business looks financially resilient, but current fundamentals support a neutral stance until earnings momentum and cash generation improve.

Why Buy Csx Corp. Stock? CSX Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional operating margin of 32.1% demonstrates pricing power and operational efficiency in the railroad industry
  • + Strong interest coverage ratio of 30.3x provides substantial debt servicing cushion despite leverage
  • + Solid free cash flow generation of $1.7B supports capital investments ($2.9B capex) and shareholder returns
  • + Return on equity of 22% reflects efficient capital deployment and profitability relative to shareholder base
  • + High insider activity with 43 Form 4 filings suggests management confidence in business fundamentals
ChatGPT
  • + High profitability, with 32.1% operating margin and 20.5% net margin
  • + Strong earnings quality and debt service capacity, supported by 30.3x interest coverage and $4.61B in operating cash flow
  • + Attractive underlying business efficiency, reflected in 22.0% ROE and solid free cash flow generation

CSX Stock Risks: Csx Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Revenue decline of 3.1% YoY indicates weakening freight demand in the transportation sector
  • ! Net income fell 16.7% YoY, outpacing revenue decline and suggesting margin compression or expense pressures
  • ! Current ratio of 0.81x signals tight liquidity and potential short-term working capital constraints
  • ! High leverage with debt-to-equity of 1.38x and long-term debt of $18.2B limits financial flexibility
  • ! Capital-intensive business model requires sustained high capex spending ($2.9B annually) to maintain competitive position
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue, net income, and EPS are all declining year over year, pointing to near-term operating pressure
  • ! Leverage is elevated, with debt/equity of 1.38x and $18.16B of long-term debt
  • ! Liquidity is tight, with current and quick ratios of 0.81x, limiting short-term balance sheet flexibility

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth trajectory and freight volume trends to assess demand recovery
  • * Operating margin sustainability amid potential pricing pressures and cost inflation
  • * Free cash flow stability and conversion ability to fund debt reduction or shareholder distributions
  • * Current ratio and working capital management to ensure adequate liquidity
  • * Debt-to-equity ratio and refinancing costs given elevated leverage levels
ChatGPT
  • * Revenue and volume trend versus operating income margin
  • * Free cash flow after capital expenditures and long-term debt levels

Csx Corp. (CSX) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$14.1B
Net Income
$2.9B
EPS (Diluted)
$1.54
Free Cash Flow
$1.7B
Total Assets
$43.7B
Cash Position
$670.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

CSX Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 32.1%
Net Margin 20.5%
ROE 22.0%
ROA 6.6%
FCF Margin 12.1%

CSX vs Transportation Sector: How Csx Corp. Compares

How Csx Corp. compares to Transportation sector averages

Net Margin
CSX 20.5%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
CSX Sector
ROE
CSX 22.0%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
CSX Sector
Current Ratio
CSX 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
CSX Sector
Debt/Equity
CSX 1.4x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
CSX Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Csx Corp. Stock Overvalued? CSX Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Csx Corp. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Transportation sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
22.0%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
20.5%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.38x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Csx Corp. Balance Sheet: CSX Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.81x
Quick Ratio
0.81x
Debt/Equity
1.38x
Debt/Assets
69.9%
Interest Coverage
30.34x
Long-term Debt
$18.2B

CSX Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

CSX 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $12.5B, Net Income $3.3B, EPS $1.39. Year 2022: Revenue $14.9B, Net Income $2.8B, EPS $1.20. Year 2023: Revenue $14.9B, Net Income $3.8B, EPS $1.68. Year 2024: Revenue $14.9B, Net Income $4.1B, EPS $1.92. Year 2025: Revenue $14.7B, Net Income $3.7B, EPS $1.82.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Csx Corp.'s revenue has grown significantly by 17% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $1.82 reflects profitable operations.

CSX Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
12.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CSX Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Csx Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $3.6B $646.0M $0.37
Q2 2025 $3.6B $646.0M $0.44
Q1 2025 $3.4B $646.0M $0.34
Q3 2024 $3.6B $828.0M $0.41
Q2 2024 $3.7B $828.0M $0.41
Q1 2024 $3.7B $893.0M $0.46
Q3 2023 $3.6B $846.0M $0.42
Q2 2023 $3.7B $859.0M $0.49

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Csx Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$4.6B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$1.4B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$2.9B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$972.0M
Returned to shareholders

CSX SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Csx Corp. (CIK: 0000277948)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 30, 2026 DEF 14A csx-20260326.htm View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Mar 6, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Mar 4, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CSX

What is the AI rating for CSX?

Csx Corp. (CSX) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (BUY) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 77% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CSX's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional operating margin of 32.1% demonstrates pricing power and operational efficiency in the railroad industry. Strong interest coverage ratio of 30.3x provides substantial debt servicing cushion despite leverage. ChatGPT: High profitability, with 32.1% operating margin and 20.5% net margin. Strong earnings quality and debt service capacity, supported by 30.3x interest coverage and $4.61B in operating cash flow.

What are the risks of investing in CSX?

Claude: Revenue decline of 3.1% YoY indicates weakening freight demand in the transportation sector. Net income fell 16.7% YoY, outpacing revenue decline and suggesting margin compression or expense pressures. ChatGPT: Revenue, net income, and EPS are all declining year over year, pointing to near-term operating pressure. Leverage is elevated, with debt/equity of 1.38x and $18.16B of long-term debt.

What is CSX's revenue and growth?

Csx Corp. reported revenue of $14.1B.

Does CSX pay dividends?

Csx Corp. pays dividends, with $972.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find CSX SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Csx Corp. (CIK: 0000277948) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CSX's EPS?

Csx Corp. has a diluted EPS of $1.54.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is CSX a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Csx Corp. has a BUY rating with 77% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is CSX stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for CSX: ROE of 22.0% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 20.5% (sector avg: 10%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy CSX stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Csx Corp. a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is CSX's free cash flow?

Csx Corp.'s operating cash flow is $4.6B, with capital expenditures of $2.9B. FCF margin is 12.1%.

How does CSX compare to other Transportation stocks?

Vs Transportation sector averages: Net margin 20.5% (avg: 10%), ROE 22.0% (avg: 18%), current ratio 0.81 (avg: 1).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 23, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI