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National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ (NRUC) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

NRUC NYSE Miscellaneous Business Credit Institution DC CIK: 0000070502
Updated This Month • Analysis: Apr 3, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-11-30
Combined AI Rating
SELL
63% Confidence
AGREEMENT
HOLD
62% Conf
SELL
64% Conf

📊 NRUC Key Takeaways

Revenue: $143.0M
Net Margin: 17.0%
Free Cash Flow: $120.3M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 8.95x
EPS: $0.00
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence
National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ (NRUC) receives a SELL rating with 63% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $143.0M, net profit margin of 17.0%, and return on equity (ROE) of 0.8%, National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete NRUC stock analysis for 2026.

Is National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ (NRUC) a Good Investment?

Claude

NRUC demonstrates strong cash generation with 84.1% FCF margin and positive operating cash flow of $121.2M, indicating efficient core operations. However, profitability metrics are concerning with negative operating margins (-5.9%), extremely low ROE (0.8%), and a highly leveraged balance sheet (8.95x debt/equity ratio) that creates financial risk despite solid liquidity position. The 1014% revenue spike requires investigation into whether growth is sustainable or one-time in nature.

ChatGPT

NRUC generates positive net income and strong free cash flow, but underlying profitability is weak with a negative operating margin and very low ROE. Extremely high leverage and near-zero interest coverage heighten sensitivity to funding costs and credit losses. Until core earnings and coverage improve, the fundamental profile remains cautious.

Why Buy National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ Stock? NRUC Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional free cash flow margin of 84.1% demonstrates strong cash conversion efficiency
  • + Robust operating cash flow of $121.2M provides financial flexibility and debt service capability
  • + Adequate liquidity with $304.5M in cash and equivalents relative to near-term obligations
  • + Net income of $24.4M and 17.0% net margin shows bottom-line profitability despite operational challenges
ChatGPT
  • + Strong free cash flow generation and high FCF margin
  • + Net income essentially flat YoY despite revenue volatility
  • + Large asset base and meaningful equity cushion for a finance entity

NRUC Stock Risks: National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Extreme financial leverage at 8.95x debt/equity with $27.3B long-term debt poses significant financial distress risk if cash flows deteriorate
  • ! Negative operating margin of -5.9% and negligible interest coverage ratio indicate core operations may not generate sufficient earnings to service debt independently
  • ! Extraordinarily high 1014% YoY revenue growth is atypical and raises questions about sustainability, one-time items, or accounting changes
  • ! Minimal return on equity (0.8%) and return on assets (0.1%) suggest inefficient capital deployment despite large asset base of $39.1B
  • ! Absence of recent insider activity and zero Form 4 filings in 90 days may indicate limited insider confidence or restricted trading
ChatGPT
  • ! High leverage (8.95x D/E) amplifies downside risk
  • ! Negative operating margin and near-zero interest coverage
  • ! Revenue volatility and reliance on non-operating items for profitability

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Breakdown of revenue components to verify sustainability of 1014% growth and identify any non-recurring items
  • * Trend in operating margins over next 2-3 quarters to assess whether negative margins normalize
  • * Debt refinancing activities and interest rate sensitivity given 8.95x leverage and $27.3B debt burden
  • * Free cash flow stability and debt service coverage ratio to confirm ability to manage high leverage
  • * Return on equity trajectory to determine if capital efficiency improves
ChatGPT
  • * ROE
  • * Interest coverage

National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ (NRUC) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$143.0M
Net Income
$24.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.00
Free Cash Flow
$120.3M
Total Assets
$39.1B
Cash Position
$304.5M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 84.1% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

NRUC Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -5.9%
Net Margin 17.0%
ROE 0.8%
ROA 0.1%
FCF Margin 84.1%

NRUC vs Finance Sector: How National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ Compares

How National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
NRUC 17.0%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
NRUC Sector
ROE
NRUC 0.8%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
NRUC Sector
Current Ratio
NRUC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
NRUC Sector
Debt/Equity
NRUC 9.0x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
NRUC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ Stock Overvalued? NRUC Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
0.8%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
17.0%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
8.95x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ Balance Sheet: NRUC Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
8.95x
Debt/Assets
92.1%
Interest Coverage
-0.01x
Long-term Debt
$27.3B

NRUC Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

NRUC 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline.

NRUC Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
84.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$121.2M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$953.0K
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

NRUC SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ (CIK: 0000070502)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 10, 2026 10-Q nruc-20260228.htm View →
Mar 20, 2026 8-K nru-20260320.htm View →
Feb 10, 2026 8-K nru-20260206.htm View →
Jan 30, 2026 8-K tm264510d1_8k.htm View →
Jan 13, 2026 10-Q nruc-20251130.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about NRUC

What is the AI rating for NRUC?

National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ (NRUC) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (SELL) with 63% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are NRUC's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional free cash flow margin of 84.1% demonstrates strong cash conversion efficiency. Robust operating cash flow of $121.2M provides financial flexibility and debt service capability. ChatGPT: Strong free cash flow generation and high FCF margin. Net income essentially flat YoY despite revenue volatility.

What are the risks of investing in NRUC?

Claude: Extreme financial leverage at 8.95x debt/equity with $27.3B long-term debt poses significant financial distress risk if cash flows deteriorate. Negative operating margin of -5.9% and negligible interest coverage ratio indicate core operations may not generate sufficient earnings to service debt independently. ChatGPT: High leverage (8.95x D/E) amplifies downside risk. Negative operating margin and near-zero interest coverage.

What is NRUC's revenue and growth?

National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ reported revenue of $143.0M.

Does NRUC pay dividends?

National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find NRUC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ (CIK: 0000070502) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is NRUC's EPS?

National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ has a diluted EPS of $0.00.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is NRUC a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ has a SELL rating with 63% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is NRUC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for NRUC: ROE of 0.8% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 17.0% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy NRUC stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is NRUC's free cash flow?

National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/'s operating cash flow is $121.2M, with capital expenditures of $953.0K. FCF margin is 84.1%.

How does NRUC compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 17.0% (avg: 25%), ROE 0.8% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

Is National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp. /Dc/ carrying too much debt?

NRUC has a debt-to-equity ratio of 8.95x, which is above the Finance sector average of 2x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 3, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-11-30 | Powered by Claude AI