📊 NEXT Key Takeaways
Is NextDecade Corp (NEXT) a Good Investment?
NextDecade is a pre-revenue development-stage LNG company burning $5.0B annually in free cash flow with a critical liquidity crisis (0.54x current ratio) and extreme leverage (92.59x debt/equity). The company faces unsustainable cash burn despite holding $12.4B in assets, indicating heavy reliance on external financing before project commercialization.
NextDecade is pre-revenue with heavy ongoing capex, deeply negative free cash flow, and extreme leverage, resulting in weak liquidity and an inability to cover interest. Despite a large asset base, thin equity and negative operating cash flows create elevated financing and execution risk that dominate the near-term outlook.
Why Buy NextDecade Corp Stock? NEXT Key Strengths
- Substantial asset base of $12.4B supporting LNG infrastructure development
- Cash position of $143.8M provides near-term operating runway
- Active insider engagement indicated by 8 Form 4 filings in 90 days
- Large asset base ($12.43B) relative to liabilities, offering some asset coverage
- Significant capex deployment ($4.85B) indicates project advancement toward future operations
- ROA (-3.5%) comparatively modest for a pre-revenue, construction-phase asset base
NEXT Stock Risks: NextDecade Corp Investment Risks
- Zero revenue generation with negative net income of -$429.6M
- Critical liquidity crisis: current ratio of 0.54x indicates inability to cover short-term obligations
- Extreme leverage (debt/equity 92.59x) with $8.8B long-term debt unsustainable
- Massive free cash flow burn of -$5.0B annually with negative operating cash flow
- Negative interest coverage (-1.3x) indicates inability to service debt from operations
- Speculative dependence on future LNG project commercialization and external capital raises
- Liquidity stress: current ratio 0.54x and cash $143.78M
- Solvency/financing risk: D/E 92.59x and interest coverage -1.3x
- Sustained cash burn with no revenue: FCF -$5.02B
Key Metrics to Watch
- Operating cash flow trend and path to positive territory
- Liquidity position and ability to secure additional financing
- Progress on Rio Grande LNG facility commercialization timeline
- Debt refinancing needs and terms in capital markets
- Shareholder dilution from future equity raises
- Revenue (initiation and ramp)
- Current ratio (and cash balance)
NextDecade Corp (NEXT) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios
💡 AI Analyst Insight
The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.
NEXT Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis
NEXT vs Energy Sector: How NextDecade Corp Compares
How NextDecade Corp compares to Energy sector averages
Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.
Is NextDecade Corp Stock Overvalued? NEXT Valuation Analysis 2026
Based on fundamental analysis, NextDecade Corp shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Energy sector in 2026.
Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.
NextDecade Corp Balance Sheet: NEXT Debt, Cash & Liquidity
NEXT Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend
5-Year Trend Summary: NextDecade Corp's revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $-0.94 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.
NEXT Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance
NEXT Quarterly Earnings & Performance
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | N/A | -$204.0M | $-0.42 |
| Q2 2025 | N/A | $189.1M | $-0.02 |
| Q1 2025 | N/A | $186.8M | $0.11 |
| Q3 2024 | N/A | $34.2M | $-0.31 |
| Q2 2024 | N/A | -$147.6M | $-0.02 |
| Q1 2024 | N/A | -$27.3M | $0.11 |
| Q3 2023 | N/A | $34.2M | $-0.19 |
| Q2 2023 | N/A | -$10.9M | N/A |
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.
NextDecade Corp Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation
NEXT SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis
Access official SEC EDGAR filings for NextDecade Corp (CIK: 0001612720)
📋 Recent SEC Filings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions about NEXT
What is the AI rating for NEXT?
NextDecade Corp (NEXT) has a Combined AI Rating of STRONG SELL from Claude (STRONG SELL) and ChatGPT (STRONG SELL) with 85% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.
What are NEXT's key strengths?
Claude: Substantial asset base of $12.4B supporting LNG infrastructure development. Cash position of $143.8M provides near-term operating runway. ChatGPT: Large asset base ($12.43B) relative to liabilities, offering some asset coverage. Significant capex deployment ($4.85B) indicates project advancement toward future operations.
What are the risks of investing in NEXT?
Claude: Zero revenue generation with negative net income of -$429.6M. Critical liquidity crisis: current ratio of 0.54x indicates inability to cover short-term obligations. ChatGPT: Liquidity stress: current ratio 0.54x and cash $143.78M. Solvency/financing risk: D/E 92.59x and interest coverage -1.3x.
What is NEXT's revenue and growth?
NextDecade Corp reported revenue of $0.0.
Does NEXT pay dividends?
NextDecade Corp pays dividends, with $1.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.
Where can I find NEXT SEC filings?
Official SEC filings for NextDecade Corp (CIK: 0001612720) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.
What is NEXT's EPS?
NextDecade Corp has a diluted EPS of $-1.17.
How is the AI analysis conducted?
Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.
Is NEXT a good stock to buy right now?
Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, NextDecade Corp has a STRONG SELL rating with 85% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.
Is NEXT stock overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation metrics for NEXT: ROE of -450.6% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of N/A (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.
Should I buy NEXT stock in 2026?
Our dual AI analysis gives NextDecade Corp a combined STRONG SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.
What is NEXT's free cash flow?
NextDecade Corp's operating cash flow is $-169.4M, with capital expenditures of $4.8B.
How does NEXT compare to other Energy stocks?
Vs Energy sector averages: Net margin N/A (avg: 12%), ROE -450.6% (avg: 14%), current ratio 0.54 (avg: 1.3).
Is NextDecade Corp carrying too much debt?
NEXT has a debt-to-equity ratio of 92.59x, which is above the Energy sector average of 0.6x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.