← Back to All US Stocks

Jakks Pacific Inc. (JAKK) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

JAKK Nasdaq Games, Toys & Children's Vehicles (No Dolls & Bicycles) DE CIK: 0001009829
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 29, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
74% Confidence
AGREEMENT
SELL
72% Conf
HOLD
76% Conf

📊 JAKK Key Takeaways

Revenue: $570.7M
Net Margin: 1.7%
Free Cash Flow: $-1.1M
Current Ratio: 1.82x
Debt/Equity: 0.28x
EPS: $0.86
AI Rating: SELL with 72% confidence
Jakks Pacific Inc. (JAKK) receives a SELL rating with 74% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $570.7M, net profit margin of 1.7%, and return on equity (ROE) of 4.0%, Jakks Pacific Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Market sector. Below is our complete JAKK stock analysis for 2026.

Is Jakks Pacific Inc. (JAKK) a Good Investment?

Claude

JAKKS Pacific exhibits deteriorating operational performance with revenue declining 17.4% YoY while maintaining marginal profitability, suggesting structural headwinds in the toy and games sector. Negative free cash flow of -1.1M combined with high debt servicing costs and minimal net margins indicate the company is struggling to convert sales into sustainable cash generation, raising concerns about financial sustainability.

ChatGPT

JAKKS Pacific shows a solid balance sheet with good liquidity, modest leverage, and strong interest coverage, which limits near-term financial stress. However, the latest fundamentals are weak: revenue fell 17.4% year over year, operating and net margins remain thin, and free cash flow turned slightly negative. The company appears financially stable but fundamentally lacks strong growth quality and durable profitability at current levels.

Why Buy Jakks Pacific Inc. Stock? JAKK Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Solid liquidity position with current ratio of 1.82x and cash balance of 52.2M providing near-term operational flexibility
  • + Manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28x with strong interest coverage of 30.2x indicating ability to service obligations
  • + Gross margin of 32.4% demonstrates reasonable pricing power and production efficiency despite revenue contraction
ChatGPT
  • + Healthy liquidity with a 1.82x current ratio and 1.41x quick ratio
  • + Low leverage with debt/equity of 0.28x and strong 30.2x interest coverage
  • + Positive net income and sizable equity base of $249.10M support balance-sheet resilience

JAKK Stock Risks: Jakks Pacific Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Revenue declining 17.4% YoY signals loss of market share or demand weakness in core toy and games segment with no clear turnaround catalyst
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -1.1M despite positive operating income indicates capital intensity and deteriorating cash conversion, unsustainable long-term
  • ! Razor-thin net margin of 1.7% and operating margin of 2.5% leave minimal cushion for operational disruptions or unexpected costs
  • ! Diluted EPS collapsed 72.6% YoY while net income remained flat, indicating significant share dilution and earnings pressure
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue contraction of 17.4% year over year signals meaningful top-line pressure
  • ! Very thin profitability with 2.5% operating margin and 1.7% net margin leaves limited cushion
  • ! Negative free cash flow and low operating cash flow weaken earnings quality

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue trajectory and comparable sales trends - critical to assess whether 17.4% decline continues or stabilizes
  • * Free cash flow sustainability - must return to positive territory to fund operations and debt reduction
  • * Operating margin expansion - minimal 2.5% margin suggests pricing power or cost structure issues requiring remediation
ChatGPT
  • * Revenue growth and operating margin recovery
  • * Operating cash flow and free cash flow consistency

Jakks Pacific Inc. (JAKK) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$570.7M
Net Income
$9.9M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.86
Free Cash Flow
$-1.1M
Total Assets
$442.2M
Cash Position
$52.2M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Jakks Pacific Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

JAKK Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 32.4%
Operating Margin 2.5%
Net Margin 1.7%
ROE 4.0%
ROA 2.2%
FCF Margin -0.2%

JAKK vs Market Sector: How Jakks Pacific Inc. Compares

How Jakks Pacific Inc. compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
JAKK 1.7%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
JAKK Sector
ROE
JAKK 4.0%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
JAKK Sector
Current Ratio
JAKK 1.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
JAKK Sector
Debt/Equity
JAKK 0.3x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
JAKK Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Jakks Pacific Inc. Stock Overvalued? JAKK Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Jakks Pacific Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
4.0%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
1.7%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.28x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Jakks Pacific Inc. Balance Sheet: JAKK Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.82x
Quick Ratio
1.41x
Debt/Equity
0.28x
Debt/Assets
43.7%
Interest Coverage
30.19x
Long-term Debt
$68.9M

JAKK Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

JAKK 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $621.1M, Net Income -$55.5M, EPS $-4.10. Year 2022: Revenue $796.2M, Net Income -$14.3M, EPS $-4.27. Year 2023: Revenue $796.2M, Net Income -$6.0M, EPS $-0.98. Year 2024: Revenue $796.2M, Net Income $91.4M, EPS $8.86. Year 2025: Revenue $711.6M, Net Income $38.4M, EPS $3.48.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Jakks Pacific Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 15% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $3.48 reflects profitable operations.

JAKK Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-0.2%
Free cash flow / Revenue

JAKK Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Jakks Pacific Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $211.2M -$2.3M $1.32
Q2 2025 $119.1M -$2.3M $-0.21
Q1 2025 $90.1M -$2.4M $-0.21
Q3 2024 $309.7M $5.3M $3.99
Q2 2024 $148.6M $1.1M $0.04
Q1 2024 $90.1M -$5.3M N/A
Q3 2023 $309.7M -$3.8M $2.96
Q2 2023 $166.9M $1.1M $0.04

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Jakks Pacific Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$8.5M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$9.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$11.2M
Returned to shareholders

JAKK SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Jakks Pacific Inc. (CIK: 0001009829)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 27, 2026 8-K jakk8k032626.htm View →
Mar 2, 2026 10-K jakk10k123125.htm View →
Feb 20, 2026 8-K jakk8k021826.htm View →
Jan 2, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Jan 2, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about JAKK

What is the AI rating for JAKK?

Jakks Pacific Inc. (JAKK) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 74% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are JAKK's key strengths?

Claude: Solid liquidity position with current ratio of 1.82x and cash balance of 52.2M providing near-term operational flexibility. Manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28x with strong interest coverage of 30.2x indicating ability to service obligations. ChatGPT: Healthy liquidity with a 1.82x current ratio and 1.41x quick ratio. Low leverage with debt/equity of 0.28x and strong 30.2x interest coverage.

What are the risks of investing in JAKK?

Claude: Revenue declining 17.4% YoY signals loss of market share or demand weakness in core toy and games segment with no clear turnaround catalyst. Negative free cash flow of -1.1M despite positive operating income indicates capital intensity and deteriorating cash conversion, unsustainable long-term. ChatGPT: Revenue contraction of 17.4% year over year signals meaningful top-line pressure. Very thin profitability with 2.5% operating margin and 1.7% net margin leaves limited cushion.

What is JAKK's revenue and growth?

Jakks Pacific Inc. reported revenue of $570.7M.

Does JAKK pay dividends?

Jakks Pacific Inc. pays dividends, with $11.2M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find JAKK SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Jakks Pacific Inc. (CIK: 0001009829) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is JAKK's EPS?

Jakks Pacific Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.86.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is JAKK a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Jakks Pacific Inc. has a SELL rating with 74% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is JAKK stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for JAKK: ROE of 4.0% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 1.7% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy JAKK stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Jakks Pacific Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is JAKK's free cash flow?

Jakks Pacific Inc.'s operating cash flow is $8.5M, with capital expenditures of $9.6M. FCF margin is -0.2%.

How does JAKK compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 1.7% (avg: 12%), ROE 4.0% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.82 (avg: 1.8).

Top Rated Stocks
NSSC 92% MLI 92% MELI 92% MDXG 92% MANH 92% INVA 92% GGG 92% GCT 92% FTNT 92% FSLR 92%
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 29, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI