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Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR-PC) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

IVR-PC NYSE Real Estate Investment Trusts MD CIK: 0001437071
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 29, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
67% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
62% Conf
HOLD
72% Conf

📊 IVR-PC Key Takeaways

Revenue: $295.3M
Net Margin: 34.3%
Free Cash Flow: $157.1M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.93x
EPS: $1.32
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR-PC) receives a HOLD rating with 67% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $295.3M, net profit margin of 34.3%, and return on equity (ROE) of 12.7%, Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Real Estate sector. Below is our complete IVR-PC stock analysis for 2026.

Is Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR-PC) a Good Investment?

Claude

Invesco Mortgage Capital demonstrates solid profitability with 34.3% net margins and positive 12.7% ROE, but the business model is heavily leveraged with 0.93x debt-to-equity ratio and significant reliance on mortgage market conditions. Revenue growth of 291.5% YoY appears exceptional but may reflect market volatility in mortgage investments rather than sustainable operational expansion.

ChatGPT

Invesco Mortgage Capital shows materially improved earnings power, with revenue up 291.5% year over year, diluted EPS up 103.1%, and solid operating cash generation relative to revenue. Profitability is respectable for a leveraged mortgage REIT, but the balance sheet remains liability-heavy and cash on hand is modest, which keeps the fundamental profile mixed rather than clearly strong.

Why Buy Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. Stock? IVR-PC Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong net margin of 34.3% demonstrates efficient core operations
  • + Positive free cash flow of $157.1M with 53.2% FCF margin supports distributions
  • + Diluted EPS growth of 103.1% YoY shows improved per-share profitability
  • + Reasonable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.93x for a mortgage REIT
ChatGPT
  • + Strong year-over-year revenue and EPS growth indicates improved earnings momentum
  • + Net income of $101.28M and 34.3% net margin show healthy bottom-line profitability
  • + Operating cash flow of $157.09M and 53.2% free cash flow margin support earnings quality

IVR-PC Stock Risks: Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Revenue volatility of 291.5% YoY suggests mortgage market sensitivity and potential unrealized gains recognition
  • ! Low ROA of 1.6% despite $6.5B in assets indicates capital deployment challenges
  • ! High leverage with $5.7B liabilities against $797.5M equity creates financial fragility in rising rate environments
  • ! Limited insider buying activity (1 Form 4 filing in 90 days) may signal management caution
  • ! Mortgage REIT sector exposure to interest rate and prepayment risks
ChatGPT
  • ! High balance sheet leverage, with $5.68B of liabilities against $797.54M of equity, leaves limited room for stress
  • ! Cash of $56.04M is relatively small compared with the size of the asset base and obligations
  • ! ROA of 1.6% suggests profitability remains thin relative to total assets, which is typical but still a risk for mortgage REITs

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net interest margin trends and mortgage portfolio composition
  • * Debt-to-equity trajectory and refinancing needs
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability and distribution coverage ratio
  • * Portfolio prepayment speeds and realization of gains/losses
  • * Interest rate environment impact on mortgage valuations
ChatGPT
  • * Quarterly book value/equity trend and debt-to-equity
  • * Operating cash flow consistency versus reported net income

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR-PC) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$295.3M
Net Income
$101.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.32
Free Cash Flow
$157.1M
Total Assets
$6.5B
Cash Position
$56.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 53.2% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

IVR-PC Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin 34.3%
ROE 12.7%
ROA 1.6%
FCF Margin 53.2%

IVR-PC vs Real Estate Sector: How Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. Compares

How Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. compares to Real Estate sector averages

Net Margin
IVR-PC 34.3%
vs
Sector Avg 20.0%
IVR-PC Sector
ROE
IVR-PC 12.7%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
IVR-PC Sector
Current Ratio
IVR-PC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
IVR-PC Sector
Debt/Equity
IVR-PC 0.9x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
IVR-PC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. Stock Overvalued? IVR-PC Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. appears fundamentally strong relative to the Real Estate sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
12.7%
Sector avg: 8%
Net Profit Margin
34.3%
Sector avg: 20%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.93x
Sector avg: 1.5x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. Balance Sheet: IVR-PC Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.93x
Debt/Assets
87.7%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$740.0M

IVR-PC Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

IVR-PC 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $-0.85 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

IVR-PC Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
53.2%
Free cash flow / Revenue

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$157.1M
Cash generated from operations
Dividends Paid
$8.2M
Returned to shareholders

IVR-PC SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (CIK: 0001437071)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 15, 2026 8-K ivr-20260415.htm View →
Apr 14, 2026 8-K ivr-20260413.htm View →
Mar 20, 2026 DEF 14A d931639ddef14a.htm View →
Mar 13, 2026 8-K ivr-20260313.htm View →
Mar 10, 2026 8-K ivr-20260306.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about IVR-PC

What is the AI rating for IVR-PC?

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR-PC) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 67% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are IVR-PC's key strengths?

Claude: Strong net margin of 34.3% demonstrates efficient core operations. Positive free cash flow of $157.1M with 53.2% FCF margin supports distributions. ChatGPT: Strong year-over-year revenue and EPS growth indicates improved earnings momentum. Net income of $101.28M and 34.3% net margin show healthy bottom-line profitability.

What are the risks of investing in IVR-PC?

Claude: Revenue volatility of 291.5% YoY suggests mortgage market sensitivity and potential unrealized gains recognition. Low ROA of 1.6% despite $6.5B in assets indicates capital deployment challenges. ChatGPT: High balance sheet leverage, with $5.68B of liabilities against $797.54M of equity, leaves limited room for stress. Cash of $56.04M is relatively small compared with the size of the asset base and obligations.

What is IVR-PC's revenue and growth?

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. reported revenue of $295.3M.

Does IVR-PC pay dividends?

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. pays dividends, with $8.2M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find IVR-PC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (CIK: 0001437071) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is IVR-PC's EPS?

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. has a diluted EPS of $1.32.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is IVR-PC a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. has a HOLD rating with 67% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is IVR-PC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for IVR-PC: ROE of 12.7% (sector avg: 8%), net margin of 34.3% (sector avg: 20%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy IVR-PC stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is IVR-PC's free cash flow?

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.'s operating cash flow is $157.1M, with capital expenditures of N/A. FCF margin is 53.2%.

How does IVR-PC compare to other Real Estate stocks?

Vs Real Estate sector averages: Net margin 34.3% (avg: 20%), ROE 12.7% (avg: 8%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.5).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 29, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI