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Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

HLT NYSE Hotels & Motels DE CIK: 0001585689
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 11, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
📅 Next earnings: Apr 28, 2026 (in 12 days) • Pre-market ET • EPS est. $1.95 (vs $1.72 prior year) • All earnings →
Combined AI Rating
SELL
72% Confidence
AGREEMENT
SELL
78% Conf
HOLD
66% Conf

📊 HLT Key Takeaways

Revenue: $12.0B
Net Margin: 12.1%
Free Cash Flow: $2.0B
Current Ratio: 0.66x
Debt/Equity: N/A
EPS: $6.12
AI Rating: SELL with 78% confidence
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) receives a SELL rating with 72% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $12.0B, net profit margin of 12.1%, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Real Estate sector. Below is our complete HLT stock analysis for 2026.

Is Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) a Good Investment?

Claude

While Hilton demonstrates strong operating margins (22.4%) and exceptional free cash flow generation ($2.0B), the company faces critical financial distress with negative stockholders equity of -$5.4B and liabilities exceeding assets by $5.3B. Zero revenue and net income growth combined with severe liquidity constraints (0.66x current ratio) and a $12.5B debt load create material refinancing risk that outweighs positive cash flow dynamics.

ChatGPT

Hilton exhibits strong profitability and cash generation with a low capex, asset-light model, evidenced by a 22.4% operating margin and robust FCF. However, flat YoY growth, negative equity, sub-1.0 liquidity, and meaningful leverage temper the outlook. A hold is warranted pending clearer reacceleration in revenue and progress on balance sheet strength.

Why Buy Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. Stock? HLT Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional operating margins at 22.4% and net margins at 12.1%
  • + Strong free cash flow generation of $2.0B with 16.8% FCF margin
  • + Operating cash flow of $2.1B adequately covers operations and debt service
ChatGPT
  • + High operating and net margins supported by asset-light model
  • + Excellent cash conversion (FCF > net income; low capex)
  • + Adequate interest coverage (4.7x) and scalable fee-based earnings

HLT Stock Risks: Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Negative stockholders equity of -$5.4B indicates technical insolvency on balance sheet basis
  • ! Severe liquidity crisis with current ratio of 0.66x and quick ratio of 0.54x, unable to cover short-term obligations
  • ! Zero year-over-year revenue and net income growth signals stagnation and limited debt reduction capacity
  • ! Extreme overleveraging with $12.5B long-term debt and liabilities ($22.1B) exceeding assets ($16.8B)
  • ! Refinancing risk if rates remain elevated or operating conditions deteriorate
ChatGPT
  • ! Negative stockholders' equity and sub-1.0 liquidity ratios
  • ! High leverage; rising rates or downturn could compress coverage
  • ! Flat revenue and EPS indicate stalled growth momentum

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Stockholders equity trend and path to positive equity restoration
  • * Quarterly revenue and net income growth acceleration
  • * Debt reduction progress and refinancing activity
  • * Operating cash flow stability and free cash flow sustainability
  • * Current ratio and liquidity improvements
ChatGPT
  • * Revenue growth (YoY) and FCF margin
  • * Interest coverage and current ratio

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$12.0B
Net Income
$1.5B
EPS (Diluted)
$6.12
Free Cash Flow
$2.0B
Total Assets
$16.8B
Cash Position
$918.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

HLT Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 22.4%
Net Margin 12.1%
ROE N/A
ROA 8.7%
FCF Margin 16.8%

HLT vs Real Estate Sector: How Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. Compares

How Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. compares to Real Estate sector averages

Net Margin
HLT 12.1%
vs
Sector Avg 20.0%
HLT Sector
ROE
HLT 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
HLT Sector
Current Ratio
HLT 0.7x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
HLT Sector
Debt/Equity
HLT 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
HLT Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. Stock Overvalued? HLT Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Real Estate sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 8%
Net Profit Margin
12.1%
Sector avg: 20%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 1.5x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. Balance Sheet: HLT Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.66x
Quick Ratio
0.54x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
131.9%
Interest Coverage
4.73x
Long-term Debt
$12.5B

HLT Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

HLT 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $9.5B, Net Income $881.0M, EPS $3.04. Year 2022: Revenue $8.8B, Net Income -$715.0M, EPS $-2.58. Year 2023: Revenue $10.2B, Net Income $410.0M, EPS $1.46. Year 2024: Revenue $11.2B, Net Income $1.3B, EPS $4.53. Year 2025: Revenue $12.0B, Net Income $1.1B, EPS $4.33.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 27% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $4.33 reflects profitable operations.

HLT Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
16.8%
Free cash flow / Revenue

HLT Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $2.9B $344.0M $1.38
Q2 2025 $3.0B $421.0M $1.67
Q1 2025 $2.6B $265.0M $1.04
Q3 2024 $2.7B $344.0M $1.38
Q2 2024 $2.7B $411.0M $1.55
Q1 2024 $2.3B $206.0M $0.77
Q3 2023 $2.4B $347.0M $1.26
Q2 2023 $2.2B $368.0M $1.32

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$2.1B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$3.2B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$101.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$143.0M
Returned to shareholders

HLT SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (CIK: 0001585689)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 7, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775597229.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775161226.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775161167.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775161115.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775161049.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about HLT

What is the AI rating for HLT?

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 72% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are HLT's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional operating margins at 22.4% and net margins at 12.1%. Strong free cash flow generation of $2.0B with 16.8% FCF margin. ChatGPT: High operating and net margins supported by asset-light model. Excellent cash conversion (FCF > net income; low capex).

What are the risks of investing in HLT?

Claude: Negative stockholders equity of -$5.4B indicates technical insolvency on balance sheet basis. Severe liquidity crisis with current ratio of 0.66x and quick ratio of 0.54x, unable to cover short-term obligations. ChatGPT: Negative stockholders' equity and sub-1.0 liquidity ratios. High leverage; rising rates or downturn could compress coverage.

What is HLT's revenue and growth?

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. reported revenue of $12.0B.

Does HLT pay dividends?

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. pays dividends, with $143.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find HLT SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (CIK: 0001585689) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is HLT's EPS?

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. has a diluted EPS of $6.12.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is HLT a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. has a SELL rating with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is HLT stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for HLT: ROE of N/A (sector avg: 8%), net margin of 12.1% (sector avg: 20%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy HLT stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is HLT's free cash flow?

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.'s operating cash flow is $2.1B, with capital expenditures of $101.0M. FCF margin is 16.8%.

How does HLT compare to other Real Estate stocks?

Vs Real Estate sector averages: Net margin 12.1% (avg: 20%), ROE N/A (avg: 8%), current ratio 0.66 (avg: 1.5).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 11, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI