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GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. (GBDC) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

GBDC Nasdaq DE CIK: 0001476765
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 25, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
67% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
62% Conf
HOLD
72% Conf

📊 GBDC Key Takeaways

Revenue: N/A
Net Margin: N/A
Free Cash Flow: $212.0M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 1.25x
EPS: $0.25
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence
GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. (GBDC) receives a HOLD rating with 67% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings., and return on equity (ROE) of 1.7% Below is our complete GBDC stock analysis for 2026.

Is GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. (GBDC) a Good Investment?

Claude

GBDC demonstrates solid cash generation with $212M operating cash flow and improving net income (+37.6% YoY), but returns remain modest with 1.7% ROE and 0.7% ROA. The high leverage ratio of 1.25x and $4.9B long-term debt indicate significant financial risk that limits upside potential.

ChatGPT

Golub Capital BDC shows solid fundamental stability with positive net income growth, positive diluted EPS growth, and strong operating cash generation relative to its earnings base. However, low ROE/ROA and a heavily leveraged balance sheet limit the quality of that growth, so the fundamentals support a neutral stance rather than a clearly aggressive rating.

Why Buy GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. Stock? GBDC Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong net income growth of 37.6% year-over-year shows improving profitability
  • + Robust operating cash flow of $212M demonstrates cash generation ability
  • + Substantial asset base of $8.9B provides portfolio diversification for BDC operations
  • + Positive free cash flow equals operating cash flow, indicating no capital intensity
ChatGPT
  • + Net income increased 37.6% year over year, indicating improved earnings momentum
  • + Operating cash flow of $212.01M materially exceeds net income, supporting earnings quality and cash generation
  • + Large equity base of $3.91B provides a meaningful capital cushion against portfolio volatility

GBDC Stock Risks: GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Elevated leverage at 1.25x debt-to-equity with $4.9B long-term debt creates balance sheet risk
  • ! Very low returns on equity (1.7%) and assets (0.7%) suggest inefficient capital deployment
  • ! As a BDC, dividend sustainability depends on portfolio credit performance and market conditions
  • ! Limited cash position of $160.5M relative to debt obligations poses refinancing risk
ChatGPT
  • ! Long-term debt of $4.88B and debt-to-equity of 1.25x create meaningful balance-sheet sensitivity
  • ! ROE of 1.7% and ROA of 0.7% indicate weak underlying profitability relative to capital employed
  • ! Revenue, margin, and interest coverage data are unavailable, reducing visibility into operating efficiency and credit risk absorption

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net income trends and portfolio performance metrics
  • * Debt-to-equity ratio and covenant compliance levels
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability and distribution coverage ratio
  • * Credit quality of underlying portfolio investments
ChatGPT
  • * Net investment income and ROE trend
  • * Debt-to-equity and non-accrual/credit quality trend

GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. (GBDC) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
N/A
Net Income
$65.2M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.25
Free Cash Flow
$212.0M
Total Assets
$8.9B
Cash Position
$160.5M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

GBDC Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin N/A
ROE 1.7%
ROA 0.7%
FCF Margin N/A

GBDC vs Market Sector: How GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. Compares

How GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
GBDC 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
GBDC Sector
ROE
GBDC 1.7%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
GBDC Sector
Current Ratio
GBDC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
GBDC Sector
Debt/Equity
GBDC 1.2x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
GBDC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. Stock Overvalued? GBDC Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
1.7%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
N/A
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.25x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. Balance Sheet: GBDC Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
1.25x
Debt/Assets
56.0%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$4.9B

GBDC Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

GBDC 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $1.52 reflects profitable operations.

GBDC Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
N/A
Free cash flow / Revenue

GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$212.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$35.9M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Dividends Paid
$84.5M
Returned to shareholders

GBDC SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. (CIK: 0001476765)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 6, 2026 8-K gbdc-20260406.htm View →
Feb 5, 2026 8-K gbdc-20260202.htm View →
Feb 4, 2026 10-Q gbdc-20251231.htm View →
Feb 4, 2026 8-K gbdc-20260204.htm View →
Feb 4, 2026 8-K gbdc-20260204.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about GBDC

What is the AI rating for GBDC?

GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. (GBDC) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 67% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are GBDC's key strengths?

Claude: Strong net income growth of 37.6% year-over-year shows improving profitability. Robust operating cash flow of $212M demonstrates cash generation ability. ChatGPT: Net income increased 37.6% year over year, indicating improved earnings momentum. Operating cash flow of $212.01M materially exceeds net income, supporting earnings quality and cash generation.

What are the risks of investing in GBDC?

Claude: Elevated leverage at 1.25x debt-to-equity with $4.9B long-term debt creates balance sheet risk. Very low returns on equity (1.7%) and assets (0.7%) suggest inefficient capital deployment. ChatGPT: Long-term debt of $4.88B and debt-to-equity of 1.25x create meaningful balance-sheet sensitivity. ROE of 1.7% and ROA of 0.7% indicate weak underlying profitability relative to capital employed.

What is GBDC's revenue and growth?

GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. reported revenue of N/A.

Does GBDC pay dividends?

GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. pays dividends, with $84.5M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find GBDC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. (CIK: 0001476765) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is GBDC's EPS?

GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.25.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is GBDC a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. has a HOLD rating with 67% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is GBDC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for GBDC: ROE of 1.7% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of N/A (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy GBDC stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is GBDC's free cash flow?

GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $212.0M, with capital expenditures of N/A.

How does GBDC compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin N/A (avg: 12%), ROE 1.7% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 25, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI