← Back to All US Stocks

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

FBTC CBOE Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers DE CIK: 0001852317
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 24, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
76% Confidence
AGREEMENT
SELL
85% Conf
HOLD
66% Conf

📊 FBTC Key Takeaways

Revenue: N/A
Net Margin: N/A
Free Cash Flow: $-127.8M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $0.00
AI Rating: SELL with 85% confidence
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) receives a SELL rating with 76% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings., and return on equity (ROE) of -9.0% Below is our complete FBTC stock analysis for 2026.

Is Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) a Good Investment?

Claude

FBTC is a bitcoin fund experiencing significant operational losses (-$1.6B net income) with negative cash flow (-$127.8M operating), indicating the fund is losing value at an unsustainable rate. While the fund maintains a strong balance sheet with $17.6B in equity and minimal debt, the fundamental business model of a commodity fund does not generate traditional revenues, making the persistent losses a critical concern for fund viability and shareholder value preservation.

ChatGPT

Fundamentally, the balance sheet is very strong, with $17.64B of equity against just $70.26M of liabilities, implying minimal financial leverage and low balance-sheet risk. However, profitability and cash flow metrics are weak and difficult to interpret as operating-business indicators, with a $1.59B net loss and negative operating cash flow, so the fundamentals do not support an aggressive positive rating. The asset base is large, but growth quality depends more on asset inflows and underlying holdings than on durable operating earnings.

Why Buy Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund Stock? FBTC Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Minimal leverage with 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio and only $70.3M in liabilities
  • + Large asset base of $17.7B provides operational scale
  • + Zero long-term debt eliminates refinancing risk
ChatGPT
  • + Very strong equity base with total assets of $17.71B and low liabilities of $70.26M
  • + Near-zero leverage reduces solvency risk and financial distress risk
  • + Large asset base suggests scale and investor asset accumulation

FBTC Stock Risks: Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Severe net losses of -$1.6B (-122.8% YoY decline) indicating deteriorating fund performance
  • ! Negative operating cash flow of -$127.8M reflects ongoing value erosion for shareholders
  • ! No traditional revenue generation as a commodity fund creates structural profitability challenges
  • ! Negative ROE and ROA of -9.0% demonstrate poor capital efficiency
ChatGPT
  • ! Net income of -$1.59B indicates high earnings volatility and weak reported profitability
  • ! Operating cash flow of -$127.75M shows the structure is not generating cash from operations
  • ! Traditional revenue, margin, and EPS metrics are unavailable, limiting visibility into underlying earnings quality

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Fund net asset value (NAV) and total assets trend
  • * Operating cash flow stabilization and path to positive FCF
  • * Assets under management (AUM) changes and investor redemptions
  • * YoY change in net losses and operating efficiency
ChatGPT
  • * Net asset growth versus liability growth
  • * Operating cash flow and changes in net loss volatility

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
N/A
Net Income
$-1.6B
EPS (Diluted)
$0.00
Free Cash Flow
$-127.8M
Total Assets
$17.7B
Cash Position
$0.0

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

FBTC Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin N/A
ROE -9.0%
ROA -9.0%
FCF Margin N/A

FBTC vs Market Sector: How Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund Compares

How Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
FBTC 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
FBTC Sector
ROE
FBTC -9.0%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
FBTC Sector
Current Ratio
FBTC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
FBTC Sector
Debt/Equity
FBTC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
FBTC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund Stock Overvalued? FBTC Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-9.0%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
N/A
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund Balance Sheet: FBTC Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
0.4%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
N/A

FBTC Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

FBTC 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund's revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline.

FBTC Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
N/A
Free cash flow / Revenue

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$127.8M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$9.8B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Dividends
None
No dividend program

FBTC SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (CIK: 0001852317)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Feb 25, 2026 10-K ck0001852317-20251231.htm View →
Feb 5, 2026 8-K ck0001852317-20260202.htm View →
Nov 7, 2025 10-Q ck0001852317-20250930.htm View →
Aug 8, 2025 10-Q ck0001852317-20250630.htm View →
Jul 23, 2025 8-K ck0001852317-20250721.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about FBTC

What is the AI rating for FBTC?

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 76% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are FBTC's key strengths?

Claude: Minimal leverage with 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio and only $70.3M in liabilities. Large asset base of $17.7B provides operational scale. ChatGPT: Very strong equity base with total assets of $17.71B and low liabilities of $70.26M. Near-zero leverage reduces solvency risk and financial distress risk.

What are the risks of investing in FBTC?

Claude: Severe net losses of -$1.6B (-122.8% YoY decline) indicating deteriorating fund performance. Negative operating cash flow of -$127.8M reflects ongoing value erosion for shareholders. ChatGPT: Net income of -$1.59B indicates high earnings volatility and weak reported profitability. Operating cash flow of -$127.75M shows the structure is not generating cash from operations.

What is FBTC's revenue and growth?

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund reported revenue of N/A.

Does FBTC pay dividends?

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find FBTC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (CIK: 0001852317) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is FBTC's EPS?

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund has a diluted EPS of $0.00.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is FBTC a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund has a SELL rating with 76% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is FBTC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for FBTC: ROE of -9.0% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of N/A (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy FBTC stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is FBTC's free cash flow?

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund's operating cash flow is $-127.8M, with capital expenditures of N/A.

How does FBTC compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin N/A (avg: 12%), ROE -9.0% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Top Rated Stocks
NSSC 92% MLI 92% MELI 92% MDXG 92% MANH 92% INVA 92% GGG 92% GCT 92% FTNT 92% FSLR 92%
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 24, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI