← Back to All US Stocks

Etsy Inc. (ETSY) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

ETSY NYSE Services-Business Services, NEC DE CIK: 0001370637
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 24, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
📅 Next earnings: Apr 29, 2026 (in 12 days) • TBD ET • EPS est. $0.78 (vs $0.46 prior year) • All earnings →
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
70% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
62% Conf
HOLD
77% Conf

📊 ETSY Key Takeaways

Revenue: $2.9B
Net Margin: 5.7%
Free Cash Flow: $678.0M
Current Ratio: 1.44x
Debt/Equity: N/A
EPS: $1.39
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence
Etsy Inc. (ETSY) receives a HOLD rating with 70% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $2.9B, net profit margin of 5.7%, Etsy Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Services sector. Below is our complete ETSY stock analysis for 2026.

Is Etsy Inc. (ETSY) a Good Investment?

Claude

Etsy demonstrates strong operational cash generation with 23.5% FCF margin and solid gross margins of 71.6%, indicating a fundamentally sound business model. However, significant concerns arise from negative stockholders' equity of -1.1B against 2.3B in long-term debt, combined with a 46.3% YoY decline in net income despite 2.7% revenue growth, signaling deteriorating profitability and financial structure fragility.

ChatGPT

Etsy shows a still-healthy core business with very high gross margins and strong free cash flow conversion, which supports resilience despite modest top-line growth. However, the sharp decline in net income and EPS, combined with negative equity and substantial debt, suggests weakening earnings quality and a balance sheet that deserves caution.

Why Buy Etsy Inc. Stock? ETSY Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation of $678M with 23.5% FCF margin demonstrates strong cash conversion
  • + High gross margin of 71.6% indicates pricing power and efficient platform economics
  • + Strong interest coverage ratio of 19.0x shows ability to service debt obligations
ChatGPT
  • + Strong gross margin profile indicates an asset-light, scalable marketplace model
  • + Robust free cash flow generation with low capital expenditure needs
  • + Solid liquidity and strong interest coverage reduce near-term financial stress

ETSY Stock Risks: Etsy Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Negative stockholders' equity of -1.1B indicates liabilities exceed assets, reflecting capital structure distress
  • ! Net income declined 46.3% YoY while revenue grew only 2.7%, showing margin compression and profitability deterioration
  • ! Total liabilities of 3.9B exceed total assets of 2.8B, creating financial imbalance and refinancing risk
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue growth is slow, limiting operating leverage and signaling a maturing demand profile
  • ! Net income and diluted EPS declined sharply year over year, pointing to earnings pressure
  • ! Negative stockholders equity and high long-term debt increase balance sheet risk if fundamentals weaken further

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net income trend and operating margin recovery
  • * Stockholders' equity recovery and debt reduction trajectory
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability amid profitability pressure
ChatGPT
  • * Revenue growth and take-rate-driven operating margin trend
  • * Free cash flow durability relative to debt levels and interest burden

Etsy Inc. (ETSY) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$2.9B
Net Income
$163.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.39
Free Cash Flow
$678.0M
Total Assets
$2.8B
Cash Position
$1.4B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 23.5% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments.

ETSY Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 71.6%
Operating Margin 9.2%
Net Margin 5.7%
ROE N/A
ROA 5.8%
FCF Margin 23.5%

ETSY vs Services Sector: How Etsy Inc. Compares

How Etsy Inc. compares to Services sector averages

Net Margin
ETSY 5.7%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
ETSY Sector
ROE
ETSY 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 16.0%
ETSY Sector
Current Ratio
ETSY 1.4x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
ETSY Sector
Debt/Equity
ETSY 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
ETSY Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Etsy Inc. Stock Overvalued? ETSY Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Etsy Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Services sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 16%
Net Profit Margin
5.7%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Etsy Inc. Balance Sheet: ETSY Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.44x
Quick Ratio
1.44x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
138.8%
Interest Coverage
18.96x
Long-term Debt
$2.3B

ETSY Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

ETSY 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $2.3B, Net Income $95.9M, EPS $0.76. Year 2022: Revenue $2.6B, Net Income $349.2M, EPS $2.69. Year 2023: Revenue $2.7B, Net Income $493.5M, EPS $3.40. Year 2024: Revenue $2.8B, Net Income -$694.3M, EPS $-5.48. Year 2025: Revenue $2.9B, Net Income $307.6M, EPS $2.24.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Etsy Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 24% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $2.24 reflects profitable operations.

ETSY Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
23.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ETSY Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Etsy Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $662.4M $52.2M $0.45
Q2 2025 $647.8M -$23.3M $-0.22
Q1 2025 $646.0M -$52.1M $0.48
Q3 2024 $636.3M $57.4M $0.45
Q2 2024 $628.9M $53.0M $0.41
Q1 2024 $640.9M $63.0M $0.48
Q3 2023 $594.5M $87.9M $0.64
Q2 2023 $585.1M $61.9M $0.45

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Etsy Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$693.4M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$776.9M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$15.4M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

ETSY SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Etsy Inc. (CIK: 0001370637)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 8, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04082026_050404.xml View →
Apr 8, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04082026_050401.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04032026_080419.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04032026_080445.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04032026_080431.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about ETSY

What is the AI rating for ETSY?

Etsy Inc. (ETSY) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 70% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are ETSY's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional free cash flow generation of $678M with 23.5% FCF margin demonstrates strong cash conversion. High gross margin of 71.6% indicates pricing power and efficient platform economics. ChatGPT: Strong gross margin profile indicates an asset-light, scalable marketplace model. Robust free cash flow generation with low capital expenditure needs.

What are the risks of investing in ETSY?

Claude: Negative stockholders' equity of -1.1B indicates liabilities exceed assets, reflecting capital structure distress. Net income declined 46.3% YoY while revenue grew only 2.7%, showing margin compression and profitability deterioration. ChatGPT: Revenue growth is slow, limiting operating leverage and signaling a maturing demand profile. Net income and diluted EPS declined sharply year over year, pointing to earnings pressure.

What is ETSY's revenue and growth?

Etsy Inc. reported revenue of $2.9B.

Does ETSY pay dividends?

Etsy Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find ETSY SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Etsy Inc. (CIK: 0001370637) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is ETSY's EPS?

Etsy Inc. has a diluted EPS of $1.39.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is ETSY a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Etsy Inc. has a HOLD rating with 70% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is ETSY stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for ETSY: ROE of N/A (sector avg: 16%), net margin of 5.7% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy ETSY stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Etsy Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is ETSY's free cash flow?

Etsy Inc.'s operating cash flow is $693.4M, with capital expenditures of $15.4M. FCF margin is 23.5%.

How does ETSY compare to other Services stocks?

Vs Services sector averages: Net margin 5.7% (avg: 10%), ROE N/A (avg: 16%), current ratio 1.44 (avg: 1.5).

Top Rated Stocks
NSSC 92% MLI 92% MELI 92% MDXG 92% MANH 92% INVA 92% GGG 92% GCT 92% FTNT 92% FSLR 92%
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 24, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI