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Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

ESTC NYSE Services-Prepackaged Software P7 CIK: 0001707753
Recently Updated • Analysis: Jun 9, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-04-30
Combined AI Grade
A
78% Confidence
AGREEMENT
A
78% Conf
B
77% Conf

📊 ESTC Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.7B
Net Margin: 21.1%
Free Cash Flow: $321.8M
Current Ratio: 1.68x
Debt/Equity: 0.45x
EPS: $3.43
AI Grade: A with 78% confidence
Elastic N.V. (ESTC) receives a A fundamental grade with 78% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $1.7B, net profit margin of 21.1%, and return on equity (ROE) of 28.8%, Elastic N.V. demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Technology sector. Below is our complete ESTC stock analysis for 2026.

Is Elastic N.V. (ESTC) a Good Investment?

Claude

Elastic demonstrates strong fundamental health with 17.3% revenue growth, exceptional 76.1% gross margins, and robust free cash flow generation of $321.8M despite operating losses. However, the company's negative operating margin (-1.9%) and reliance on non-operating items for net income profitability require closer monitoring to confirm a sustainable path to operating profitability.

ChatGPT

Elastic shows solid top-line momentum with 17.0% revenue growth, strong 76.3% gross margins, and healthy free cash flow generation, indicating a resilient software model with improving scale economics. However, the business remains GAAP unprofitable, with negative operating margin, negative ROE, and weak interest coverage, so the fundamentals support a constructive but cautious stance rather than a clearly bullish one.

Elastic N.V. Key Strengths (ESTC)

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth (17.3% YoY) with exceptional gross margins (76.1%) indicating valuable software products
  • + Robust cash generation with $321.8M free cash flow and 18.5% FCF margin despite operating losses
  • + Solid balance sheet with 0.45x debt-to-equity, $768.7M cash reserves, and strong liquidity ratios (1.68x current)
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue growth remains strong at 17.0% YoY, indicating continued demand and solid execution
  • + High gross margin of 76.3% supports attractive unit economics and long-term operating leverage potential
  • + Free cash flow of $171.99M and cash balance of $737.24M provide meaningful financial flexibility

ESTC Stock Risks: Elastic N.V. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Negative operating income (-$33.5M) and negative operating margin (-1.9%) despite growing revenue signals profitability challenges
  • ! Unable to cover debt service from operations (interest coverage ratio of -1.3x), creating dependency on cash reserves
  • ! Net income appears driven by non-operating items rather than core business performance; zero net income YoY growth despite revenue gains
ChatGPT
  • ! Net income and operating income remain negative, showing profitability has not fully scaled with growth
  • ! Interest coverage is negative, indicating earnings are currently insufficient to comfortably cover financing costs
  • ! EPS deterioration suggests shareholder returns remain pressured despite revenue growth and positive cash flow

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin trajectory - must demonstrate path to positive operating profitability
  • * Free cash flow sustainability - ensure continued strong FCF generation
  • * Revenue growth rate and operating expense growth ratio - critical to achieving operating leverage
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin trend toward sustained GAAP profitability
  • * Free cash flow margin durability as revenue continues to scale

Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$1.7B
Net Income
$367.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$3.43
Free Cash Flow
$321.8M
Total Assets
$3.2B
Cash Position
$768.7M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Elastic N.V. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

ESTC Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 76.1%
Operating Margin -1.9%
Net Margin 21.1%
ROE 28.8%
ROA 11.7%
FCF Margin 18.5%

ESTC vs Technology Sector: How Elastic N.V. Compares

How Elastic N.V. compares to Technology sector averages

Net Margin
ESTC 21.1%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
ESTC Sector
ROE
ESTC 28.8%
vs
Sector Avg 22.0%
ESTC Sector
Current Ratio
ESTC 1.7x
vs
Sector Avg 2.5x
ESTC Sector
Debt/Equity
ESTC 0.4x
vs
Sector Avg 0.5x
ESTC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Elastic N.V. Stock Overvalued? ESTC Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Elastic N.V. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Technology sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
28.8%
Sector avg: 22%
Net Profit Margin
21.1%
Sector avg: 18%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.45x
Sector avg: 0.5x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Elastic N.V. Balance Sheet: ESTC Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.68x
Quick Ratio
1.68x
Debt/Equity
0.45x
Debt/Assets
59.5%
Interest Coverage
-1.33x
Long-term Debt
$570.9M

ESTC Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

ESTC 5-year financial data: Year 2022: Revenue $862.4M, Net Income -$167.2M, EPS $-2.12. Year 2023: Revenue $1.1B, Net Income -$129.4M, EPS $-1.48. Year 2024: Revenue $1.3B, Net Income -$203.8M, EPS $-2.20. Year 2025: Revenue $1.5B, Net Income -$236.2M, EPS $-2.47. Year 2026: Revenue $1.7B, Net Income $61.7M, EPS $0.59.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Elastic N.V.'s revenue has grown significantly by 102% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $0.59 reflects profitable operations.

ESTC Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
18.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ESTC Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Elastic N.V. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2026 $382.1M $7.8M $0.07
Q2 2026 $365.4M -$25.5M $-0.25
Q1 2026 $347.4M -$24.6M $-0.23
Q3 2025 $328.0M -$17.1M $-0.16
Q2 2025 $310.6M -$24.8M $-0.25
Q3 2024 $274.6M -$72.6M $-0.76
Q2 2024 $264.4M -$24.8M $-0.74
Q1 2024 $250.1M -$48.5M N/A

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Elastic N.V. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$326.9M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$340.1M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$5.1M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

ESTC SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Elastic N.V. (CIK: 0001707753)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Jun 8, 2026 10-K estc-20260430.htm View →
May 28, 2026 8-K estc-20260528.htm View →
Mar 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about ESTC

What is the AI rating for ESTC?

Elastic N.V. (ESTC) has a Combined AI Grade of A from Claude (A) and ChatGPT (B) with 78% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are ESTC's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth (17.3% YoY) with exceptional gross margins (76.1%) indicating valuable software products. Robust cash generation with $321.8M free cash flow and 18.5% FCF margin despite operating losses. ChatGPT: Revenue growth remains strong at 17.0% YoY, indicating continued demand and solid execution. High gross margin of 76.3% supports attractive unit economics and long-term operating leverage potential.

What are the risks of investing in ESTC?

Claude: Negative operating income (-$33.5M) and negative operating margin (-1.9%) despite growing revenue signals profitability challenges. Unable to cover debt service from operations (interest coverage ratio of -1.3x), creating dependency on cash reserves. ChatGPT: Net income and operating income remain negative, showing profitability has not fully scaled with growth. Interest coverage is negative, indicating earnings are currently insufficient to comfortably cover financing costs.

What is ESTC's revenue and growth?

Elastic N.V. reported revenue of $1.7B.

Does ESTC pay dividends?

Elastic N.V. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find ESTC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Elastic N.V. (CIK: 0001707753) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is ESTC's EPS?

Elastic N.V. has a diluted EPS of $3.43.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is ESTC's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in June 2026, Elastic N.V. has a A grade with 78% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is ESTC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for ESTC: ROE of 28.8% (sector avg: 22%), net margin of 21.1% (sector avg: 18%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

What is ESTC's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Elastic N.V. a combined A grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is ESTC's free cash flow?

Elastic N.V.'s operating cash flow is $326.9M, with capital expenditures of $5.1M. FCF margin is 18.5%.

How does ESTC compare to other Technology stocks?

Vs Technology sector averages: Net margin 21.1% (avg: 18%), ROE 28.8% (avg: 22%), current ratio 1.68 (avg: 2.5).

Why is ESTC's return on equity (ROE) so high?

Elastic N.V. has a return on equity of 28.8%, significantly above the Technology sector average of 22%. A high ROE indicates the company is efficient at generating profits from shareholder equity. This is supported by a 21.1% net margin.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Jun 9, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-04-30 | Powered by Claude AI