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CTO Realty Growth, Inc. (CTO-PA) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

CTO-PA NYSE Real Estate Investment Trusts MD CIK: 0000023795
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 23, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
70% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
65% Conf
HOLD
74% Conf

📊 CTO-PA Key Takeaways

Revenue: $149.5M
Net Margin: 6.7%
Free Cash Flow: $40.7M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 1.09x
EPS: $0.08
AI Rating: HOLD with 65% confidence
CTO Realty Growth, Inc. (CTO-PA) receives a HOLD rating with 70% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $149.5M, net profit margin of 6.7%, and return on equity (ROE) of 1.8%, CTO Realty Growth, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Real Estate sector. Below is our complete CTO-PA stock analysis for 2026.

Is CTO Realty Growth, Inc. (CTO-PA) a Good Investment?

Claude

CTO Realty Growth demonstrates solid operational performance with strong revenue growth of 20.1% YoY and excellent FCF generation of $40.7M, but concerning leverage metrics and weak returns on capital limit upside potential. The company's ability to service debt and maintain profitability will be critical to monitor given elevated debt levels relative to equity.

ChatGPT

CTO Realty Growth shows solid top-line momentum, strong property-level economics, and healthy free cash flow generation, with revenue up 20.1% year over year and FCF margin at 27.2%. However, the improvement in net income comes off a low base, while weak ROE/ROA, very limited cash on hand, and thin 1.3x interest coverage constrain overall financial flexibility. The fundamentals support a neutral view until profitability and balance sheet resilience improve further.

Why Buy CTO Realty Growth, Inc. Stock? CTO-PA Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 20.1% YoY indicating market demand and operational expansion
  • + Excellent free cash flow generation of $40.7M with 27.2% FCF margin showing efficient operations
  • + Gross margin of 74.6% reflects strong pricing power and cost management in real estate operations
  • + Significant net income growth of 291.2% YoY demonstrates operational leverage and improving bottom-line performance
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue growth is strong at 20.1% year over year, indicating continued portfolio expansion and leasing momentum.
  • + Gross margin of 74.6% and operating margin of 22.7% suggest solid underlying asset-level profitability.
  • + Operating cash flow of $64.60M and free cash flow of $40.74M provide meaningful internal cash generation.

CTO-PA Stock Risks: CTO Realty Growth, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! High leverage with debt-to-equity ratio of 1.09x and total debt of $616.3M against only $6.5M cash creating refinancing risk
  • ! Weak interest coverage ratio of 1.3x indicates limited cushion for servicing debt obligations if operations deteriorate
  • ! Poor returns on equity (1.8%) and assets (0.8%) suggest capital is not being deployed efficiently despite revenue growth
  • ! Low net profit margin of 6.7% relative to gross margin indicates high operating and financing costs consuming profitability
ChatGPT
  • ! Interest coverage of 1.3x is thin, leaving limited cushion if financing costs stay elevated or operating income softens.
  • ! Cash balance of just $6.47M is low relative to $616.35M of long-term debt, reducing liquidity flexibility.
  • ! ROE of 1.8% and ROA of 0.8% indicate that improved earnings have not yet translated into strong capital efficiency.

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Interest coverage ratio trend - critical to monitor debt sustainability
  • * Debt-to-equity reduction progress - key to improving financial flexibility
  • * Free cash flow consistency - essential for debt service and shareholder returns
  • * Return on equity trajectory - indicator of capital efficiency improvements
  • * Operating margin expansion - leverage point for bottom-line improvement
ChatGPT
  • * Interest coverage and debt refinancing terms
  • * Sustainable growth in operating cash flow and net operating margins

CTO Realty Growth, Inc. (CTO-PA) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$149.5M
Net Income
$10.1M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.08
Free Cash Flow
$40.7M
Total Assets
$1.3B
Cash Position
$6.5M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 27.2% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

CTO-PA Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 74.6%
Operating Margin 22.7%
Net Margin 6.7%
ROE 1.8%
ROA 0.8%
FCF Margin 27.2%

CTO-PA vs Real Estate Sector: How CTO Realty Growth, Inc. Compares

How CTO Realty Growth, Inc. compares to Real Estate sector averages

Net Margin
CTO-PA 6.7%
vs
Sector Avg 20.0%
CTO-PA Sector
ROE
CTO-PA 1.8%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
CTO-PA Sector
Current Ratio
CTO-PA 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
CTO-PA Sector
Debt/Equity
CTO-PA 1.1x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
CTO-PA Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is CTO Realty Growth, Inc. Stock Overvalued? CTO-PA Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, CTO Realty Growth, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Real Estate sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
1.8%
Sector avg: 8%
Net Profit Margin
6.7%
Sector avg: 20%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.09x
Sector avg: 1.5x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

CTO Realty Growth, Inc. Balance Sheet: CTO-PA Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
1.09x
Debt/Assets
55.1%
Interest Coverage
1.26x
Long-term Debt
$616.3M

CTO-PA Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

CTO-PA 5-year financial data: Year 2019: Revenue $5.2M, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2020: Revenue $3.0M, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2021: Revenue $13.4M, Net Income $115.0M, EPS $23.00. Year 2022: Revenue $13.4M, Net Income $78.5M, EPS $5.56. Year 2023: Revenue $13.4M, Net Income $29.9M, EPS $1.56.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: CTO Realty Growth, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 159% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $0.03 reflects profitable operations.

CTO-PA Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
27.2%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CTO-PA Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for CTO Realty Growth, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $31.8M $2.9M $0.03
Q2 2025 $28.8M $1.2M $-0.03
Q1 2025 $28.1M $2.3M $0.01
Q3 2024 $28.5M -$1.5M $0.07
Q2 2024 $26.0M $1.2M $0.03
Q1 2024 $24.7M $5.8M $0.20
Q3 2023 $23.1M -$1.5M $0.07
Q2 2023 $19.5M $1.2M $0.00

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

CTO Realty Growth, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$64.6M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$9.4M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$23.9M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$49.0M
Returned to shareholders

CTO-PA SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for CTO Realty Growth, Inc. (CIK: 0000023795)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04022026_050407.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04022026_050405.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04022026_050403.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04022026_050401.xml View →
Feb 19, 2026 10-K cto-20251231x10k.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CTO-PA

What is the AI rating for CTO-PA?

CTO Realty Growth, Inc. (CTO-PA) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 70% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CTO-PA's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 20.1% YoY indicating market demand and operational expansion. Excellent free cash flow generation of $40.7M with 27.2% FCF margin showing efficient operations. ChatGPT: Revenue growth is strong at 20.1% year over year, indicating continued portfolio expansion and leasing momentum.. Gross margin of 74.6% and operating margin of 22.7% suggest solid underlying asset-level profitability..

What are the risks of investing in CTO-PA?

Claude: High leverage with debt-to-equity ratio of 1.09x and total debt of $616.3M against only $6.5M cash creating refinancing risk. Weak interest coverage ratio of 1.3x indicates limited cushion for servicing debt obligations if operations deteriorate. ChatGPT: Interest coverage of 1.3x is thin, leaving limited cushion if financing costs stay elevated or operating income softens.. Cash balance of just $6.47M is low relative to $616.35M of long-term debt, reducing liquidity flexibility..

What is CTO-PA's revenue and growth?

CTO Realty Growth, Inc. reported revenue of $149.5M.

Does CTO-PA pay dividends?

CTO Realty Growth, Inc. pays dividends, with $49.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find CTO-PA SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for CTO Realty Growth, Inc. (CIK: 0000023795) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CTO-PA's EPS?

CTO Realty Growth, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.08.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is CTO-PA a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, CTO Realty Growth, Inc. has a HOLD rating with 70% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is CTO-PA stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for CTO-PA: ROE of 1.8% (sector avg: 8%), net margin of 6.7% (sector avg: 20%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy CTO-PA stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives CTO Realty Growth, Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is CTO-PA's free cash flow?

CTO Realty Growth, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $64.6M, with capital expenditures of $23.9M. FCF margin is 27.2%.

How does CTO-PA compare to other Real Estate stocks?

Vs Real Estate sector averages: Net margin 6.7% (avg: 20%), ROE 1.8% (avg: 8%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.5).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 23, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI