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Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

CRCL NYSE Finance Services DE CIK: 0001876042
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 13, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
C
78% Confidence
AGREEMENT
C
78% Conf
B
79% Conf

📊 CRCL Key Takeaways

Revenue: $694.1M
Net Margin: 8.0%
Free Cash Flow: $11.7M
Current Ratio: 1.03x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $0.21
AI Grade: C with 78% confidence
Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) receives a C fundamental grade with 78% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $694.1M, net profit margin of 8.0%, and return on equity (ROE) of 1.6%, Circle Internet Group, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete CRCL stock analysis for 2026.

Is Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) a Good Investment?

Claude

Circle exhibits unsustainable financial characteristics: extraordinary revenue growth (2401% YoY) fails to translate into meaningful earnings growth (net income flat YoY, EPS down 247%), indicating severe quality-of-earnings concerns. Critically weak profitability metrics (1.6% ROE, 0.1% ROA, 1.7% FCF margin) paired with high balance sheet leverage (95.7% liabilities-to-assets) and tight liquidity (1.03x current ratio) create material financial stability risks.

ChatGPT

Circle shows exceptional top-line expansion and strong cash generation, with operating cash flow and free cash flow remaining solid despite reported net losses. The balance sheet is lightly levered and supported by meaningful cash, but profitability is still negative and liabilities are very large relative to equity, which limits conviction until earnings quality and margins improve.

Circle Internet Group, Inc. Key Strengths (CRCL)

Claude
  • + Exceptional absolute revenue growth of $694.1M representing 2401% YoY expansion
  • + Positive free cash flow generation of $11.7M demonstrates some cash conversion despite margin compression
  • + Maintained positive net income of $55.3M and operating profitability despite growth integration challenges
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue growth is extremely strong, indicating rapid business expansion
  • + Operating cash flow and free cash flow are robust, showing good cash conversion
  • + Debt appears minimal and cash balances are substantial, supporting financial flexibility

CRCL Stock Risks: Circle Internet Group, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critical earnings disconnect: revenue growth 2401% vs flat net income and -247% EPS decline indicates poor cost control, one-time charges, or accounting anomalies
  • ! Severely elevated leverage with $77.1B liabilities against only $3.4B equity (95.7% of assets), limiting financial flexibility
  • ! Anemic returns on capital: ROE 1.6%, ROA 0.1%, and FCF margin 1.7% indicate company not generating adequate returns on asset base
  • ! Tightening liquidity with current ratio of 1.03x limiting operational flexibility and debt service capacity
ChatGPT
  • ! Operating and net margins remain negative, so the business is not yet consistently profitable
  • ! Total liabilities are very high relative to equity, increasing balance sheet sensitivity
  • ! EPS deterioration suggests shareholders are not yet benefiting from revenue growth

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Quality of earnings reconciliation: detailed breakdown of revenue vs. earnings gap and sustainability of net margin expansion
  • * Deleveraging progress and debt service coverage ratios to assess financial stability trajectory
  • * Free cash flow to revenue conversion and working capital efficiency as indicators of operational health
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin and net margin progression
  • * Free cash flow sustainability relative to revenue growth

Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$694.1M
Net Income
$55.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.21
Free Cash Flow
$11.7M
Total Assets
$80.5B
Cash Position
$1.5B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 1.7% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility.

CRCL Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 6.5%
Net Margin 8.0%
ROE 1.6%
ROA 0.1%
FCF Margin 1.7%

CRCL vs Finance Sector: How Circle Internet Group, Inc. Compares

How Circle Internet Group, Inc. compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
CRCL 8.0%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
CRCL Sector
ROE
CRCL 1.6%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
CRCL Sector
Current Ratio
CRCL 1.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
CRCL Sector
Debt/Equity
CRCL 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
CRCL Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Circle Internet Group, Inc. Stock Overvalued? CRCL Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Circle Internet Group, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
1.6%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
8.0%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Circle Internet Group, Inc. Balance Sheet: CRCL Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.03x
Quick Ratio
1.03x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
95.7%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
N/A

CRCL Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

CRCL 5-year financial data: Year 2025: Revenue $109.8M, Net Income $267.6M, EPS $0.78.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Circle Internet Group, Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $0.78 reflects profitable operations.

CRCL Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
1.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CRCL Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Circle Internet Group, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $20.7M $55.3M $0.00
Q3 2025 $547.0K $32.9M $0.00
Q2 2025 $6.8M $32.9M $0.00

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Circle Internet Group, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$21.1M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$9.4M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

CRCL SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CIK: 0001876042)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Jun 9, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1781039375.xml View →
Jun 9, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1781038995.xml View →
Jun 9, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1781038907.xml View →
Jun 9, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1781039312.xml View →
Jun 9, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1781039272.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CRCL

What is the AI rating for CRCL?

Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) has a Combined AI Grade of C from Claude (C) and ChatGPT (B) with 78% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CRCL's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional absolute revenue growth of $694.1M representing 2401% YoY expansion. Positive free cash flow generation of $11.7M demonstrates some cash conversion despite margin compression. ChatGPT: Revenue growth is extremely strong, indicating rapid business expansion. Operating cash flow and free cash flow are robust, showing good cash conversion.

What are the risks of investing in CRCL?

Claude: Critical earnings disconnect: revenue growth 2401% vs flat net income and -247% EPS decline indicates poor cost control, one-time charges, or accounting anomalies. Severely elevated leverage with $77.1B liabilities against only $3.4B equity (95.7% of assets), limiting financial flexibility. ChatGPT: Operating and net margins remain negative, so the business is not yet consistently profitable. Total liabilities are very high relative to equity, increasing balance sheet sensitivity.

What is CRCL's revenue and growth?

Circle Internet Group, Inc. reported revenue of $694.1M.

Does CRCL pay dividends?

Circle Internet Group, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find CRCL SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CIK: 0001876042) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CRCL's EPS?

Circle Internet Group, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.21.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is CRCL's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in June 2026, Circle Internet Group, Inc. has a C grade with 78% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is CRCL stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for CRCL: ROE of 1.6% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 8.0% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is CRCL's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Circle Internet Group, Inc. a combined C grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is CRCL's free cash flow?

Circle Internet Group, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $21.1M, with capital expenditures of $9.4M. FCF margin is 1.7%.

How does CRCL compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 8.0% (avg: 25%), ROE 1.6% (avg: 12%), current ratio 1.03 (avg: 1.2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 13, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI