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Cogent Biosciences, Inc. (COGT) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

COGT Nasdaq Pharmaceutical Preparations DE CIK: 0001622229
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 22, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
88% Confidence
AGREEMENT
STRONG SELL
92% Conf
SELL
84% Conf

📊 COGT Key Takeaways

Revenue: $7.9M
Net Margin: -4,179.1%
Free Cash Flow: $-266.0M
Current Ratio: 14.23x
Debt/Equity: 0.35x
EPS: $-2.16
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 92% confidence
Cogent Biosciences, Inc. (COGT) receives a SELL rating with 88% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $7.9M, net profit margin of -4,179.1%, and return on equity (ROE) of -51.7%, Cogent Biosciences, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Healthcare sector. Below is our complete COGT stock analysis for 2026.

Is Cogent Biosciences, Inc. (COGT) a Good Investment?

Claude

Cogent Biosciences is in severe financial distress with catastrophic operating losses (-$333.4M) and negative free cash flow (-$266.0M), indicating the company is burning cash rapidly despite having $312.0M in reserves. Revenue has collapsed 65% YoY to just $7.9M, demonstrating fundamental business deterioration that vastly exceeds cash runway sustainability. The combination of massive operating losses, negative margins exceeding -4000%, and severely negative return metrics indicates a company in existential crisis with minimal near-term path to profitability.

ChatGPT

Cogent Biosciences shows weak current fundamentals, with very limited revenue, extreme negative operating and net margins, and large ongoing cash burn that indicates the business is still heavily dependent on external funding or existing balance-sheet reserves. The balance sheet is not distressed today because liquidity is strong and debt is moderate relative to equity, but growth quality is poor and the path to sustainable profitability remains highly uncertain.

Why Buy Cogent Biosciences, Inc. Stock? COGT Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Adequate liquidity position with $312.0M in cash and 14.23x current ratio providing near-term operational runway
  • + Manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35x suggesting moderate leverage relative to equity base
  • + Positive stockholders equity of $636.4M provides balance sheet cushion against further losses
ChatGPT
  • + Strong liquidity with $312.01M in cash and 14.23x current and quick ratios
  • + Equity base remains solid at $636.37M, limiting near-term balance sheet stress
  • + Debt load is manageable relative to equity at 0.35x

COGT Stock Risks: Cogent Biosciences, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Catastrophic revenue decline of 65% YoY indicates severe business contraction and loss of market traction
  • ! Massive operating losses of -$333.4M with negative FCF of -$266.0M consuming cash reserves at unsustainable rate
  • ! Negative operating margin of -4235% and net margin of -4179% indicate business model is fundamentally broken with no path to profitability visible
  • ! Operating cash burn of -$264.4M annually means current $312.0M cash reserves provide only ~14 months of runway at current burn rate
  • ! Diluted EPS of -$2.16 and worsening 11.3% YoY suggests continued shareholder value destruction
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue fell 65.0% YoY, indicating weak and potentially nonrecurring commercial traction
  • ! Operating loss of $333.36M and free cash flow of -$266.00M reflect severe ongoing cash burn
  • ! Net margin of -4179.1% shows the business is far from self-sustaining profitability

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Quarterly revenue trend and stabilization of product sales pipeline
  • * Operating cash burn rate and cash runway remaining before liquidity crisis
  • * Operating expenses reduction initiatives and pathway to operating profitability
  • * Clinical trial progress and regulatory approvals for pipeline assets
  • * Cash position depletion trajectory relative to quarterly burn rates
ChatGPT
  • * Quarterly operating cash burn relative to cash balance
  • * Revenue durability and improvement in operating loss trajectory

Cogent Biosciences, Inc. (COGT) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$7.9M
Net Income
$-328.9M
EPS (Diluted)
$-2.16
Free Cash Flow
$-266.0M
Total Assets
$937.6M
Cash Position
$312.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 14.23x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

COGT Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -4,235.3%
Net Margin -4,179.1%
ROE -51.7%
ROA -35.1%
FCF Margin -3,379.5%

COGT vs Healthcare Sector: How Cogent Biosciences, Inc. Compares

How Cogent Biosciences, Inc. compares to Healthcare sector averages

Net Margin
COGT -4,179.1%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
COGT Sector
ROE
COGT -51.7%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
COGT Sector
Current Ratio
COGT 14.2x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
COGT Sector
Debt/Equity
COGT 0.4x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
COGT Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Cogent Biosciences, Inc. Stock Overvalued? COGT Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Cogent Biosciences, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Healthcare sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-51.7%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
-4,179.1%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.35x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Cogent Biosciences, Inc. Balance Sheet: COGT Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
14.23x
Quick Ratio
14.23x
Debt/Equity
0.35x
Debt/Assets
32.1%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$222.9M

COGT Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

COGT 5-year financial data: Year 2018: Revenue $9.7M, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2019: Revenue $22.5M, Net Income N/A, EPS $-0.66. Year 2020: Revenue $22.5M, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2021: Revenue $7.9M, Net Income -$74.8M, EPS N/A.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Cogent Biosciences, Inc.'s revenue has declined by 19% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $-1.94 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

COGT Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-3,379.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

COGT Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Cogent Biosciences, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2021 $312.0K -$6.1M N/A
Q2 2021 $528.0K -$6.1M N/A
Q1 2021 $7.0M -$6.1M N/A
Q3 2020 $312.0K -$6.1M N/A
Q2 2020 $528.0K -$6.1M N/A
Q1 2020 $3.1M -$6.1M N/A
Q3 2019 $1.0M -$6.7M N/A
Q2 2019 $1.7M -$6.7M N/A

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Cogent Biosciences, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$264.4M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$1.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

COGT SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Cogent Biosciences, Inc. (CIK: 0001622229)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 31, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2610819-2_4seq1.xml View →
Feb 17, 2026 10-K cogt-20251231.htm View →
Feb 17, 2026 8-K cogt-20260217.htm View →
Jan 22, 2026 4 xslF345X05/tm263873-2_4seq1.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about COGT

What is the AI rating for COGT?

Cogent Biosciences, Inc. (COGT) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (STRONG SELL) and ChatGPT (SELL) with 88% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are COGT's key strengths?

Claude: Adequate liquidity position with $312.0M in cash and 14.23x current ratio providing near-term operational runway. Manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35x suggesting moderate leverage relative to equity base. ChatGPT: Strong liquidity with $312.01M in cash and 14.23x current and quick ratios. Equity base remains solid at $636.37M, limiting near-term balance sheet stress.

What are the risks of investing in COGT?

Claude: Catastrophic revenue decline of 65% YoY indicates severe business contraction and loss of market traction. Massive operating losses of -$333.4M with negative FCF of -$266.0M consuming cash reserves at unsustainable rate. ChatGPT: Revenue fell 65.0% YoY, indicating weak and potentially nonrecurring commercial traction. Operating loss of $333.36M and free cash flow of -$266.00M reflect severe ongoing cash burn.

What is COGT's revenue and growth?

Cogent Biosciences, Inc. reported revenue of $7.9M.

Does COGT pay dividends?

Cogent Biosciences, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find COGT SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Cogent Biosciences, Inc. (CIK: 0001622229) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is COGT's EPS?

Cogent Biosciences, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-2.16.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is COGT a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Cogent Biosciences, Inc. has a SELL rating with 88% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is COGT stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for COGT: ROE of -51.7% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -4,179.1% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy COGT stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Cogent Biosciences, Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is COGT's free cash flow?

Cogent Biosciences, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $-264.4M, with capital expenditures of $1.6M. FCF margin is -3,379.5%.

How does COGT compare to other Healthcare stocks?

Vs Healthcare sector averages: Net margin -4,179.1% (avg: 12%), ROE -51.7% (avg: 15%), current ratio 14.23 (avg: 2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 22, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI