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Capital One Financial Corp. (COF-PN) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

COF-PN NYSE National Commercial Banks DE CIK: 0000927628
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 22, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
70% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
65% Conf
HOLD
76% Conf

📊 COF-PN Key Takeaways

Revenue: $53.4B
Net Margin: 4.6%
Free Cash Flow: $26.1B
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.44x
EPS: $4.03
AI Rating: HOLD with 65% confidence
Capital One Financial Corp. (COF-PN) receives a HOLD rating with 70% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $53.4B, net profit margin of 4.6%, and return on equity (ROE) of 2.2%, Capital One Financial Corp. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete COF-PN stock analysis for 2026.

Is Capital One Financial Corp. (COF-PN) a Good Investment?

Claude

Capital One demonstrates solid operational cash flow generation (26.1B FCF) and reasonable leverage (0.44x D/E), but profitability metrics are concerning with severely depressed ROE (2.2%), ROA (0.4%), and weak interest coverage (0.6x). The 562.8% revenue spike appears anomalous and requires investigation into accounting treatment, while the 65.2% EPS decline signals operational challenges despite positive net income growth.

ChatGPT

Capital One shows solid scale, strong cash generation, and a well-capitalized balance sheet, but current profitability is weak for a bank of its size. Net income improved year over year, yet low ROE, low ROA, thin margins, and a sharp EPS decline suggest earnings quality and shareholder returns remain under pressure.

Why Buy Capital One Financial Corp. Stock? COF-PN Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong free cash flow generation of 26.1B with 48.9% FCF margin demonstrates underlying business cash generation capability
  • + Conservative leverage at 0.44x D/E ratio with substantial equity base of 113.6B provides financial stability
  • + Positive net income growth of 12.5% YoY and operating cash flow of 27.7B indicate ongoing profitability and cash conversion
ChatGPT
  • + Large asset base and substantial equity capital provide balance-sheet stability
  • + Strong operating cash flow and free cash flow indicate good internal funding capacity
  • + Net income remained positive and grew year over year despite profitability pressure

COF-PN Stock Risks: Capital One Financial Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critically weak interest coverage of 0.6x suggests insufficient earnings to service debt, raising solvency concerns
  • ! Severely depressed returns on equity (2.2%) and assets (0.4%) indicate poor capital efficiency and value creation
  • ! Massive 562.8% revenue increase coupled with 65.2% EPS decline is inconsistent and suggests potential one-time items, accounting adjustments, or data quality issues requiring clarification
ChatGPT
  • ! ROE of 2.2% and ROA of 0.4% indicate weak capital and asset efficiency
  • ! Interest coverage of 0.6x and a 4.3% operating margin point to limited earnings cushion
  • ! EPS fell 65.2% year over year, raising concern about dilution or weaker per-share earnings quality

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Interest coverage ratio - must improve above 2.0x for sustainable debt service
  • * Return on equity trend - target minimum 8-10% for competitive banking returns
  • * Revenue sustainability - verify whether 562.8% growth represents recurring business or accounting adjustments
ChatGPT
  • * ROE and ROA improvement
  • * EPS trend relative to net income

Capital One Financial Corp. (COF-PN) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$53.4B
Net Income
$2.5B
EPS (Diluted)
$4.03
Free Cash Flow
$26.1B
Total Assets
$669.0B
Cash Position
$62.1B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 48.9% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

COF-PN Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 4.3%
Net Margin 4.6%
ROE 2.2%
ROA 0.4%
FCF Margin 48.9%

COF-PN vs Finance Sector: How Capital One Financial Corp. Compares

How Capital One Financial Corp. compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
COF-PN 4.6%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
COF-PN Sector
ROE
COF-PN 2.2%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
COF-PN Sector
Current Ratio
COF-PN 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
COF-PN Sector
Debt/Equity
COF-PN 0.4x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
COF-PN Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Capital One Financial Corp. Stock Overvalued? COF-PN Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Capital One Financial Corp. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
2.2%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
4.6%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.44x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Capital One Financial Corp. Balance Sheet: COF-PN Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.44x
Debt/Assets
83.0%
Interest Coverage
0.62x
Long-term Debt
$49.9B

COF-PN Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

COF-PN 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $4.8B, Net Income $5.5B, EPS $11.05. Year 2022: Revenue $5.4B, Net Income $2.7B, EPS $5.18. Year 2023: Revenue $5.6B, Net Income $12.4B, EPS $26.94. Year 2024: Revenue $5.9B, Net Income $7.4B, EPS $17.91. Year 2025: Revenue $8.1B, Net Income $4.9B, EPS $11.95.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Capital One Financial Corp.'s revenue has grown significantly by 69% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $11.95 reflects profitable operations.

COF-PN Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
48.9%
Free cash flow / Revenue

COF-PN Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Capital One Financial Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $1.4B $319.0M $0.23
Q2 2025 $1.5B $597.0M $1.38
Q1 2025 $1.4B $1.3B $3.13
Q3 2024 $1.4B $1.8B $4.41
Q2 2024 $1.4B $597.0M $1.38
Q1 2024 $1.3B $960.0M $2.31
Q3 2023 $1.4B $1.7B $4.20
Q2 2023 $1.4B $1.4B $3.52

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Capital One Financial Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$27.7B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$4.1B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$1.6B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$1.5B
Returned to shareholders

COF-PN SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Capital One Financial Corp. (CIK: 0000927628)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 9, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775767241.xml View →
Apr 7, 2026 8-K d85207d8k.htm View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775249809.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775249773.xml View →
Mar 25, 2026 DEF 14A d701179ddef14a.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about COF-PN

What is the AI rating for COF-PN?

Capital One Financial Corp. (COF-PN) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 70% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are COF-PN's key strengths?

Claude: Strong free cash flow generation of 26.1B with 48.9% FCF margin demonstrates underlying business cash generation capability. Conservative leverage at 0.44x D/E ratio with substantial equity base of 113.6B provides financial stability. ChatGPT: Large asset base and substantial equity capital provide balance-sheet stability. Strong operating cash flow and free cash flow indicate good internal funding capacity.

What are the risks of investing in COF-PN?

Claude: Critically weak interest coverage of 0.6x suggests insufficient earnings to service debt, raising solvency concerns. Severely depressed returns on equity (2.2%) and assets (0.4%) indicate poor capital efficiency and value creation. ChatGPT: ROE of 2.2% and ROA of 0.4% indicate weak capital and asset efficiency. Interest coverage of 0.6x and a 4.3% operating margin point to limited earnings cushion.

What is COF-PN's revenue and growth?

Capital One Financial Corp. reported revenue of $53.4B.

Does COF-PN pay dividends?

Capital One Financial Corp. pays dividends, with $1,516.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find COF-PN SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Capital One Financial Corp. (CIK: 0000927628) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is COF-PN's EPS?

Capital One Financial Corp. has a diluted EPS of $4.03.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is COF-PN a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Capital One Financial Corp. has a HOLD rating with 70% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is COF-PN stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for COF-PN: ROE of 2.2% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 4.6% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy COF-PN stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Capital One Financial Corp. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is COF-PN's free cash flow?

Capital One Financial Corp.'s operating cash flow is $27.7B, with capital expenditures of $1.6B. FCF margin is 48.9%.

How does COF-PN compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 4.6% (avg: 25%), ROE 2.2% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 22, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI