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CareDx, Inc. (CDNA) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

CDNA Nasdaq Services-Medical Laboratories DE CIK: 0001217234
Update Pending • Analysis: May 6, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
C
76% Confidence
AGREEMENT
C
75% Conf
B
76% Conf

📊 CDNA Key Takeaways

Revenue: $117.7M
Net Margin: 2.4%
Free Cash Flow: $514.0K
Current Ratio: 3.40x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $0.05
AI Grade: C with 75% confidence
CareDx, Inc. (CDNA) receives a C fundamental grade with 76% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $117.7M, net profit margin of 2.4%, and return on equity (ROE) of 0.9%, CareDx, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Healthcare sector. Below is our complete CDNA stock analysis for 2026.

Is CareDx, Inc. (CDNA) a Good Investment?

Claude

CareDx demonstrates solid revenue growth of 13.8% YoY, but profitability is critically weak with operating margins collapsing to 1.0% and free cash flow generation negligible at $514K on $117.7M revenue. Despite a fortress balance sheet with zero debt and $77.9M cash, the company's inability to convert revenue growth into operating profit or meaningful cash flow raises serious concerns about operational efficiency and business model sustainability.

ChatGPT

CareDx shows a mixed fundamental profile: revenue growth of 13.8% and solid free cash flow generation indicate the business still has commercial momentum, while the balance sheet remains strong with no long-term debt and ample liquidity. However, persistent operating and net losses, weak margins, and sharply deteriorating diluted EPS limit conviction until profitability improves more sustainably.

CareDx, Inc. Key Strengths (CDNA)

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 13.8% YoY shows market demand for services
  • + Healthy gross margin of 44.8% indicates pricing power and reasonable unit economics at gross level
  • + Zero long-term debt and strong liquidity position ($77.9M cash, 3.4x current ratio) provides financial flexibility
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue grew 13.8% year over year, indicating continued demand and business expansion
  • + Strong financial health with $65.43M in cash, a 2.86x current ratio, and no long-term debt
  • + Positive operating cash flow and $40.23M of free cash flow support flexibility despite accounting losses

CDNA Stock Risks: CareDx, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Operating margin at 1.0% and declining is unsustainably thin; company barely profitable despite revenue scale
  • ! Free cash flow of only 0.4% margin is critically low; growth is not translating to cash generation
  • ! Diluted EPS down 143% YoY while ROE and ROA remain under 1%, indicating deteriorating returns and shareholder value destruction
  • ! Operating cash flow of $4.3M insufficient relative to $3.8M capex, limiting reinvestment capacity
ChatGPT
  • ! Profitability remains weak with negative operating margin of -8.1% and net margin of -5.6%
  • ! Gross margin of 13.9% is low and leaves limited room to absorb costs or execution missteps
  • ! Diluted EPS fell sharply year over year, signaling pressure on per-share earnings quality

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin expansion trajectory and cost structure leverage
  • * Free cash flow conversion and working capital efficiency
  • * Gross margin sustainability and potential pricing pressure in competitive landscape
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin and gross margin trend
  • * Free cash flow consistency relative to net income

CareDx, Inc. (CDNA) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$117.7M
Net Income
$2.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.05
Free Cash Flow
$514.0K
Total Assets
$411.1M
Cash Position
$77.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 0.4% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. Strong liquidity with a 3.40x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

CDNA Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 44.8%
Operating Margin 1.0%
Net Margin 2.4%
ROE 0.9%
ROA 0.7%
FCF Margin 0.4%

CDNA vs Healthcare Sector: How CareDx, Inc. Compares

How CareDx, Inc. compares to Healthcare sector averages

Net Margin
CDNA 2.4%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
CDNA Sector
ROE
CDNA 0.9%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
CDNA Sector
Current Ratio
CDNA 3.4x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
CDNA Sector
Debt/Equity
CDNA 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
CDNA Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is CareDx, Inc. Stock Overvalued? CDNA Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, CareDx, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Healthcare sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
0.9%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
2.4%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

CareDx, Inc. Balance Sheet: CDNA Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
3.40x
Quick Ratio
3.07x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
23.7%
Interest Coverage
0.89x
Long-term Debt
$0.0

CDNA Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

CDNA 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $296.4M, Net Income -$22.0M, EPS $-0.52. Year 2022: Revenue $321.8M, Net Income -$18.7M, EPS $-0.40. Year 2023: Revenue $321.8M, Net Income -$30.7M, EPS $-0.59. Year 2024: Revenue $333.8M, Net Income -$76.6M, EPS $-1.44. Year 2025: Revenue $379.8M, Net Income -$190.3M, EPS $-3.54.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: CareDx, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 28% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-3.54 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

CDNA Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
0.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CDNA Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for CareDx, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $84.7M $2.8M $0.05
Q3 2025 $82.9M $1.7M $0.03
Q2 2025 $86.7M -$4.6M $-0.09
Q1 2025 $72.0M -$10.4M $-0.19
Q3 2024 $67.2M -$1.4M $-0.14
Q2 2024 $70.3M -$1.4M $-0.03
Q1 2024 $72.0M -$16.7M $-0.32
Q3 2023 $67.2M -$16.9M $-0.32

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

CareDx, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$4.3M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$87.8M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$3.8M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

CDNA SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for CareDx, Inc. (CIK: 0001217234)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Jun 9, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-06092026_040601.xml View →
Jun 8, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-06082026_040601.xml View →
May 18, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-05182026_040501.xml View →
May 6, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-05062026_040502.xml View →
May 4, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-05042026_080507.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CDNA

What is the AI rating for CDNA?

CareDx, Inc. (CDNA) has a Combined AI Grade of C from Claude (C) and ChatGPT (B) with 76% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CDNA's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 13.8% YoY shows market demand for services. Healthy gross margin of 44.8% indicates pricing power and reasonable unit economics at gross level. ChatGPT: Revenue grew 13.8% year over year, indicating continued demand and business expansion. Strong financial health with $65.43M in cash, a 2.86x current ratio, and no long-term debt.

What are the risks of investing in CDNA?

Claude: Operating margin at 1.0% and declining is unsustainably thin; company barely profitable despite revenue scale. Free cash flow of only 0.4% margin is critically low; growth is not translating to cash generation. ChatGPT: Profitability remains weak with negative operating margin of -8.1% and net margin of -5.6%. Gross margin of 13.9% is low and leaves limited room to absorb costs or execution missteps.

What is CDNA's revenue and growth?

CareDx, Inc. reported revenue of $117.7M.

Does CDNA pay dividends?

CareDx, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find CDNA SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for CareDx, Inc. (CIK: 0001217234) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CDNA's EPS?

CareDx, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.05.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is CDNA's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in June 2026, CareDx, Inc. has a C grade with 76% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is CDNA stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for CDNA: ROE of 0.9% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 2.4% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is CDNA's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives CareDx, Inc. a combined C grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is CDNA's free cash flow?

CareDx, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $4.3M, with capital expenditures of $3.8M. FCF margin is 0.4%.

How does CDNA compare to other Healthcare stocks?

Vs Healthcare sector averages: Net margin 2.4% (avg: 12%), ROE 0.9% (avg: 15%), current ratio 3.40 (avg: 2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 6, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI