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CareDx, Inc. (CDNA) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

CDNA Nasdaq Services-Medical Laboratories DE CIK: 0001217234
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 22, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
📅 Next earnings: Apr 29, 2026 (in 13 days) • TBD ET • All earnings →
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
69% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
62% Conf
HOLD
76% Conf

📊 CDNA Key Takeaways

Revenue: $379.8M
Net Margin: -5.6%
Free Cash Flow: $40.2M
Current Ratio: 2.86x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $-0.40
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence
CareDx, Inc. (CDNA) receives a HOLD rating with 69% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $379.8M, net profit margin of -5.6%, and return on equity (ROE) of -7.0%, CareDx, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Healthcare sector. Below is our complete CDNA stock analysis for 2026.

Is CareDx, Inc. (CDNA) a Good Investment?

Claude

CareDx demonstrates solid revenue growth of 13.8% and strong cash generation with $40.2M in free cash flow, supported by a fortress balance sheet with zero debt and $65.4M in cash. However, persistent unprofitability with -5.6% net margin and negative operating income of -$30.8M despite 13.9% gross margins suggest operational inefficiencies that must be resolved before considering the company investment-grade.

ChatGPT

CareDx shows a mixed fundamental profile: revenue growth of 13.8% and solid free cash flow generation indicate the business still has commercial momentum, while the balance sheet remains strong with no long-term debt and ample liquidity. However, persistent operating and net losses, weak margins, and sharply deteriorating diluted EPS limit conviction until profitability improves more sustainably.

Why Buy CareDx, Inc. Stock? CDNA Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 13.8% YoY demonstrates market demand for services
  • + Excellent liquidity position with 2.86x current ratio and zero long-term debt provides financial flexibility
  • + Positive free cash flow of $40.2M (10.6% FCF margin) indicates underlying business cash generation capability
  • + Adequate balance sheet with $65.4M cash and $303.1M stockholders equity supports runway for operations
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue grew 13.8% year over year, indicating continued demand and business expansion
  • + Strong financial health with $65.43M in cash, a 2.86x current ratio, and no long-term debt
  • + Positive operating cash flow and $40.23M of free cash flow support flexibility despite accounting losses

CDNA Stock Risks: CareDx, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Sustained operating losses (-$30.8M operating income) and negative net margin (-5.6%) indicate business is not yet profitable at scale
  • ! Gross margin of only 13.9% leaves minimal room for operating expenses; structural profitability challenges persist despite revenue growth
  • ! Negative interest coverage ratio of -22.8x reflects inability to cover any debt obligations from operations; entirely dependent on cash reserves
  • ! Diluted EPS deteriorated -143% YoY to -$0.40, signaling shareholder value destruction despite revenue gains
ChatGPT
  • ! Profitability remains weak with negative operating margin of -8.1% and net margin of -5.6%
  • ! Gross margin of 13.9% is low and leaves limited room to absorb costs or execution missteps
  • ! Diluted EPS fell sharply year over year, signaling pressure on per-share earnings quality

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin trend - must demonstrate path to profitability with scale
  • * Gross margin expansion - critical to achieving profitability with current operating expense base
  • * Cash burn rate - monitor whether free cash flow remains positive as operating losses continue
  • * Operating income inflection point - key threshold for investment thesis validation
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin and gross margin trend
  • * Free cash flow consistency relative to net income

CareDx, Inc. (CDNA) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$379.8M
Net Income
$-21.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.40
Free Cash Flow
$40.2M
Total Assets
$413.2M
Cash Position
$65.4M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 2.86x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

CDNA Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 13.9%
Operating Margin -8.1%
Net Margin -5.6%
ROE -7.0%
ROA -5.2%
FCF Margin 10.6%

CDNA vs Healthcare Sector: How CareDx, Inc. Compares

How CareDx, Inc. compares to Healthcare sector averages

Net Margin
CDNA -5.6%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
CDNA Sector
ROE
CDNA -7.0%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
CDNA Sector
Current Ratio
CDNA 2.9x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
CDNA Sector
Debt/Equity
CDNA 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
CDNA Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is CareDx, Inc. Stock Overvalued? CDNA Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, CareDx, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Healthcare sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-7.0%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
-5.6%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

CareDx, Inc. Balance Sheet: CDNA Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.86x
Quick Ratio
2.56x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
26.7%
Interest Coverage
-22.78x
Long-term Debt
$0.0

CDNA Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

CDNA 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $296.4M, Net Income -$22.0M, EPS $-0.52. Year 2022: Revenue $321.8M, Net Income -$18.7M, EPS $-0.40. Year 2023: Revenue $321.8M, Net Income -$30.7M, EPS $-0.59. Year 2024: Revenue $333.8M, Net Income -$76.6M, EPS $-1.44. Year 2025: Revenue $379.8M, Net Income -$190.3M, EPS $-3.54.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: CareDx, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 28% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-3.54 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

CDNA Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
10.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CDNA Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for CareDx, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $82.9M $1.7M $0.03
Q2 2025 $86.7M -$4.6M $-0.09
Q1 2025 $72.0M -$10.4M $-0.19
Q3 2024 $67.2M -$1.4M $-0.14
Q2 2024 $70.3M -$1.4M $-0.03
Q1 2024 $72.0M -$16.7M $-0.32
Q3 2023 $67.2M -$16.9M $-0.32
Q2 2023 $70.3M -$19.6M $-0.41

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

CareDx, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$42.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$87.8M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$1.8M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

CDNA SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for CareDx, Inc. (CIK: 0001217234)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 16, 2026 8-K tm2611749d1_8k.htm View →
Apr 7, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04072026_080410.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04032026_080457.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04032026_080422.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04032026_080435.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CDNA

What is the AI rating for CDNA?

CareDx, Inc. (CDNA) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 69% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CDNA's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 13.8% YoY demonstrates market demand for services. Excellent liquidity position with 2.86x current ratio and zero long-term debt provides financial flexibility. ChatGPT: Revenue grew 13.8% year over year, indicating continued demand and business expansion. Strong financial health with $65.43M in cash, a 2.86x current ratio, and no long-term debt.

What are the risks of investing in CDNA?

Claude: Sustained operating losses (-$30.8M operating income) and negative net margin (-5.6%) indicate business is not yet profitable at scale. Gross margin of only 13.9% leaves minimal room for operating expenses; structural profitability challenges persist despite revenue growth. ChatGPT: Profitability remains weak with negative operating margin of -8.1% and net margin of -5.6%. Gross margin of 13.9% is low and leaves limited room to absorb costs or execution missteps.

What is CDNA's revenue and growth?

CareDx, Inc. reported revenue of $379.8M.

Does CDNA pay dividends?

CareDx, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find CDNA SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for CareDx, Inc. (CIK: 0001217234) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CDNA's EPS?

CareDx, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.40.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is CDNA a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, CareDx, Inc. has a HOLD rating with 69% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is CDNA stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for CDNA: ROE of -7.0% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -5.6% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy CDNA stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives CareDx, Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is CDNA's free cash flow?

CareDx, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $42.0M, with capital expenditures of $1.8M. FCF margin is 10.6%.

How does CDNA compare to other Healthcare stocks?

Vs Healthcare sector averages: Net margin -5.6% (avg: 12%), ROE -7.0% (avg: 15%), current ratio 2.86 (avg: 2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 22, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI