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Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ (CBSH) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

CBSH Nasdaq State Commercial Banks MO CIK: 0000022356
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 22, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
📅 Next earnings: Apr 21, 2026 (in 5 days) • Pre-market ET • EPS est. $0.94 (vs $0.98 prior year) • All earnings →
Combined AI Rating
BUY
80% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
BUY
78% Conf
BUY
82% Conf

📊 CBSH Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.5B
Net Margin: 38.2%
Free Cash Flow: $592.4M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $4.04
AI Rating: BUY with 78% confidence
Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ (CBSH) receives a BUY rating with 80% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $1.5B, net profit margin of 38.2%, and return on equity (ROE) of 14.9%, Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete CBSH stock analysis for 2026.

Is Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ (CBSH) a Good Investment?

Claude

Commerce Bancshares demonstrates strong fundamental health with robust profitability (38.2% net margin, 14.9% ROE) and exceptional cash generation (39.9% FCF margin, $592.4M free cash flow). Revenue growth of 33.4% YoY coupled with stable net income and improving diluted EPS (+9.5%) indicates quality earnings expansion, though the slight net income decline requires monitoring for sustainability.

ChatGPT

Commerce Bancshares shows strong core fundamentals, with high profitability, excellent ROA and ROE for a bank, and substantial free cash flow generation supported by a very clean balance sheet. Revenue growth was strong, but the slight decline in net income suggests some margin pressure or higher costs, so the business looks fundamentally strong rather than flawless. Overall, the company appears financially healthy with good earnings quality and resilient operating performance.

Why Buy Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ Stock? CBSH Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional net profit margin of 38.2% with strong operating margin of 49.3%, indicating operational efficiency typical of quality financial institutions
  • + Outstanding free cash flow generation of $592.4M representing 39.9% of revenue, providing substantial capital for dividends, debt reduction, or strategic investments
  • + Conservative balance sheet with minimal leverage (0.00x debt/equity ratio) and strong liquidity position with $3.5B cash, reducing financial risk
  • + Solid return metrics with 14.9% ROE and 1.7% ROA demonstrating effective capital deployment
  • + Strong revenue growth of 33.4% YoY with diluted EPS growth of 9.5%, showing quality earnings expansion
ChatGPT
  • + High profitability with 49.3% operating margin and 38.2% net margin
  • + Strong balance sheet with minimal long-term debt and solid equity base
  • + Robust cash generation, with $645.14M in operating cash flow and $592.39M in free cash flow

CBSH Stock Risks: Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Net income declined 0.8% YoY despite 33.4% revenue growth, suggesting margin compression or increased operating costs requiring investigation
  • ! Interest coverage ratio of 3.4x, while acceptable, is moderate and could be pressured by rising interest rates in banking sector
  • ! High insider activity (47 Form 4 filings in 90 days) warrants monitoring for potential insider selling patterns that could signal concerns
  • ! Banking sector faces structural headwinds from potential interest rate environment changes affecting net interest margin
ChatGPT
  • ! Net income declined slightly despite strong revenue growth, which may indicate rising costs or normalization in spreads
  • ! Interest coverage of 3.4x is adequate but not especially strong if earnings soften
  • ! Bank fundamentals remain exposed to credit quality deterioration and deposit/funding pressure

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net income trend and margin sustainability given divergence between revenue and earnings growth
  • * Net interest margin and deposit dynamics in changing interest rate environment
  • * Insider trading activity patterns and direction of Form 4 filings
  • * Free cash flow conversion and dividend sustainability
  • * Loan loss provisions and credit quality metrics
ChatGPT
  • * Net interest margin and net income growth
  • * Credit quality trends, including charge-offs and nonperforming loans

Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ (CBSH) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$1.5B
Net Income
$566.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$4.04
Free Cash Flow
$592.4M
Total Assets
$32.9B
Cash Position
$3.5B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 39.9% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

CBSH Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 49.3%
Net Margin 38.2%
ROE 14.9%
ROA 1.7%
FCF Margin 39.9%

CBSH vs Finance Sector: How Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ Compares

How Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
CBSH 38.2%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
CBSH Sector
ROE
CBSH 14.9%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
CBSH Sector
Current Ratio
CBSH 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
CBSH Sector
Debt/Equity
CBSH 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
CBSH Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ Stock Overvalued? CBSH Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ appears fundamentally strong relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
14.9%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
38.2%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ Balance Sheet: CBSH Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
88.4%
Interest Coverage
3.38x
Long-term Debt
$1.8M

CBSH Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

CBSH 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $3.30 reflects profitable operations.

CBSH Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
39.9%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CBSH Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 N/A $138.0M $1.01
Q2 2025 N/A $139.6M $1.03
Q1 2025 N/A $112.7M $0.82
Q3 2024 N/A $120.6M $0.92
Q2 2024 N/A $127.8M $0.97
Q1 2024 N/A $112.7M $0.86
Q3 2023 N/A $120.6M $0.96
Q2 2023 N/A $115.8M $0.92

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$645.1M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$207.6M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$52.7M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$150.2M
Returned to shareholders

CBSH SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ (CIK: 0000022356)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 30, 2026 8-K cbsh-20260324.htm View →
Mar 26, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Mar 26, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 13, 2026 DEF 14A cbsh-20260312.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CBSH

What is the AI rating for CBSH?

Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ (CBSH) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (BUY) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 80% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CBSH's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional net profit margin of 38.2% with strong operating margin of 49.3%, indicating operational efficiency typical of quality financial institutions. Outstanding free cash flow generation of $592.4M representing 39.9% of revenue, providing substantial capital for dividends, debt reduction, or strategic investments. ChatGPT: High profitability with 49.3% operating margin and 38.2% net margin. Strong balance sheet with minimal long-term debt and solid equity base.

What are the risks of investing in CBSH?

Claude: Net income declined 0.8% YoY despite 33.4% revenue growth, suggesting margin compression or increased operating costs requiring investigation. Interest coverage ratio of 3.4x, while acceptable, is moderate and could be pressured by rising interest rates in banking sector. ChatGPT: Net income declined slightly despite strong revenue growth, which may indicate rising costs or normalization in spreads. Interest coverage of 3.4x is adequate but not especially strong if earnings soften.

What is CBSH's revenue and growth?

Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ reported revenue of $1.5B.

Does CBSH pay dividends?

Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ pays dividends, with $150.2M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find CBSH SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ (CIK: 0000022356) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CBSH's EPS?

Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ has a diluted EPS of $4.04.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is CBSH a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ has a BUY rating with 80% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is CBSH stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for CBSH: ROE of 14.9% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 38.2% (sector avg: 25%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy CBSH stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/ a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is CBSH's free cash flow?

Commerce Bancshares Inc. /Mo/'s operating cash flow is $645.1M, with capital expenditures of $52.7M. FCF margin is 39.9%.

How does CBSH compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 38.2% (avg: 25%), ROE 14.9% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 22, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI