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BayFirst Financial Corp. (BAFN) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

BAFN Nasdaq State Commercial Banks FL CIK: 0001649739
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 20, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-09-30
Combined AI Rating
STRONG SELL
90% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
STRONG SELL
92% Conf
STRONG SELL
89% Conf

📊 BAFN Key Takeaways

Revenue: $34.6M
Net Margin: -59.1%
Free Cash Flow: $184.5M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $-5.23
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 92% confidence
BayFirst Financial Corp. (BAFN) receives a STRONG SELL rating with 90% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $34.6M, net profit margin of -59.1%, and return on equity (ROE) of -22.8%, BayFirst Financial Corp. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete BAFN stock analysis for 2026.

Is BayFirst Financial Corp. (BAFN) a Good Investment?

Claude

BayFirst Financial is in severe financial distress with negative profitability across all metrics, declining revenues (-37.1% YoY), and persistent operating losses (-$28.0M). While the company maintains positive operating cash flow and low leverage, the core business is fundamentally broken with negative ROE (-22.8%), negative ROA (-1.5%), and deteriorating net income trends, suggesting structural challenges rather than temporary headwinds.

ChatGPT

BayFirst Financial's fundamentals are weak: revenue fell 37.1% year over year, operating margin was -80.9%, and net margin was -59.1%, indicating severe earnings pressure rather than a temporary profitability dip. While reported operating cash flow was strong and cash balances are solid, those figures are less reliable indicators for a bank than sustained net interest income, credit quality, and capital generation. With negative ROE and ROA alongside a thin equity base relative to assets, the current financial profile points to elevated downside risk.

Why Buy BayFirst Financial Corp. Stock? BAFN Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong liquidity position with $118.5M cash equivalents relative to total assets
  • + Low leverage profile with 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio and no long-term debt
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $184.8M provides near-term survival runway
ChatGPT
  • + Solid cash and equivalents balance of $118.55M provides near-term liquidity support
  • + Positive operating cash flow suggests funding inflows remained strong in the latest period
  • + Bank still maintains positive stockholders' equity of $89.73M despite losses

BAFN Stock Risks: BayFirst Financial Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Severe profitability crisis with -59.1% net margin and $20.5M net loss indicating core business dysfunction
  • ! Collapsing revenue base declining 37.1% year-over-year suggesting loss of competitive position or market share erosion
  • ! Negative returns on equity (-22.8%) and assets (-1.5%) indicate shareholder capital destruction and inefficient asset deployment
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue contraction of 37.1% year over year signals significant core earnings deterioration
  • ! Large net loss and deeply negative operating margin indicate poor profitability and weak earnings quality
  • ! Negative ROE and ROA combined with modest equity relative to total assets increase capital pressure if losses persist

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Quarterly revenue stabilization - further deterioration would signal accelerating business decline
  • * Return to operating profitability - current -$28.0M operating loss unsustainable
  • * Cash burn rate relative to $118.5M reserve - trajectory will determine runway before capital raising or restructuring necessity
ChatGPT
  • * Quarterly net interest income and provision for credit losses
  • * Common equity-to-assets ratio and trend in tangible book capital

BayFirst Financial Corp. (BAFN) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$34.6M
Net Income
$-20.5M
EPS (Diluted)
$-5.23
Free Cash Flow
$184.5M
Total Assets
$1.3B
Cash Position
$118.6M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 532.8% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

BAFN Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -80.9%
Net Margin -59.1%
ROE -22.8%
ROA -1.5%
FCF Margin 532.8%

BAFN vs Finance Sector: How BayFirst Financial Corp. Compares

How BayFirst Financial Corp. compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
BAFN -59.1%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
BAFN Sector
ROE
BAFN -22.8%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
BAFN Sector
Current Ratio
BAFN 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
BAFN Sector
Debt/Equity
BAFN 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
BAFN Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is BayFirst Financial Corp. Stock Overvalued? BAFN Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, BayFirst Financial Corp. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-22.8%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
-59.1%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

BayFirst Financial Corp. Balance Sheet: BAFN Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
93.3%
Interest Coverage
-2.68x
Long-term Debt
N/A

BAFN Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

BAFN 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: BayFirst Financial Corp.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $2.62 reflects profitable operations.

BAFN Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
532.8%
Free cash flow / Revenue

BayFirst Financial Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$184.8M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$335.0K
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$276.0K
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$663.0K
Returned to shareholders

BAFN SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for BayFirst Financial Corp. (CIK: 0001649739)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 31, 2026 8-K bafn-20260331.htm View →
Mar 27, 2026 10-K bafn-20251231.htm View →
Feb 13, 2026 8-K bafn-20260213.htm View →
Feb 6, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1770401085.xml View →
Feb 6, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1770401050.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about BAFN

What is the AI rating for BAFN?

BayFirst Financial Corp. (BAFN) has a Combined AI Rating of STRONG SELL from Claude (STRONG SELL) and ChatGPT (STRONG SELL) with 90% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are BAFN's key strengths?

Claude: Strong liquidity position with $118.5M cash equivalents relative to total assets. Low leverage profile with 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio and no long-term debt. ChatGPT: Solid cash and equivalents balance of $118.55M provides near-term liquidity support. Positive operating cash flow suggests funding inflows remained strong in the latest period.

What are the risks of investing in BAFN?

Claude: Severe profitability crisis with -59.1% net margin and $20.5M net loss indicating core business dysfunction. Collapsing revenue base declining 37.1% year-over-year suggesting loss of competitive position or market share erosion. ChatGPT: Revenue contraction of 37.1% year over year signals significant core earnings deterioration. Large net loss and deeply negative operating margin indicate poor profitability and weak earnings quality.

What is BAFN's revenue and growth?

BayFirst Financial Corp. reported revenue of $34.6M.

Does BAFN pay dividends?

BayFirst Financial Corp. pays dividends, with $0.7M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find BAFN SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for BayFirst Financial Corp. (CIK: 0001649739) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is BAFN's EPS?

BayFirst Financial Corp. has a diluted EPS of $-5.23.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is BAFN a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, BayFirst Financial Corp. has a STRONG SELL rating with 90% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is BAFN stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for BAFN: ROE of -22.8% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of -59.1% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy BAFN stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives BayFirst Financial Corp. a combined STRONG SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is BAFN's free cash flow?

BayFirst Financial Corp.'s operating cash flow is $184.8M, with capital expenditures of $276.0K. FCF margin is 532.8%.

How does BAFN compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin -59.1% (avg: 25%), ROE -22.8% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 20, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-09-30 | Powered by Claude AI