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American Public Education Inc. (APEI) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

APEI Nasdaq Services-Educational Services DE CIK: 0001201792
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 13, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
A
73% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
A
72% Conf
A
74% Conf

📊 APEI Key Takeaways

Revenue: $174.7M
Net Margin: 10.1%
Free Cash Flow: $60.8M
Current Ratio: 2.98x
Debt/Equity: 0.29x
EPS: $0.94
AI Grade: A with 72% confidence
American Public Education Inc. (APEI) receives a A fundamental grade with 73% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $174.7M, net profit margin of 10.1%, and return on equity (ROE) of 5.8%, American Public Education Inc. demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Services sector. Below is our complete APEI stock analysis for 2026.

Is American Public Education Inc. (APEI) a Good Investment?

Claude

APEI demonstrates robust financial health with exceptional free cash flow generation (34.8% FCF margin), strong liquidity (2.98x current ratio), and conservative leverage (0.29x D/E), positioning it as operationally sound. However, modest revenue growth (3.9% YoY) and weak return metrics (ROE 5.8%, ROA 3.3%) indicate limited growth momentum and inefficient capital deployment, warranting cautious optimism pending near-term performance acceleration.

ChatGPT

American Public Education shows improving fundamental momentum, with modest revenue growth translating into much stronger earnings, positive free cash flow, and solid returns on equity and assets. The balance sheet is healthy, supported by strong liquidity, ample cash, and manageable leverage, which gives the company flexibility even though margins remain moderate and top-line growth is not especially high.

American Public Education Inc. Key Strengths (APEI)

Claude
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation ($60.8M) with 34.8% FCF margin demonstrates operational efficiency and strong cash conversion
  • + Fortress balance sheet with $221M cash, 2.98x current ratio, 0.29x debt-to-equity, and 10.8x interest coverage providing significant financial flexibility
  • + Solid profitability with 10.1% net margin and 12.4% operating margin in capital-light business model (minimal $2.5M CapEx)
ChatGPT
  • + Net income growth of 24.7% materially outpaced revenue growth of 3.9%, indicating improving operating efficiency and earnings quality
  • + Strong financial health with $174.09M in cash, a 3.46x current ratio, and low debt-to-equity of 0.32x
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $61.97M and free cash flow of $46.10M support reinvestment and balance sheet resilience

APEI Stock Risks: American Public Education Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Anemic organic growth at 3.9% YoY with marginal absolute earnings growth disconnected from 147% EPS increase, suggesting financial engineering rather than operational momentum
  • ! Weak capital returns (ROE 5.8%, ROA 3.3%) signal inefficient deployment of $537.9M asset base and $306.2M equity
  • ! Educational services sector exposure to regulatory shifts, demographic headwinds, and competitive pressures without visibility to enrollment trends or student retention
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue growth of 3.9% is relatively modest, which could limit earnings expansion if margin gains slow
  • ! Operating margin of 7.4% and net margin of 4.9% leave limited room for execution missteps or enrollment pressure
  • ! Interest coverage of 6.6x is acceptable but not exceptionally strong, so higher borrowing costs or weaker profits could tighten coverage

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth rate acceleration—threshold of 5%+ YoY needed to validate business resilience
  • * Return on Equity and ROA trajectory—monitor capital efficiency improvement and potential margin expansion
  • * Free cash flow sustainability—ensure $60M+ annual generation persists and can fund shareholder returns or growth investments
ChatGPT
  • * Revenue growth and student enrollment trends
  • * Operating margin and free cash flow conversion

American Public Education Inc. (APEI) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$174.7M
Net Income
$17.7M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.94
Free Cash Flow
$60.8M
Total Assets
$537.9M
Cash Position
$221.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 34.8% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. Strong liquidity with a 2.98x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

APEI Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 12.4%
Net Margin 10.1%
ROE 5.8%
ROA 3.3%
FCF Margin 34.8%

APEI vs Services Sector: How American Public Education Inc. Compares

How American Public Education Inc. compares to Services sector averages

Net Margin
APEI 10.1%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
APEI Sector
ROE
APEI 5.8%
vs
Sector Avg 16.0%
APEI Sector
Current Ratio
APEI 3.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
APEI Sector
Debt/Equity
APEI 0.3x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
APEI Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is American Public Education Inc. Stock Overvalued? APEI Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, American Public Education Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Services sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
5.8%
Sector avg: 16%
Net Profit Margin
10.1%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.29x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

American Public Education Inc. Balance Sheet: APEI Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.98x
Quick Ratio
2.98x
Debt/Equity
0.29x
Debt/Assets
43.1%
Interest Coverage
10.82x
Long-term Debt
$88.3M

APEI Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

APEI 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $418.8M, Net Income $10.0M, EPS $0.62. Year 2022: Revenue $606.3M, Net Income $18.8M, EPS $1.25. Year 2023: Revenue $606.3M, Net Income $17.8M, EPS $0.97. Year 2024: Revenue $624.6M, Net Income -$115.0M, EPS $-6.08. Year 2025: Revenue $648.9M, Net Income -$47.3M, EPS $-2.93.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: American Public Education Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 55% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-2.93 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

APEI Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
34.8%
Free cash flow / Revenue

APEI Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for American Public Education Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $164.6M $8.9M $0.41
Q3 2025 $153.1M $371.0K $0.04
Q2 2025 $152.9M $371.0K $-0.02
Q1 2025 $154.4M $516.0K $-0.06
Q3 2024 $150.8M $371.0K $0.04
Q2 2024 $147.2M $371.0K $-0.06
Q1 2024 $149.7M $516.0K $-0.06
Q3 2023 $149.5M -$3.3M $-0.20

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

American Public Education Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$63.3M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$8.7M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$2.5M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$93.8M
Returned to shareholders

APEI SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for American Public Education Inc. (CIK: 0001201792)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 27, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form413281003_05262026.xml View →
May 26, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
May 26, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
May 26, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
May 26, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about APEI

What is the AI rating for APEI?

American Public Education Inc. (APEI) has a Combined AI Grade of A from Claude (A) and ChatGPT (A) with 73% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are APEI's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional free cash flow generation ($60.8M) with 34.8% FCF margin demonstrates operational efficiency and strong cash conversion. Fortress balance sheet with $221M cash, 2.98x current ratio, 0.29x debt-to-equity, and 10.8x interest coverage providing significant financial flexibility. ChatGPT: Net income growth of 24.7% materially outpaced revenue growth of 3.9%, indicating improving operating efficiency and earnings quality. Strong financial health with $174.09M in cash, a 3.46x current ratio, and low debt-to-equity of 0.32x.

What are the risks of investing in APEI?

Claude: Anemic organic growth at 3.9% YoY with marginal absolute earnings growth disconnected from 147% EPS increase, suggesting financial engineering rather than operational momentum. Weak capital returns (ROE 5.8%, ROA 3.3%) signal inefficient deployment of $537.9M asset base and $306.2M equity. ChatGPT: Revenue growth of 3.9% is relatively modest, which could limit earnings expansion if margin gains slow. Operating margin of 7.4% and net margin of 4.9% leave limited room for execution missteps or enrollment pressure.

What is APEI's revenue and growth?

American Public Education Inc. reported revenue of $174.7M.

Does APEI pay dividends?

American Public Education Inc. pays dividends, with $93.8M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find APEI SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for American Public Education Inc. (CIK: 0001201792) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is APEI's EPS?

American Public Education Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.94.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is APEI's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in June 2026, American Public Education Inc. has a A grade with 73% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is APEI stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for APEI: ROE of 5.8% (sector avg: 16%), net margin of 10.1% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is APEI's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives American Public Education Inc. a combined A grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is APEI's free cash flow?

American Public Education Inc.'s operating cash flow is $63.3M, with capital expenditures of $2.5M. FCF margin is 34.8%.

How does APEI compare to other Services stocks?

Vs Services sector averages: Net margin 10.1% (avg: 10%), ROE 5.8% (avg: 16%), current ratio 2.98 (avg: 1.5).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 13, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI