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American Eagle Outfitters Inc. (AEO) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

AEO NYSE Retail-Family Clothing Stores DE CIK: 0000919012
Recently Updated • Analysis: Jun 4, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-05-02
Combined AI Grade
C
85% Confidence
NEUTRAL
D
88% Conf
B
82% Conf

📊 AEO Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.2B
Net Margin: 2.0%
Free Cash Flow: $-126.6M
Current Ratio: 1.55x
Debt/Equity: 0.05x
EPS: $0.14
AI Grade: D with 88% confidence
American Eagle Outfitters Inc. (AEO) receives a C fundamental grade with 85% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $1.2B, net profit margin of 2.0%, and return on equity (ROE) of 1.4%, American Eagle Outfitters Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Consumer sector. Below is our complete AEO stock analysis for 2026.

Is American Eagle Outfitters Inc. (AEO) a Good Investment?

Claude

American Eagle is in financial distress with negative operating cash flow of -$65.2M and collapsing profitability as net income fell 43.2% YoY despite modest revenue growth. The business is burning through cash at an unsustainable rate with a -$126.6M free cash flow, indicating core operations cannot fund the company.

ChatGPT

American Eagle Outfitters shows stable but uninspiring fundamentals: revenue is growing only modestly, net income is essentially flat, and operating profitability remains thin for a retailer. The balance sheet is conservatively levered and liquidity is acceptable, but negative free cash flow and weak returns on capital limit the quality of the growth story.

American Eagle Outfitters Inc. Key Strengths (AEO)

Claude
  • + Low leverage with debt/equity ratio of 0.05x provides some financial flexibility for restructuring
  • + Gross margin of 38.2% is reasonable for retail and suggests some pricing power remains
  • + Revenue growth of 4.1% YoY shows the business still has market demand despite operational challenges
ChatGPT
  • + Low debt burden with debt/equity of 0.13x supports financial flexibility
  • + Positive revenue growth and positive net income indicate the core business remains viable
  • + Current ratio of 1.63x and meaningful equity base suggest decent near-term balance sheet resilience

AEO Stock Risks: American Eagle Outfitters Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Negative operating cash flow of -$65.2M means the core business is not self-sustaining and is burning cash
  • ! Net income plummeted 43.2% YoY while revenue grew only 4.1%, indicating severe margin compression and operational deterioration
  • ! Unsustainable free cash flow burn of -$126.6M with only $103.3M in cash creates acute liquidity risk within 12 months
  • ! Operating margin of 2.4% is critically thin and provides no buffer for market disruptions or seasonal weakness
  • ! Quick ratio of 0.53x signals potential liquidity stress as the company cannot cover short-term obligations with liquid assets
ChatGPT
  • ! Operating margin of 3.5% and net margin of 2.8% leave little room for execution mistakes or consumer weakness
  • ! Free cash flow is materially negative due to capex outpacing operating cash flow
  • ! ROE of 6.4% and ROA of 2.5% indicate weak efficiency and limited earnings power

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trajectory - must return to positive within next 2-3 quarters
  • * Cash balance and cash burn rate - critical indicator of runway remaining
  • * Gross margin trend - further compression would signal structural business deterioration
  • * Operating margin recovery - must demonstrate path to 5%+ to restore sustainability
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin and gross margin stability
  • * Free cash flow improvement relative to capital expenditures

American Eagle Outfitters Inc. (AEO) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$1.2B
Net Income
$23.5M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.14
Free Cash Flow
$-126.6M
Total Assets
$4.1B
Cash Position
$103.3M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

American Eagle Outfitters Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

AEO Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 38.2%
Operating Margin 2.4%
Net Margin 2.0%
ROE 1.4%
ROA 0.6%
FCF Margin -10.6%

AEO vs Consumer Sector: How American Eagle Outfitters Inc. Compares

How American Eagle Outfitters Inc. compares to Consumer sector averages

Net Margin
AEO 2.0%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
AEO Sector
ROE
AEO 1.4%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
AEO Sector
Current Ratio
AEO 1.5x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
AEO Sector
Debt/Equity
AEO 0.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.8x
AEO Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is American Eagle Outfitters Inc. Stock Overvalued? AEO Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, American Eagle Outfitters Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Consumer sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
1.4%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
2.0%
Sector avg: 8%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.05x
Sector avg: 0.8x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

American Eagle Outfitters Inc. Balance Sheet: AEO Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.55x
Quick Ratio
0.53x
Debt/Equity
0.05x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$85.0M

AEO Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

AEO 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $5.0B, Net Income $191.3M, EPS $1.12. Year 2022: Revenue $5.0B, Net Income -$209.3M, EPS $-1.26. Year 2023: Revenue $5.3B, Net Income $419.6M, EPS $2.03. Year 2024: Revenue $5.3B, Net Income $125.1M, EPS $0.64. Year 2025: Revenue $5.5B, Net Income $170.0M, EPS $0.86.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: American Eagle Outfitters Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 11% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $0.86 reflects profitable operations.

AEO Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-10.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

AEO Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for American Eagle Outfitters Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $1.1B $23.5M $0.14
Q3 2025 $1.3B $80.0M $0.41
Q2 2025 $1.3B $12.7M $0.07
Q1 2025 $1.1B -$64.9M $0.34
Q3 2024 $1.3B $80.0M $0.41
Q2 2024 $1.2B $48.6M $0.25
Q1 2024 $1.1B $18.5M $0.09
Q3 2023 $1.2B $70.5M $0.36

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

American Eagle Outfitters Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$65.2M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$53.5M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$61.4M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$20.9M
Returned to shareholders

AEO SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for American Eagle Outfitters Inc. (CIK: 0000919012)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Jun 3, 2026 10-Q aeo-20260502.htm View →
May 28, 2026 8-K aeo-20260528.htm View →
May 15, 2026 DEF 14A d70088ddef14a.htm View →
Apr 28, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →
Apr 28, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about AEO

What is the AI rating for AEO?

American Eagle Outfitters Inc. (AEO) has a Combined AI Grade of C from Claude (D) and ChatGPT (B) with 85% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are AEO's key strengths?

Claude: Low leverage with debt/equity ratio of 0.05x provides some financial flexibility for restructuring. Gross margin of 38.2% is reasonable for retail and suggests some pricing power remains. ChatGPT: Low debt burden with debt/equity of 0.13x supports financial flexibility. Positive revenue growth and positive net income indicate the core business remains viable.

What are the risks of investing in AEO?

Claude: Negative operating cash flow of -$65.2M means the core business is not self-sustaining and is burning cash. Net income plummeted 43.2% YoY while revenue grew only 4.1%, indicating severe margin compression and operational deterioration. ChatGPT: Operating margin of 3.5% and net margin of 2.8% leave little room for execution mistakes or consumer weakness. Free cash flow is materially negative due to capex outpacing operating cash flow.

What is AEO's revenue and growth?

American Eagle Outfitters Inc. reported revenue of $1.2B.

Does AEO pay dividends?

American Eagle Outfitters Inc. pays dividends, with $20.9M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find AEO SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for American Eagle Outfitters Inc. (CIK: 0000919012) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is AEO's EPS?

American Eagle Outfitters Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.14.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is AEO's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in June 2026, American Eagle Outfitters Inc. has a C grade with 85% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is AEO stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for AEO: ROE of 1.4% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 2.0% (sector avg: 8%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is AEO's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives American Eagle Outfitters Inc. a combined C grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is AEO's free cash flow?

American Eagle Outfitters Inc.'s operating cash flow is $-65.2M, with capital expenditures of $61.4M. FCF margin is -10.6%.

How does AEO compare to other Consumer stocks?

Vs Consumer sector averages: Net margin 2.0% (avg: 8%), ROE 1.4% (avg: 18%), current ratio 1.55 (avg: 1.5).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Jun 4, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-05-02 | Powered by Claude AI