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Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

XOM NYSE Petroleum Refining NJ CIK: 0000034088
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 18, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
BUY
77% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
BUY
72% Conf
BUY
82% Conf

📊 XOM Key Takeaways

Revenue: $332.2B
Net Margin: 8.7%
Free Cash Flow: $23.6B
Current Ratio: 1.15x
Debt/Equity: 0.13x
EPS: $6.70
AI Rating: BUY with 72% confidence
Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) receives a BUY rating with 77% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $332.2B, net profit margin of 8.7%, and return on equity (ROE) of 11.1%, Exxon Mobil Corp. demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Energy sector. Below is our complete XOM stock analysis for 2026.

Is Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) a Good Investment?

Claude

Exxon Mobil demonstrates solid financial fundamentals with strong cash generation (23.6B FCF) and exceptional debt servicing capacity (68.4x interest coverage). While revenue declined 5% YoY and EPS fell 14.5%, the company maintains healthy profitability margins (8.7% net margin) and balanced capital allocation, though macro energy price headwinds persist.

ChatGPT

Exxon Mobil shows strong core fundamentals with double-digit operating margins, substantial operating cash flow, and solid free cash flow even amid a modest year-over-year revenue and earnings decline. The balance sheet is conservative, with low debt-to-equity and very strong interest coverage, which supports resilience through commodity cycles. Growth quality appears disciplined rather than aggressive, with heavy but well-supported capital spending and durable profitability.

Why Buy Exxon Mobil Corp. Stock? XOM Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional interest coverage ratio (68.4x) indicating negligible default risk
  • + Strong free cash flow generation (23.6B) with 7.1% FCF margin supporting dividends and reinvestment
  • + Conservative leverage (0.13x debt/equity) with substantial equity base of 259.4B
  • + Positive cash conversion: operating cash flow of 52B significantly exceeds capex of 28.4B
  • + Healthy ROE (11.1%) and ROA (6.4%) demonstrating efficient capital utilization
ChatGPT
  • + Strong profitability with 12.4% operating margin and 8.7% net margin at very large scale
  • + Excellent financial health driven by low leverage, a 0.13x debt-to-equity ratio, and 68.4x interest coverage
  • + Robust cash generation with $51.97B in operating cash flow and $23.61B in free cash flow after significant capital investment

XOM Stock Risks: Exxon Mobil Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Revenue contraction of 5% YoY reflects commodity price exposure and market headwinds in energy sector
  • ! EPS decline of 14.5% outpaces revenue decline, suggesting margin compression or higher tax burden
  • ! Quick ratio of 0.94x indicates tight short-term liquidity without inventory conversion
  • ! Capital intensity and cyclical nature of petroleum refining expose profitability to commodity volatility
  • ! Energy transition risk and long-term demand uncertainty in core petroleum business segment
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue, net income, and diluted EPS all declined year over year, indicating softer near-term earnings momentum
  • ! High capital expenditure requirements reduce flexibility if operating conditions weaken further
  • ! Liquidity is adequate but not especially strong, with a 1.15x current ratio and 0.94x quick ratio

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin trend (currently 12.4%) for cost management effectiveness
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and FCF margin stability amid energy price volatility
  • * Debt/equity ratio maintenance and covenant compliance under stressed energy market conditions
ChatGPT
  • * Free cash flow sustainability relative to capital expenditures
  • * Operating margin and net income trend through commodity cycles

Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$332.2B
Net Income
$28.8B
EPS (Diluted)
$6.70
Free Cash Flow
$23.6B
Total Assets
$449.0B
Cash Position
$10.7B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Exxon Mobil Corp. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

XOM Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 12.4%
Net Margin 8.7%
ROE 11.1%
ROA 6.4%
FCF Margin 7.1%

XOM vs Energy Sector: How Exxon Mobil Corp. Compares

How Exxon Mobil Corp. compares to Energy sector averages

Net Margin
XOM 8.7%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
XOM Sector
ROE
XOM 11.1%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
XOM Sector
Current Ratio
XOM 1.2x
vs
Sector Avg 1.3x
XOM Sector
Debt/Equity
XOM 0.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
XOM Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Exxon Mobil Corp. Stock Overvalued? XOM Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Exxon Mobil Corp. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Energy sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
11.1%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
8.7%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.13x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Exxon Mobil Corp. Balance Sheet: XOM Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.15x
Quick Ratio
0.94x
Debt/Equity
0.13x
Debt/Assets
40.6%
Interest Coverage
68.44x
Long-term Debt
$34.2B

XOM Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

XOM 5-year financial data: Year 2019: Revenue $279.3B, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2020: Revenue $279.3B, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2021: Revenue $276.7B, Net Income $14.3B, EPS $3.36.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Exxon Mobil Corp.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 1% decline. The most recent EPS of $8.89 reflects profitable operations.

XOM Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
7.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

XOM Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Exxon Mobil Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $85.3B $7.5B $1.76
Q2 2025 $81.5B $7.1B $1.64
Q1 2025 $83.1B $7.7B $1.76
Q3 2024 $90.0B $8.6B $1.92
Q2 2024 $82.9B $7.9B $1.94
Q1 2024 $83.1B $8.2B $2.06
Q3 2023 $90.8B $9.1B $2.25
Q2 2023 $80.8B $7.9B $1.94

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Exxon Mobil Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$52.0B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$20.3B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$28.4B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$17.2B
Returned to shareholders

XOM SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Exxon Mobil Corp. (CIK: 0000034088)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 8, 2026 DEF 14A d16317ddef14a.htm View →
Apr 8, 2026 8-K xom-20260408.htm View →
Mar 31, 2026 8-K d121881d8k.htm View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about XOM

What is the AI rating for XOM?

Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (BUY) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 77% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are XOM's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional interest coverage ratio (68.4x) indicating negligible default risk. Strong free cash flow generation (23.6B) with 7.1% FCF margin supporting dividends and reinvestment. ChatGPT: Strong profitability with 12.4% operating margin and 8.7% net margin at very large scale. Excellent financial health driven by low leverage, a 0.13x debt-to-equity ratio, and 68.4x interest coverage.

What are the risks of investing in XOM?

Claude: Revenue contraction of 5% YoY reflects commodity price exposure and market headwinds in energy sector. EPS decline of 14.5% outpaces revenue decline, suggesting margin compression or higher tax burden. ChatGPT: Revenue, net income, and diluted EPS all declined year over year, indicating softer near-term earnings momentum. High capital expenditure requirements reduce flexibility if operating conditions weaken further.

What is XOM's revenue and growth?

Exxon Mobil Corp. reported revenue of $332.2B.

Does XOM pay dividends?

Exxon Mobil Corp. pays dividends, with $17,231.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find XOM SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Exxon Mobil Corp. (CIK: 0000034088) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is XOM's EPS?

Exxon Mobil Corp. has a diluted EPS of $6.70.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is XOM a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Exxon Mobil Corp. has a BUY rating with 77% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is XOM stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for XOM: ROE of 11.1% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of 8.7% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy XOM stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Exxon Mobil Corp. a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is XOM's free cash flow?

Exxon Mobil Corp.'s operating cash flow is $52.0B, with capital expenditures of $28.4B. FCF margin is 7.1%.

How does XOM compare to other Energy stocks?

Vs Energy sector averages: Net margin 8.7% (avg: 12%), ROE 11.1% (avg: 14%), current ratio 1.15 (avg: 1.3).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 18, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI