← Back to All US Stocks

Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

ULTA Nasdaq Retail-Retail Stores, NEC CIK: 0001403568
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-11-01
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
72% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
65% Conf
HOLD
79% Conf

📊 ULTA Key Takeaways

Revenue: $8.5B
Net Margin: 9.4%
Free Cash Flow: $78.9M
Current Ratio: 1.33x
Debt/Equity: 0.30x
EPS: $17.65
AI Rating: HOLD with 65% confidence
Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) receives a HOLD rating with 72% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $8.5B, net profit margin of 9.4%, and return on equity (ROE) of 30.3%, Ulta Beauty, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Consumer sector. Below is our complete ULTA stock analysis for 2026.

Is Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) a Good Investment?

Claude

Ulta Beauty demonstrates solid profitability with strong margins (39.6% gross, 12.4% operating) and excellent returns on equity (30.3%), indicating efficient capital deployment. However, revenue growth has stalled at 0.8% YoY while net income remains flat, coupled with concerning cash flow generation (78.9M FCF on 8.5B revenue = 0.9% FCF margin), suggesting operational challenges that warrant caution despite fundamental strength.

ChatGPT

Ulta Beauty remains fundamentally profitable, with strong gross margins, double-digit operating margins, and high returns on equity and assets that indicate a durable retail model. However, growth quality has weakened as revenue is nearly flat, net income is stagnant, diluted EPS is declining, and free cash flow conversion is currently very thin. The balance sheet is still healthy enough to support operations, but the combination of slowing growth and compressed cash generation argues for a neutral fundamental view.

Why Buy Ulta Beauty, Inc. Stock? ULTA Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional profitability metrics with 39.6% gross margin and 12.4% operating margin indicating pricing power and operational efficiency
  • + Outstanding returns on equity (30.3%) and ROA (11.4%) demonstrate superior capital allocation and asset utilization
  • + Strong interest coverage ratio (5708.4x) with conservative leverage (0.30x debt-to-equity) indicates financial stability
ChatGPT
  • + Strong profitability profile with 39.6% gross margin, 12.4% operating margin, and 9.4% net margin
  • + High capital efficiency, with ROE of 30.3% and ROA of 11.4%
  • + Manageable leverage and solid financial stability, supported by 1.33x current ratio and low debt/equity of 0.30x

ULTA Stock Risks: Ulta Beauty, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Revenue growth has essentially stalled at 0.8% YoY in mature market, suggesting limited organic growth prospects and potential market saturation
  • ! Severely weak free cash flow conversion (0.9% FCF margin) relative to net income indicates cash generation issues despite accounting profitability
  • ! Quick ratio of 0.25x signals potential liquidity constraints with limited ability to meet short-term obligations without inventory conversion
  • ! Diluted EPS declined 2.7% YoY despite flat net income, suggesting shareholder dilution from equity issuance
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue growth has slowed sharply to 0.8% YoY, signaling weaker top-line momentum
  • ! Net income is flat and diluted EPS declined 2.7% YoY, indicating limited earnings expansion
  • ! Free cash flow is weak at just $78.92M and a 0.9% FCF margin, reducing financial flexibility

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Organic revenue growth trajectory and comparable store sales trends
  • * Free cash flow margin expansion and operating cash flow sustainability
  • * Quick ratio and working capital management efficiency
ChatGPT
  • * Free cash flow and operating cash flow conversion
  • * Comparable sales or revenue growth alongside operating margin stability

Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$8.5B
Net Income
$796.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$17.65
Free Cash Flow
$78.9M
Total Assets
$7.0B
Cash Position
$204.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 0.9% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility.

ULTA Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 39.6%
Operating Margin 12.4%
Net Margin 9.4%
ROE 30.3%
ROA 11.4%
FCF Margin 0.9%

ULTA vs Consumer Sector: How Ulta Beauty, Inc. Compares

How Ulta Beauty, Inc. compares to Consumer sector averages

Net Margin
ULTA 9.4%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
ULTA Sector
ROE
ULTA 30.3%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
ULTA Sector
Current Ratio
ULTA 1.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
ULTA Sector
Debt/Equity
ULTA 0.3x
vs
Sector Avg 0.8x
ULTA Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Ulta Beauty, Inc. Stock Overvalued? ULTA Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Ulta Beauty, Inc. appears fundamentally strong relative to the Consumer sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
30.3%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
9.4%
Sector avg: 8%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.30x
Sector avg: 0.8x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Ulta Beauty, Inc. Balance Sheet: ULTA Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.33x
Quick Ratio
0.25x
Debt/Equity
0.30x
Debt/Assets
62.5%
Interest Coverage
5,708.38x
Long-term Debt
$800.0M

ULTA Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

ULTA 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $8.6B, Net Income $705.9M, EPS $12.15. Year 2022: Revenue $10.2B, Net Income $175.8M, EPS $3.11. Year 2023: Revenue $11.2B, Net Income $985.8M, EPS $17.98. Year 2024: Revenue $11.3B, Net Income $1.2B, EPS $24.01. Year 2025: Revenue $12.4B, Net Income $1.3B, EPS $26.03.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 44% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $26.03 reflects profitable operations.

ULTA Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
0.9%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ULTA Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Ulta Beauty, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $2.5B $230.9M $5.14
Q2 2025 $2.6B $252.6M $5.30
Q1 2025 $2.7B $305.1M $6.47
Q3 2024 $2.5B $242.2M $5.07
Q2 2024 $2.5B $252.6M $5.30
Q1 2024 $2.6B $313.1M $6.47
Q3 2023 $2.3B $249.5M $5.07
Q2 2023 $2.3B $295.7M $5.70

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Ulta Beauty, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$322.2M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$704.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$243.3M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$62.5M
Returned to shareholders

ULTA SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Ulta Beauty, Inc. (CIK: 0001403568)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 7, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about ULTA

What is the AI rating for ULTA?

Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 72% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are ULTA's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional profitability metrics with 39.6% gross margin and 12.4% operating margin indicating pricing power and operational efficiency. Outstanding returns on equity (30.3%) and ROA (11.4%) demonstrate superior capital allocation and asset utilization. ChatGPT: Strong profitability profile with 39.6% gross margin, 12.4% operating margin, and 9.4% net margin. High capital efficiency, with ROE of 30.3% and ROA of 11.4%.

What are the risks of investing in ULTA?

Claude: Revenue growth has essentially stalled at 0.8% YoY in mature market, suggesting limited organic growth prospects and potential market saturation. Severely weak free cash flow conversion (0.9% FCF margin) relative to net income indicates cash generation issues despite accounting profitability. ChatGPT: Revenue growth has slowed sharply to 0.8% YoY, signaling weaker top-line momentum. Net income is flat and diluted EPS declined 2.7% YoY, indicating limited earnings expansion.

What is ULTA's revenue and growth?

Ulta Beauty, Inc. reported revenue of $8.5B.

Does ULTA pay dividends?

Ulta Beauty, Inc. pays dividends, with $62.5M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find ULTA SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Ulta Beauty, Inc. (CIK: 0001403568) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is ULTA's EPS?

Ulta Beauty, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $17.65.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is ULTA a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Ulta Beauty, Inc. has a HOLD rating with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is ULTA stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for ULTA: ROE of 30.3% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 9.4% (sector avg: 8%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy ULTA stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Ulta Beauty, Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is ULTA's free cash flow?

Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $322.2M, with capital expenditures of $243.3M. FCF margin is 0.9%.

How does ULTA compare to other Consumer stocks?

Vs Consumer sector averages: Net margin 9.4% (avg: 8%), ROE 30.3% (avg: 18%), current ratio 1.33 (avg: 1.5).

Why is ULTA's return on equity (ROE) so high?

Ulta Beauty, Inc. has a return on equity of 30.3%, significantly above the Consumer sector average of 18%. A high ROE indicates the company is efficient at generating profits from shareholder equity. This is supported by a 9.4% net margin.

Top Rated Stocks
NSSC 92% MLI 92% MELI 92% MDXG 92% MANH 92% INVA 92% GGG 92% GCT 92% FTNT 92% FSLR 92%
Sector: All Consumer Stocks →
Browse: High ROE Stocks
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-11-01 | Powered by Claude AI