← Back to All US Stocks

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

STX Nasdaq Computer Storage Devices CIK: 0001137789
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-01-02
Combined AI Rating
BUY
74% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
BUY
72% Conf
BUY
77% Conf

📊 STX Key Takeaways

Revenue: $5.5B
Net Margin: 20.9%
Free Cash Flow: $1.0B
Current Ratio: 1.12x
Debt/Equity: 7.63x
EPS: $5.03
AI Rating: BUY with 72% confidence
Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) receives a BUY rating with 74% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $5.5B, net profit margin of 20.9%, and return on equity (ROE) of 248.8%, Seagate Technology Holdings plc demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Technology sector. Below is our complete STX stock analysis for 2026.

Is Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) a Good Investment?

Claude

Seagate demonstrates exceptional profitability with 20.9% net margins and 28.2% operating margins, coupled with strong revenue growth of 38.9% YoY and substantial earnings expansion (338.5% net income growth). However, the extreme leverage (7.63x debt-to-equity) and modest stockholders' equity of $459M create significant financial risk despite healthy free cash flow generation of $1.0B.

ChatGPT

Seagate’s latest fundamentals show a sharp cyclical earnings recovery, with revenue up 38.9%, net income up 338.5%, and strong operating and free cash flow generation. Profitability is robust, with 28.2% operating margin and 19.0% free cash flow margin, indicating the rebound is translating into real cash earnings. The main constraint is balance sheet risk, as leverage remains high and equity is very thin, which limits downside resilience if storage demand weakens again.

Why Buy Seagate Technology Holdings plc Stock? STX Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional net income growth of 338.5% YoY indicating strong operational execution
  • + Robust free cash flow of $1.0B with 19% FCF margin providing debt service capacity
  • + Strong revenue growth of 38.9% YoY suggesting healthy demand in storage devices market
  • + Healthy operating margin of 28.2% and net margin of 20.9% demonstrating pricing power
  • + Interest coverage ratio of 9.1x indicates adequate ability to service debt obligations
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue, EPS, and net income are rebounding very strongly year over year, signaling meaningful operating momentum
  • + High operating margin and net margin show efficient conversion of sales into earnings
  • + Free cash flow generation is strong relative to revenue and capital spending needs remain manageable

STX Stock Risks: Seagate Technology Holdings plc Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Extremely high leverage with 7.63x debt-to-equity ratio and total liabilities exceeding total assets significantly
  • ! Stockholders' equity of only $459M is dangerously low relative to $3.5B long-term debt, creating solvency concerns
  • ! Quick ratio of 0.72x indicates potential short-term liquidity constraints if operations deteriorate
  • ! Gross margin data unavailable, limiting visibility into cost structure and pricing sustainability
  • ! High leverage amplifies downside risk if storage market demand weakens or competitive pressures intensify
ChatGPT
  • ! Very high debt-to-equity and low absolute equity create elevated financial leverage risk
  • ! Quick ratio below 1.0 suggests tighter near-term liquidity outside of inventory
  • ! Current profitability may reflect a cyclical upturn and could reverse if storage demand softens

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and ability to reduce net debt levels
  • * Revenue growth trajectory and gross margin trends in upcoming quarters
  • * Debt-to-equity ratio movement and progress toward deleveraging
  • * Operating cash flow consistency and working capital management
  • * Storage device market demand indicators and competitive positioning
ChatGPT
  • * Free cash flow and operating cash flow consistency
  • * Debt reduction, interest coverage, and equity base improvement

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$5.5B
Net Income
$1.1B
EPS (Diluted)
$5.03
Free Cash Flow
$1.0B
Total Assets
$8.7B
Cash Position
$1.0B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Seagate Technology Holdings plc presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

STX Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 28.2%
Net Margin 20.9%
ROE 248.8%
ROA 13.1%
FCF Margin 19.0%

STX vs Technology Sector: How Seagate Technology Holdings plc Compares

How Seagate Technology Holdings plc compares to Technology sector averages

Net Margin
STX 20.9%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
STX Sector
ROE
STX 248.8%
vs
Sector Avg 22.0%
STX Sector
Current Ratio
STX 1.1x
vs
Sector Avg 2.5x
STX Sector
Debt/Equity
STX 7.6x
vs
Sector Avg 0.5x
STX Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Seagate Technology Holdings plc Stock Overvalued? STX Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Seagate Technology Holdings plc has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Technology sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
248.8%
Sector avg: 22%
Net Profit Margin
20.9%
Sector avg: 18%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
7.63x
Sector avg: 0.5x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Seagate Technology Holdings plc Balance Sheet: STX Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.12x
Quick Ratio
0.72x
Debt/Equity
7.63x
Debt/Assets
94.7%
Interest Coverage
9.09x
Long-term Debt
$3.5B

STX Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

STX 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $10.7B, Net Income $2.0B, EPS $7.06. Year 2022: Revenue $11.7B, Net Income $1.0B, EPS $3.79. Year 2023: Revenue $11.7B, Net Income $1.3B, EPS $5.36. Year 2024: Revenue $11.7B, Net Income $1.6B, EPS $7.36. Year 2027: Revenue $9.1B, Net Income -$529.0M, EPS $-2.56.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Seagate Technology Holdings plc's revenue has declined by 15% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $-2.56 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

STX Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
19.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

STX Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Seagate Technology Holdings plc including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $2.3B $336.0M $1.55
Q1 2026 $2.2B $305.0M $1.41
Q3 2025 $1.7B $25.0M $0.12
Q2 2025 $1.6B -$19.0M $-0.09
Q1 2025 $1.5B -$184.0M $-0.88
Q3 2024 $1.7B $25.0M $0.12
Q2 2024 $1.6B -$4.0M $-0.02
Q1 2024 $1.5B $29.0M $0.14

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Seagate Technology Holdings plc Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$1.3B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$29.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$221.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$307.0M
Returned to shareholders

STX SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Seagate Technology Holdings plc (CIK: 0001137789)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775163217.xml View →
Mar 23, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1774297204.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773693032.xml View →
Mar 12, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773346309.xml View →
Mar 12, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773346299.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about STX

What is the AI rating for STX?

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (BUY) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 74% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are STX's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional net income growth of 338.5% YoY indicating strong operational execution. Robust free cash flow of $1.0B with 19% FCF margin providing debt service capacity. ChatGPT: Revenue, EPS, and net income are rebounding very strongly year over year, signaling meaningful operating momentum. High operating margin and net margin show efficient conversion of sales into earnings.

What are the risks of investing in STX?

Claude: Extremely high leverage with 7.63x debt-to-equity ratio and total liabilities exceeding total assets significantly. Stockholders' equity of only $459M is dangerously low relative to $3.5B long-term debt, creating solvency concerns. ChatGPT: Very high debt-to-equity and low absolute equity create elevated financial leverage risk. Quick ratio below 1.0 suggests tighter near-term liquidity outside of inventory.

What is STX's revenue and growth?

Seagate Technology Holdings plc reported revenue of $5.5B.

Does STX pay dividends?

Seagate Technology Holdings plc pays dividends, with $307.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find STX SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Seagate Technology Holdings plc (CIK: 0001137789) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is STX's EPS?

Seagate Technology Holdings plc has a diluted EPS of $5.03.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is STX a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Seagate Technology Holdings plc has a BUY rating with 74% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is STX stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for STX: ROE of 248.8% (sector avg: 22%), net margin of 20.9% (sector avg: 18%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy STX stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Seagate Technology Holdings plc a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is STX's free cash flow?

Seagate Technology Holdings plc's operating cash flow is $1.3B, with capital expenditures of $221.0M. FCF margin is 19.0%.

How does STX compare to other Technology stocks?

Vs Technology sector averages: Net margin 20.9% (avg: 18%), ROE 248.8% (avg: 22%), current ratio 1.12 (avg: 2.5).

Is Seagate Technology Holdings plc carrying too much debt?

STX has a debt-to-equity ratio of 7.63x, which is above the Technology sector average of 0.5x. However, the current ratio of 1.12 suggests adequate short-term liquidity.

Why is STX's return on equity (ROE) so high?

Seagate Technology Holdings plc has a return on equity of 248.8%, significantly above the Technology sector average of 22%. A high ROE indicates the company is efficient at generating profits from shareholder equity. This is supported by a 20.9% net margin.

Top Rated Stocks
NSSC 92% MLI 92% MELI 92% MDXG 92% MANH 92% INVA 92% GGG 92% GCT 92% FTNT 92% FSLR 92%
Sector: All Technology Stocks →
Browse: Buy Stocks High ROE Stocks
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-01-02 | Powered by Claude AI