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Radian Group Inc. (RDN) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

RDN NYSE Surety Insurance DE CIK: 0000890926
Updated This Month • Analysis: Apr 8, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
📅 Next earnings: Apr 29, 2026 (in 13 days) • TBD ET • EPS est. $1.22 (vs $0.99 prior year) • All earnings →
Combined AI Rating
BUY
76% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
BUY
75% Conf
BUY
78% Conf

📊 RDN Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.2B
Net Margin: 48.7%
Free Cash Flow: $115.7M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.21x
EPS: $4.14
AI Rating: BUY with 75% confidence
Radian Group Inc. (RDN) receives a BUY rating with 76% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $1.2B, net profit margin of 48.7%, and return on equity (ROE) of 12.2%, Radian Group Inc. demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete RDN stock analysis for 2026.

Is Radian Group Inc. (RDN) a Good Investment?

Claude

Radian Group demonstrates fortress-like financial health with exceptional operating margins (66.1%), minimal leverage (0.21x debt/equity), and strong free cash flow generation, positioning it as a stable, profitable business. However, declining revenue (-0.8% YoY) and stagnant net income growth present headwinds that require monitoring, though EPS growth (+5.6%) reflects effective capital allocation through likely share buybacks.

ChatGPT

Radian shows exceptional profitability with very high operating and net margins, solid ROE, and conservative leverage with strong interest coverage, indicating healthy core underwriting and balance sheet strength. However, revenue is slightly declining and cash conversion is modest versus earnings, suggesting some reliance on non-cash items like reserve movements. If credit performance remains stable and underwriting discipline persists, fundamentals support durable earnings power.

Why Buy Radian Group Inc. Stock? RDN Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional operating margin of 66.1% demonstrates pricing power and operational efficiency in surety insurance
  • + Fortress balance sheet with low leverage (0.21x debt/equity) and strong interest coverage (11.6x) provides financial flexibility
  • + Consistent free cash flow generation ($115.7M) with 9.7% FCF margin despite top-line headwinds
ChatGPT
  • + Very high operating and net margins indicating strong underwriting discipline
  • + Low leverage (0.21x D/E) and robust interest coverage (11.6x)
  • + Stable net income with improving EPS, reflecting operational efficiency/capital discipline

RDN Stock Risks: Radian Group Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Revenue declining trend (-0.8% YoY) suggests market share loss or structural headwinds in surety insurance sector
  • ! Stagnant net income growth (0.0% YoY) indicates lack of organic growth momentum and operational leverage
  • ! Cyclical surety insurance business is sensitive to economic downturns and credit conditions
ChatGPT
  • ! Housing/credit cycle downturn driving higher delinquencies and loss severity
  • ! Earnings quality risk if results depend on reserve releases and non-cash items
  • ! Sluggish mortgage originations could pressure NIW and premium growth

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth trajectory and stabilization timing
  • * Underwriting profitability and combined ratios
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and capital allocation decisions
ChatGPT
  • * Net loss ratio and delinquency rate
  • * Reserve development (releases vs strengthening)

Radian Group Inc. (RDN) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$1.2B
Net Income
$582.6M
EPS (Diluted)
$4.14
Free Cash Flow
$115.7M
Total Assets
$8.1B
Cash Position
$24.8M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

RDN Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 66.1%
Net Margin 48.7%
ROE 12.2%
ROA 7.2%
FCF Margin 9.7%

RDN vs Finance Sector: How Radian Group Inc. Compares

How Radian Group Inc. compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
RDN 48.7%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
RDN Sector
ROE
RDN 12.2%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
RDN Sector
Current Ratio
RDN 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
RDN Sector
Debt/Equity
RDN 0.2x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
RDN Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Radian Group Inc. Stock Overvalued? RDN Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Radian Group Inc. appears fundamentally strong relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
12.2%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
48.7%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.21x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Radian Group Inc. Balance Sheet: RDN Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.21x
Debt/Assets
41.1%
Interest Coverage
11.59x
Long-term Debt
$1.0B

RDN Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

RDN 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $1.5B, Net Income $672.3M, EPS $3.20. Year 2022: Revenue $1.4B, Net Income $393.6M, EPS $2.00. Year 2023: Revenue $1.3B, Net Income $600.7M, EPS $3.16. Year 2024: Revenue $1.3B, Net Income $742.9M, EPS $4.35. Year 2025: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $603.1M, EPS $3.77.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Radian Group Inc.'s revenue has declined by 21% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $3.77 reflects profitable operations.

RDN Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
9.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

RDN Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Radian Group Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $303.2M $141.4M $0.99
Q2 2025 $318.0M $141.8M $0.98
Q1 2025 $318.1M $144.6M $0.98
Q3 2024 $312.5M $151.9M $0.98
Q2 2024 $289.6M $146.1M $0.91
Q1 2024 $309.9M $152.4M $0.98
Q3 2023 $296.2M $156.6M $0.98
Q2 2023 $286.8M $146.1M $0.91

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Radian Group Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$119.9M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$431.9M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$4.2M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$145.6M
Returned to shareholders

RDN SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Radian Group Inc. (CIK: 0000890926)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 13, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 DEF 14A rdn-20260401.htm View →
Mar 26, 2026 8-K d113548d8k.htm View →
Mar 23, 2026 8-K d122055d8k.htm View →
Mar 12, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about RDN

What is the AI rating for RDN?

Radian Group Inc. (RDN) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (BUY) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 76% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are RDN's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional operating margin of 66.1% demonstrates pricing power and operational efficiency in surety insurance. Fortress balance sheet with low leverage (0.21x debt/equity) and strong interest coverage (11.6x) provides financial flexibility. ChatGPT: Very high operating and net margins indicating strong underwriting discipline. Low leverage (0.21x D/E) and robust interest coverage (11.6x).

What are the risks of investing in RDN?

Claude: Revenue declining trend (-0.8% YoY) suggests market share loss or structural headwinds in surety insurance sector. Stagnant net income growth (0.0% YoY) indicates lack of organic growth momentum and operational leverage. ChatGPT: Housing/credit cycle downturn driving higher delinquencies and loss severity. Earnings quality risk if results depend on reserve releases and non-cash items.

What is RDN's revenue and growth?

Radian Group Inc. reported revenue of $1.2B.

Does RDN pay dividends?

Radian Group Inc. pays dividends, with $145.6M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find RDN SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Radian Group Inc. (CIK: 0000890926) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is RDN's EPS?

Radian Group Inc. has a diluted EPS of $4.14.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is RDN a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Radian Group Inc. has a BUY rating with 76% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is RDN stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for RDN: ROE of 12.2% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 48.7% (sector avg: 25%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy RDN stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Radian Group Inc. a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is RDN's free cash flow?

Radian Group Inc.'s operating cash flow is $119.9M, with capital expenditures of $4.2M. FCF margin is 9.7%.

How does RDN compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 48.7% (avg: 25%), ROE 12.2% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 8, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI