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NOV Inc. (NOV) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

NOV NYSE Oil & Gas Field Machinery & Equipment DE CIK: 0001021860
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
📅 Next earnings: Apr 27, 2026 (in 11 days) • After-hours ET • EPS est. $0.18 (vs $0.19 prior year) • All earnings →
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
70% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
62% Conf
HOLD
79% Conf

📊 NOV Key Takeaways

Revenue: $8.7B
Net Margin: 1.7%
Free Cash Flow: $876.0M
Current Ratio: 2.42x
Debt/Equity: 0.27x
EPS: $0.39
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence
NOV Inc. (NOV) receives a HOLD rating with 70% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $8.7B, net profit margin of 1.7%, and return on equity (ROE) of 2.3%, NOV Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Industrial sector. Below is our complete NOV stock analysis for 2026.

Is NOV Inc. (NOV) a Good Investment?

Claude

NOV demonstrates solid financial health with strong liquidity metrics and positive free cash flow generation, but faces headwinds from declining revenues and compressed profitability margins. The company's capital-light model and robust balance sheet provide stability, though deteriorating earnings trends and minimal ROE require cautious monitoring of operational efficiency recovery.

ChatGPT

NOV shows solid financial resilience with strong liquidity, modest leverage, and healthy free cash flow generation despite a softer revenue base. However, profitability remains thin, returns on capital are weak, and the sharp diluted EPS decline points to lower earnings quality than the cash flow profile alone suggests. The fundamentals support stability more than near-term operating strength.

Why Buy NOV Inc. Stock? NOV Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong liquidity position with 2.42x current ratio and 1.67x quick ratio
  • + Solid free cash flow generation of $876M despite revenue decline
  • + Conservative leverage with 0.27x debt-to-equity ratio
  • + Adequate interest coverage of 5.6x indicating debt service capability
  • + Significant insider activity with 26 Form 4 filings suggesting management confidence
ChatGPT
  • + Strong balance sheet with low debt-to-equity, ample cash, and solid current and quick ratios
  • + Robust free cash flow generation with $876M of FCF and a 10.0% FCF margin
  • + Positive operating income and reasonable interest coverage provide financial flexibility in a cyclical industry

NOV Stock Risks: NOV Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Revenue declining 1.4% YoY with net income down 4.0% YoY indicating accelerating profitability erosion
  • ! Extremely weak profitability metrics with net margin of only 1.7% and ROE of 2.3%
  • ! Sharp 75.6% YoY decline in diluted EPS signals significant earnings deterioration
  • ! Operating margin compression at 5.6% suggests cost management challenges
  • ! Capital-intensive business model limiting financial flexibility despite strong cash flow
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue and net income are declining year over year, indicating limited top-line momentum
  • ! Low net margin, ROE, and ROA suggest weak profitability and inefficient capital returns
  • ! Large diluted EPS decline versus modest net income decline raises concern about earnings quality or below-the-line pressures

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth trajectory and segment performance recovery
  • * Operating margin expansion and gross margin sustainability
  • * Free cash flow consistency and capital expenditure trends
  • * Return on equity improvement and asset utilization efficiency
  • * Debt reduction progress and balance sheet optimization
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin and net margin recovery
  • * Revenue growth and free cash flow consistency

NOV Inc. (NOV) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$8.7B
Net Income
$145.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.39
Free Cash Flow
$876.0M
Total Assets
$11.3B
Cash Position
$1.6B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 2.42x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

NOV Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 20.2%
Operating Margin 5.6%
Net Margin 1.7%
ROE 2.3%
ROA 1.3%
FCF Margin 10.0%

NOV vs Industrial Sector: How NOV Inc. Compares

How NOV Inc. compares to Industrial sector averages

Net Margin
NOV 1.7%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
NOV Sector
ROE
NOV 2.3%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
NOV Sector
Current Ratio
NOV 2.4x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
NOV Sector
Debt/Equity
NOV 0.3x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
NOV Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is NOV Inc. Stock Overvalued? NOV Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, NOV Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Industrial sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
2.3%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
1.7%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.27x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

NOV Inc. Balance Sheet: NOV Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.42x
Quick Ratio
1.67x
Debt/Equity
0.27x
Debt/Assets
44.0%
Interest Coverage
5.61x
Long-term Debt
$1.7B

NOV Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

NOV 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $8.5B, Net Income -$6.1B, EPS $-15.96. Year 2022: Revenue $7.2B, Net Income -$2.5B, EPS $-6.62. Year 2023: Revenue $8.6B, Net Income -$250.0M, EPS $-0.65. Year 2024: Revenue $8.9B, Net Income $155.0M, EPS $0.39. Year 2025: Revenue $8.9B, Net Income $993.0M, EPS $2.50.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: NOV Inc.'s revenue has shown modest growth of 5% over the 5-year period. The most recent EPS of $2.50 reflects profitable operations.

NOV Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
10.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

NOV Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for NOV Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $2.2B $42.0M $0.11
Q2 2025 $2.2B $108.0M $0.29
Q1 2025 $2.1B $73.0M $0.19
Q3 2024 $2.2B $114.0M $0.29
Q2 2024 $2.1B $155.0M $0.39
Q1 2024 $2.0B $119.0M $0.30
Q3 2023 $1.9B $32.0M $0.08
Q2 2023 $1.7B $19.0M $0.05

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

NOV Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$1.3B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$315.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$375.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$190.0M
Returned to shareholders

NOV SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for NOV Inc. (CIK: 0001021860)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 15, 2026 8-K nov-20260413.htm View →
Apr 9, 2026 DEF 14A d931779ddef14a.htm View →
Mar 24, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 24, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 24, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about NOV

What is the AI rating for NOV?

NOV Inc. (NOV) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 70% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are NOV's key strengths?

Claude: Strong liquidity position with 2.42x current ratio and 1.67x quick ratio. Solid free cash flow generation of $876M despite revenue decline. ChatGPT: Strong balance sheet with low debt-to-equity, ample cash, and solid current and quick ratios. Robust free cash flow generation with $876M of FCF and a 10.0% FCF margin.

What are the risks of investing in NOV?

Claude: Revenue declining 1.4% YoY with net income down 4.0% YoY indicating accelerating profitability erosion. Extremely weak profitability metrics with net margin of only 1.7% and ROE of 2.3%. ChatGPT: Revenue and net income are declining year over year, indicating limited top-line momentum. Low net margin, ROE, and ROA suggest weak profitability and inefficient capital returns.

What is NOV's revenue and growth?

NOV Inc. reported revenue of $8.7B.

Does NOV pay dividends?

NOV Inc. pays dividends, with $190.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find NOV SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for NOV Inc. (CIK: 0001021860) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is NOV's EPS?

NOV Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.39.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is NOV a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, NOV Inc. has a HOLD rating with 70% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is NOV stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for NOV: ROE of 2.3% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 1.7% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy NOV stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives NOV Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is NOV's free cash flow?

NOV Inc.'s operating cash flow is $1.3B, with capital expenditures of $375.0M. FCF margin is 10.0%.

How does NOV compare to other Industrial stocks?

Vs Industrial sector averages: Net margin 1.7% (avg: 10%), ROE 2.3% (avg: 15%), current ratio 2.42 (avg: 1.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI