← Back to All US Stocks

NIKE, Inc. (NKE) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

NKE NYSE Rubber & Plastics Footwear OR CIK: 0000320187
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-11-30
Combined AI Rating
SELL
77% Confidence
AGREEMENT
SELL
75% Conf
HOLD
79% Conf

📊 NKE Key Takeaways

Revenue: $24.1B
Net Margin: 6.3%
Free Cash Flow: $401.0M
Current Ratio: 2.06x
Debt/Equity: 0.50x
EPS: $1.03
AI Rating: SELL with 75% confidence
NIKE, Inc. (NKE) receives a SELL rating with 77% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $24.1B, net profit margin of 6.3%, and return on equity (ROE) of 10.8%, NIKE, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Materials sector. Below is our complete NKE stock analysis for 2026.

Is NIKE, Inc. (NKE) a Good Investment?

Claude

Nike faces significant operational headwinds with revenue declining 9.8% YoY and net income plummeting 43.5% YoY, indicating both top-line weakness and margin compression. While the company maintains a solid balance sheet with strong liquidity (2.06x current ratio) and modest leverage (0.50x debt/equity), deteriorating profitability metrics and weak free cash flow generation (1.7% FCF margin on declining revenues) suggest the company is struggling with fundamental business challenges rather than temporary cyclical pressures.

ChatGPT

NIKE's fundamentals show a clear deterioration in growth and earnings quality, with revenue down 9.8%, net income down 43.5%, and free cash flow compressed to just 1.7% of sales. However, the balance sheet remains sound, with strong liquidity, manageable leverage, and cash roughly matching long-term debt, which supports resilience while profitability is being rebuilt.

Why Buy NIKE, Inc. Stock? NKE Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong balance sheet with $7.0B cash position and manageable debt load
  • + Healthy liquidity ratios (current ratio 2.06x, quick ratio 1.83x) provide operational flexibility
  • + Gross margin of 41.4% remains respectable despite revenue pressures, indicating brand pricing power
ChatGPT
  • + Strong liquidity with a 2.06x current ratio and 1.83x quick ratio
  • + Manageable leverage with debt-to-equity of 0.50x and cash of $6.97B against $7.02B long-term debt
  • + Still-profitable business with 41.4% gross margin and positive free cash flow

NKE Stock Risks: NIKE, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Sharp revenue decline of 9.8% YoY signals demand weakness or market share losses
  • ! Net income collapsed 43.5% YoY with EPS down 42.1%, indicating severe margin deterioration beyond revenue decline
  • ! Weak free cash flow of $401M on $24.1B revenue (1.7% FCF margin) limits financial flexibility and dividend capacity
  • ! Operating margin compression to 8.0% reflects operational efficiency challenges
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue contraction of 9.8% YoY indicates weakening top-line momentum
  • ! Sharp earnings pressure, with net income down 43.5% and EPS down 42.1% YoY
  • ! Cash generation is weak relative to revenue, with only $801M operating cash flow and a 1.7% free cash flow margin

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue trend reversal and same-store sales growth
  • * Gross margin stabilization and operating leverage recovery
  • * Free cash flow expansion and cash conversion cycle improvement
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin recovery and net income trend
  • * Operating cash flow and free cash flow margin

NIKE, Inc. (NKE) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$24.1B
Net Income
$1.5B
EPS (Diluted)
$1.03
Free Cash Flow
$401.0M
Total Assets
$37.8B
Cash Position
$7.0B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 1.7% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. Strong liquidity with a 2.06x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

NKE Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 41.4%
Operating Margin 8.0%
Net Margin 6.3%
ROE 10.8%
ROA 4.0%
FCF Margin 1.7%

NKE vs Materials Sector: How NIKE, Inc. Compares

How NIKE, Inc. compares to Materials sector averages

Net Margin
NKE 6.3%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
NKE Sector
ROE
NKE 10.8%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
NKE Sector
Current Ratio
NKE 2.1x
vs
Sector Avg 1.6x
NKE Sector
Debt/Equity
NKE 0.5x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
NKE Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is NIKE, Inc. Stock Overvalued? NKE Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, NIKE, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Materials sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
10.8%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
6.3%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.50x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

NIKE, Inc. Balance Sheet: NKE Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.06x
Quick Ratio
1.83x
Debt/Equity
0.50x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$7.0B

NKE Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

NKE 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $44.5B, Net Income $4.0B, EPS $2.49. Year 2022: Revenue $46.7B, Net Income $2.5B, EPS $1.60. Year 2023: Revenue $51.2B, Net Income $5.7B, EPS $3.56. Year 2024: Revenue $51.4B, Net Income $6.0B, EPS $3.75. Year 2025: Revenue $51.4B, Net Income $5.1B, EPS $3.23.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: NIKE, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 15% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $3.23 reflects profitable operations.

NKE Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
1.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

NKE Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for NIKE, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2026 $11.3B $520.0M $0.35
Q2 2026 $12.4B $792.0M $0.53
Q1 2026 $11.6B $727.0M $0.49
Q3 2025 $11.3B $794.0M $0.54
Q2 2025 $12.4B $1.2B $0.78
Q1 2025 $11.6B $1.1B $0.70
Q3 2024 $12.4B $1.2B $0.77
Q2 2024 $13.3B $1.3B $0.85

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

NIKE, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$801.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$146.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$400.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$1.2B
Returned to shareholders

NKE SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for NIKE, Inc. (CIK: 0000320187)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 14, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 14, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 10, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 8, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 6, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about NKE

What is the AI rating for NKE?

NIKE, Inc. (NKE) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 77% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are NKE's key strengths?

Claude: Strong balance sheet with $7.0B cash position and manageable debt load. Healthy liquidity ratios (current ratio 2.06x, quick ratio 1.83x) provide operational flexibility. ChatGPT: Strong liquidity with a 2.06x current ratio and 1.83x quick ratio. Manageable leverage with debt-to-equity of 0.50x and cash of $6.97B against $7.02B long-term debt.

What are the risks of investing in NKE?

Claude: Sharp revenue decline of 9.8% YoY signals demand weakness or market share losses. Net income collapsed 43.5% YoY with EPS down 42.1%, indicating severe margin deterioration beyond revenue decline. ChatGPT: Revenue contraction of 9.8% YoY indicates weakening top-line momentum. Sharp earnings pressure, with net income down 43.5% and EPS down 42.1% YoY.

What is NKE's revenue and growth?

NIKE, Inc. reported revenue of $24.1B.

Does NKE pay dividends?

NIKE, Inc. pays dividends, with $1,189.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find NKE SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for NIKE, Inc. (CIK: 0000320187) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is NKE's EPS?

NIKE, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $1.03.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is NKE a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, NIKE, Inc. has a SELL rating with 77% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is NKE stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for NKE: ROE of 10.8% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of 6.3% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy NKE stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives NIKE, Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is NKE's free cash flow?

NIKE, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $801.0M, with capital expenditures of $400.0M. FCF margin is 1.7%.

How does NKE compare to other Materials stocks?

Vs Materials sector averages: Net margin 6.3% (avg: 10%), ROE 10.8% (avg: 14%), current ratio 2.06 (avg: 1.6).

Top Rated Stocks
NSSC 92% MLI 92% MELI 92% MDXG 92% MANH 92% INVA 92% GGG 92% GCT 92% FTNT 92% FSLR 92%
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-11-30 | Powered by Claude AI