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Altria Group, Inc.. (MO) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

MO NYSE Cigarettes VA CIK: 0000764180
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
77% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
72% Conf
HOLD
82% Conf

📊 MO Key Takeaways

Revenue: $23.3B
Net Margin: 29.8%
Free Cash Flow: $9.1B
Current Ratio: 0.65x
Debt/Equity: N/A
EPS: $4.12
AI Rating: HOLD with 72% confidence
Altria Group, Inc.. (MO) receives a HOLD rating with 77% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $23.3B, net profit margin of 29.8%, Altria Group, Inc.. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Market sector. Below is our complete MO stock analysis for 2026.

Is Altria Group, Inc.. (MO) a Good Investment?

Claude

Altria demonstrates fortress-like profitability with exceptional margins (42.5% operating, 29.8% net) and strong free cash flow generation ($9.1B), but faces structural headwinds from declining revenues (-3.1% YoY) and negative equity capitalization ($-3.5B). The company's ability to service debt and return capital to shareholders remains intact, though the deteriorating balance sheet and volume declines warrant cautious positioning.

ChatGPT

Altria’s fundamentals show an unusually high-profit, cash-generative business, with 62.5% gross margin, 42.5% operating margin, and $9.07B of free cash flow on $23.28B of revenue. However, revenue is declining, net income growth is essentially flat, and the balance sheet is stressed by negative equity, weak current liquidity, and heavy long-term debt, which limits flexibility. The result is a durable but low-growth cash engine with meaningful capital structure risk.

Why Buy Altria Group, Inc.. Stock? MO Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional operating margins (42.5%) and net margins (29.8%) reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency
  • + Robust free cash flow generation ($9.1B, 39% FCF margin) providing substantial capacity for debt service and shareholder returns
  • + Strong interest coverage ratio (8.6x) demonstrating comfortable debt servicing ability despite leverage
  • + Significant operating cash flow ($9.3B) with minimal capital requirements, indicating mature, low-growth business model
ChatGPT
  • + Exceptional profitability with 62.5% gross margin, 42.5% operating margin, and 29.8% net margin
  • + Very strong cash generation, with $9.29B operating cash flow and $9.07B free cash flow supported by low capex needs
  • + Interest coverage of 8.6x indicates debt is currently serviceable despite a large debt load

MO Stock Risks: Altria Group, Inc.. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Negative stockholders' equity (-$3.5B) from aggressive capital returns and debt-funded share buybacks, creating balance sheet vulnerability
  • ! Deteriorating liquidity position (0.65x current ratio, 0.53x quick ratio) raises short-term solvency concerns
  • ! Revenue contraction (-3.1% YoY) reflects ongoing secular decline in cigarette volumes with limited organic growth drivers
  • ! High leverage (25.7B long-term debt on 35.0B total assets) creates refinancing and covenant risks in adverse rate environments
  • ! Regulatory and legal headwinds from tobacco litigation and potential restrictions on product sales
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue declined 3.1% year over year, pointing to ongoing top-line pressure and limited growth quality
  • ! Negative stockholders’ equity and $25.71B of long-term debt reflect an aggressive balance sheet and reduced financial resilience
  • ! Weak liquidity with a 0.65x current ratio and 0.53x quick ratio leaves less cushion if operating conditions worsen

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue trajectory and volume trends - critical indicator of business durability
  • * Free cash flow sustainability amid declining revenues and potential margin compression
  • * Total debt levels and refinancing activities - monitor for balance sheet stress
  • * Operating cash flow conversion and capital allocation decisions
ChatGPT
  • * Revenue and shipment/mix trends to determine whether earnings remain supported by pricing rather than volume erosion
  • * Free cash flow coverage of debt obligations and any change in net debt, liquidity, or interest coverage

Altria Group, Inc.. (MO) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$23.3B
Net Income
$6.9B
EPS (Diluted)
$4.12
Free Cash Flow
$9.1B
Total Assets
$35.0B
Cash Position
$4.5B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 39.0% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

MO Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 62.5%
Operating Margin 42.5%
Net Margin 29.8%
ROE N/A
ROA 19.8%
FCF Margin 39.0%

MO vs Market Sector: How Altria Group, Inc.. Compares

How Altria Group, Inc.. compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
MO 29.8%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
MO Sector
ROE
MO 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
MO Sector
Current Ratio
MO 0.6x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
MO Sector
Debt/Equity
MO 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
MO Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Altria Group, Inc.. Stock Overvalued? MO Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Altria Group, Inc.. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
29.8%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Altria Group, Inc.. Balance Sheet: MO Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.65x
Quick Ratio
0.53x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
109.9%
Interest Coverage
8.62x
Long-term Debt
$25.7B

MO Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

MO 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $26.2B, Net Income -$1.3B, EPS $-0.70. Year 2022: Revenue $26.2B, Net Income $4.5B, EPS $2.40. Year 2023: Revenue $26.0B, Net Income $2.5B, EPS $1.34. Year 2024: Revenue $25.1B, Net Income $5.8B, EPS $3.19. Year 2025: Revenue $24.5B, Net Income $8.1B, EPS $4.57.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Altria Group, Inc..'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 6% decline. The most recent EPS of $4.57 reflects profitable operations.

MO Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
39.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MO Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Altria Group, Inc.. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $6.1B $2.3B $1.34
Q2 2025 $6.1B $2.4B $1.41
Q1 2025 $5.3B $1.1B $0.63
Q3 2024 $6.3B $2.2B $1.22
Q2 2024 $6.2B $2.1B $1.19
Q1 2024 $5.6B $1.8B $1.00
Q3 2023 $6.3B $224.0M $0.12
Q2 2023 $6.5B $891.0M $0.49

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Altria Group, Inc.. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$9.3B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$1.0B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$216.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$7.0B
Returned to shareholders

MO SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Altria Group, Inc.. (CIK: 0000764180)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 DEF 14A tmb-20260514xdef14a.htm View →
Mar 9, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773081518.xml View →
Mar 2, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772484465.xml View →
Mar 2, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772484457.xml View →
Mar 2, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772484451.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MO

What is the AI rating for MO?

Altria Group, Inc.. (MO) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 77% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MO's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional operating margins (42.5%) and net margins (29.8%) reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency. Robust free cash flow generation ($9.1B, 39% FCF margin) providing substantial capacity for debt service and shareholder returns. ChatGPT: Exceptional profitability with 62.5% gross margin, 42.5% operating margin, and 29.8% net margin. Very strong cash generation, with $9.29B operating cash flow and $9.07B free cash flow supported by low capex needs.

What are the risks of investing in MO?

Claude: Negative stockholders' equity (-$3.5B) from aggressive capital returns and debt-funded share buybacks, creating balance sheet vulnerability. Deteriorating liquidity position (0.65x current ratio, 0.53x quick ratio) raises short-term solvency concerns. ChatGPT: Revenue declined 3.1% year over year, pointing to ongoing top-line pressure and limited growth quality. Negative stockholders’ equity and $25.71B of long-term debt reflect an aggressive balance sheet and reduced financial resilience.

What is MO's revenue and growth?

Altria Group, Inc.. reported revenue of $23.3B.

Does MO pay dividends?

Altria Group, Inc.. pays dividends, with $6,960.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find MO SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Altria Group, Inc.. (CIK: 0000764180) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MO's EPS?

Altria Group, Inc.. has a diluted EPS of $4.12.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MO a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Altria Group, Inc.. has a HOLD rating with 77% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is MO stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MO: ROE of N/A (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 29.8% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy MO stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Altria Group, Inc.. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MO's free cash flow?

Altria Group, Inc..'s operating cash flow is $9.3B, with capital expenditures of $216.0M. FCF margin is 39.0%.

How does MO compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 29.8% (avg: 12%), ROE N/A (avg: 15%), current ratio 0.65 (avg: 1.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI