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Moelis & Co (MC) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

MC NYSE Investment Advice DE CIK: 0001596967
Updated This Month • Analysis: Apr 1, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
📅 Next earnings: Apr 29, 2026 (in 13 days) • After-hours ET • EPS est. $0.59 (vs $0.64 prior year) • All earnings →
Combined AI Rating
BUY
80% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
BUY
78% Conf
BUY
82% Conf

📊 MC Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.5B
Net Margin: 15.4%
Free Cash Flow: $540.0M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $0.75
AI Rating: BUY with 78% confidence
Moelis & Co (MC) receives a BUY rating with 80% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $1.5B, net profit margin of 15.4%, and return on equity (ROE) of 41.0%, Moelis & Co demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Market sector. Below is our complete MC stock analysis for 2026.

Is Moelis & Co (MC) a Good Investment?

Claude

Moelis & Co demonstrates strong fundamental performance with exceptional profitability metrics (15.4% net margin, 41% ROE) and robust revenue growth of 27% YoY, driven by its investment advisory business model. The company exhibits excellent financial health with zero leverage, substantial free cash flow generation ($540M FCF at 35.6% margin), and strong cash reserves relative to assets, providing operational flexibility.

ChatGPT

Moelis shows strong core fundamentals, with 27.0% revenue growth, an 18.1% operating margin, and very strong free cash flow generation equal to 35.6% of revenue. The balance sheet is clean with substantial cash and no meaningful leverage, though the decline in net income despite higher revenue suggests some earnings volatility that warrants monitoring.

Why Buy Moelis & Co Stock? MC Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 27% YoY indicating robust market demand for advisory services
  • + Exceptional profitability metrics with 18.1% operating margin and 15.4% net margin typical of high-quality advisory firms
  • + Outstanding return on equity of 41% and ROA of 13.4% demonstrating efficient capital deployment
  • + Zero debt-to-equity ratio providing financial stability and strategic flexibility with no leverage risk
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation of $540M with 35.6% FCF margin, enabling shareholder distributions and investments
  • + Strong cash position of $508.6M representing 30% of total assets, providing liquidity buffer
ChatGPT
  • + Strong revenue growth supported by solid operating profitability
  • + Excellent cash generation with free cash flow of $539.97M and a high FCF margin
  • + Healthy financial position with $508.60M in cash and effectively no debt

MC Stock Risks: Moelis & Co Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Significant net income decline of 10.2% YoY despite 27% revenue growth suggests rising costs or one-time charges pressuring profitability
  • ! Investment advisory industry is cyclical and highly dependent on M&A activity, IPO markets, and capital markets volatility
  • ! Concentrated business model as advisory services revenue stream is vulnerable to economic downturns and market disruptions
  • ! High insider trading activity (21 Form 4 filings in 90 days) may indicate opportunistic selling or confidence signals requiring monitoring
  • ! Asset-light business model means future growth highly dependent on talent retention and market conditions
ChatGPT
  • ! Net income fell 10.2% year over year despite strong revenue growth, indicating margin or expense pressure
  • ! Advisory-driven revenue can be cyclical and sensitive to capital markets and M&A activity
  • ! High ROE is partly influenced by a relatively small equity base, which can overstate underlying returns

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin trends and cost control to reconcile revenue growth with net income decline
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and capital allocation decisions between distributions and growth investments
  • * M&A transaction volume and advisory fee rates as leading indicators of revenue momentum
  • * Client concentration and advisory pipeline health as indicators of future revenue visibility
  • * Compensation ratios as percentage of revenue to monitor profitability sustainability
ChatGPT
  • * Operating and net margin progression
  • * Revenue growth and free cash flow conversion

Moelis & Co (MC) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$1.5B
Net Income
$233.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.75
Free Cash Flow
$540.0M
Total Assets
$1.7B
Cash Position
$508.6M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 35.6% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

MC Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 18.1%
Net Margin 15.4%
ROE 41.0%
ROA 13.4%
FCF Margin 35.6%

MC vs Market Sector: How Moelis & Co Compares

How Moelis & Co compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
MC 15.4%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
MC Sector
ROE
MC 41.0%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
MC Sector
Current Ratio
MC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
MC Sector
Debt/Equity
MC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
MC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Moelis & Co Stock Overvalued? MC Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Moelis & Co appears fundamentally strong relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
41.0%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
15.4%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Moelis & Co Balance Sheet: MC Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
60.9%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
N/A

MC Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

MC 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Moelis & Co's revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline.

MC Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
35.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

Moelis & Co Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$576.3M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$293.0K
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$36.3M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$104.2M
Returned to shareholders

MC SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Moelis & Co (CIK: 0001596967)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 30, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 30, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 30, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 30, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 30, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MC

What is the AI rating for MC?

Moelis & Co (MC) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (BUY) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 80% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MC's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 27% YoY indicating robust market demand for advisory services. Exceptional profitability metrics with 18.1% operating margin and 15.4% net margin typical of high-quality advisory firms. ChatGPT: Strong revenue growth supported by solid operating profitability. Excellent cash generation with free cash flow of $539.97M and a high FCF margin.

What are the risks of investing in MC?

Claude: Significant net income decline of 10.2% YoY despite 27% revenue growth suggests rising costs or one-time charges pressuring profitability. Investment advisory industry is cyclical and highly dependent on M&A activity, IPO markets, and capital markets volatility. ChatGPT: Net income fell 10.2% year over year despite strong revenue growth, indicating margin or expense pressure. Advisory-driven revenue can be cyclical and sensitive to capital markets and M&A activity.

What is MC's revenue and growth?

Moelis & Co reported revenue of $1.5B.

Does MC pay dividends?

Moelis & Co pays dividends, with $104.2M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find MC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Moelis & Co (CIK: 0001596967) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MC's EPS?

Moelis & Co has a diluted EPS of $0.75.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MC a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Moelis & Co has a BUY rating with 80% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is MC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MC: ROE of 41.0% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 15.4% (sector avg: 12%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy MC stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Moelis & Co a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MC's free cash flow?

Moelis & Co's operating cash flow is $576.3M, with capital expenditures of $36.3M. FCF margin is 35.6%.

How does MC compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 15.4% (avg: 12%), ROE 41.0% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Why is MC's return on equity (ROE) so high?

Moelis & Co has a return on equity of 41.0%, significantly above the Market sector average of 15%. A high ROE indicates the company is efficient at generating profits from shareholder equity. This is supported by a 15.4% net margin.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 1, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI