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Merchants Bancorp (MBINL) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

MBINL Nasdaq State Commercial Banks IN CIK: 0001629019
Updated This Month • Analysis: Apr 1, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
77% Confidence
AGREEMENT
SELL
78% Conf
HOLD
76% Conf

📊 MBINL Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.2B
Net Margin: 18.2%
Free Cash Flow: $-362.2M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 4.65x
EPS: $3.78
AI Rating: SELL with 78% confidence
Merchants Bancorp (MBINL) receives a SELL rating with 77% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $1.2B, net profit margin of 18.2%, and return on equity (ROE) of 9.6%, Merchants Bancorp demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete MBINL stock analysis for 2026.

Is Merchants Bancorp (MBINL) a Good Investment?

Claude

Despite impressive revenue growth of 132% YoY and solid net income gains of 26%, Merchants Bancorp exhibits deteriorating financial health characterized by severe negative free cash flow of -$362M and critically weak interest coverage of 1.4x. The high leverage ratio of 4.65x combined with operating cash flow turning negative suggests the growth is not translating into sustainable cash generation, raising concerns about the bank's ability to service its substantial debt burden.

ChatGPT

Merchants Bancorp shows strong top-line and net income growth, with solid operating and net margins for a bank and acceptable asset-level profitability. However, the quality of that growth is mixed because diluted EPS fell sharply, operating and free cash flow were deeply negative, and leverage remains elevated with weak interest coverage. The fundamentals support a neutral stance until earnings conversion, capital structure resilience, and per-share performance improve.

Why Buy Merchants Bancorp Stock? MBINL Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 132% YoY indicating significant business expansion
  • + Solid net profit margins of 18.2% and operating margins of 22.0% showing operational efficiency
  • + Net income increased 26.1% YoY demonstrating profitable operations on an accrual basis
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue grew 132.2% year over year, indicating strong business expansion or balance-sheet-driven growth
  • + Net income increased 26.1% year over year, with a healthy 18.2% net margin and 22.0% operating margin
  • + ROA of 1.1% and ROE of 9.6% indicate the bank is still generating reasonable profitability on its asset and equity base

MBINL Stock Risks: Merchants Bancorp Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Severe negative free cash flow of -$362M indicating cash burn despite reported profitability, suggesting potential earnings quality issues
  • ! Critically weak interest coverage ratio of 1.4x leaves minimal buffer for debt service obligations
  • ! High financial leverage of 4.65x debt-to-equity combined with negative operating cash flow signals elevated refinancing and solvency risk
  • ! Diluted EPS declined 40% YoY despite net income growth, indicating significant equity dilution
  • ! Operating cash flow turned negative at -$341M, revealing a disconnect between reported profits and actual cash generation
ChatGPT
  • ! Diluted EPS declined 40.0% year over year despite higher net income, suggesting dilution or weaker per-share earnings quality
  • ! Operating cash flow of negative $341.25M and free cash flow of negative $362.19M raise concerns about earnings conversion and funding quality
  • ! Debt-to-equity of 4.65x and interest coverage of 1.4x indicate meaningful leverage and limited cushion if funding costs stay elevated

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trend and return to positive territory
  • * Interest coverage ratio improvement above 2.0x minimum threshold
  • * Debt-to-equity ratio reduction toward more conservative leverage levels
  • * Quality of earnings analysis to understand drivers of cash flow deterioration
  • * Capital adequacy and regulatory compliance metrics for banking operations
ChatGPT
  • * Diluted EPS trend versus net income growth
  • * Operating cash flow and interest coverage

Merchants Bancorp (MBINL) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$1.2B
Net Income
$218.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$3.78
Free Cash Flow
$-362.2M
Total Assets
$19.4B
Cash Position
$212.2M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

MBINL Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 22.0%
Net Margin 18.2%
ROE 9.6%
ROA 1.1%
FCF Margin -30.2%

MBINL vs Finance Sector: How Merchants Bancorp Compares

How Merchants Bancorp compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
MBINL 18.2%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
MBINL Sector
ROE
MBINL 9.6%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
MBINL Sector
Current Ratio
MBINL 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
MBINL Sector
Debt/Equity
MBINL 4.6x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
MBINL Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Merchants Bancorp Stock Overvalued? MBINL Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Merchants Bancorp shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
9.6%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
18.2%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
4.65x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Merchants Bancorp Balance Sheet: MBINL Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
4.65x
Debt/Assets
88.3%
Interest Coverage
1.41x
Long-term Debt
$10.6B

MBINL Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

MBINL 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Merchants Bancorp's revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $5.64 reflects profitable operations.

MBINL Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-30.2%
Free cash flow / Revenue

Merchants Bancorp Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$341.2M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$3.9M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$20.9M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$59.4M
Returned to shareholders

MBINL SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Merchants Bancorp (CIK: 0001629019)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 10, 2026 DEF 14A tm261436d1_def14a.htm View →
Feb 27, 2026 4 xslF345X05/primarydocument.xml View →
Feb 27, 2026 10-K mbin-20251231x10k.htm View →
Feb 19, 2026 4 xslF345X05/primarydocument.xml View →
Feb 19, 2026 4 xslF345X05/primarydocument.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MBINL

What is the AI rating for MBINL?

Merchants Bancorp (MBINL) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 77% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MBINL's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 132% YoY indicating significant business expansion. Solid net profit margins of 18.2% and operating margins of 22.0% showing operational efficiency. ChatGPT: Revenue grew 132.2% year over year, indicating strong business expansion or balance-sheet-driven growth. Net income increased 26.1% year over year, with a healthy 18.2% net margin and 22.0% operating margin.

What are the risks of investing in MBINL?

Claude: Severe negative free cash flow of -$362M indicating cash burn despite reported profitability, suggesting potential earnings quality issues. Critically weak interest coverage ratio of 1.4x leaves minimal buffer for debt service obligations. ChatGPT: Diluted EPS declined 40.0% year over year despite higher net income, suggesting dilution or weaker per-share earnings quality. Operating cash flow of negative $341.25M and free cash flow of negative $362.19M raise concerns about earnings conversion and funding quality.

What is MBINL's revenue and growth?

Merchants Bancorp reported revenue of $1.2B.

Does MBINL pay dividends?

Merchants Bancorp pays dividends, with $59.4M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find MBINL SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Merchants Bancorp (CIK: 0001629019) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MBINL's EPS?

Merchants Bancorp has a diluted EPS of $3.78.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MBINL a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Merchants Bancorp has a SELL rating with 77% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is MBINL stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MBINL: ROE of 9.6% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 18.2% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy MBINL stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Merchants Bancorp a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MBINL's free cash flow?

Merchants Bancorp's operating cash flow is $-341.2M, with capital expenditures of $20.9M. FCF margin is -30.2%.

How does MBINL compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 18.2% (avg: 25%), ROE 9.6% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

Is Merchants Bancorp carrying too much debt?

MBINL has a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.65x, which is above the Finance sector average of 2x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 1, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI