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LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

LYB NYSE Industrial Organic Chemicals P7 CIK: 0001489393
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
88% Confidence
AGREEMENT
STRONG SELL
92% Conf
SELL
84% Conf

📊 LYB Key Takeaways

Revenue: $30.2B
Net Margin: -2.4%
Free Cash Flow: $384.0M
Current Ratio: 1.77x
Debt/Equity: 1.20x
EPS: $-2.34
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 92% confidence
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) receives a SELL rating with 88% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $30.2B, net profit margin of -2.4%, and return on equity (ROE) of -7.3%, LyondellBasell Industries N.V. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Materials sector. Below is our complete LYB stock analysis for 2026.

Is LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) a Good Investment?

Claude

LyondellBasell is experiencing severe profitability deterioration with negative operating margins (-1.4%) and substantial net losses (-$738M) despite flat revenue, indicating fundamental operational challenges in the chemical sector. The company's negative interest coverage ratio (-3.3x) and weak net margins (-2.4%) demonstrate inability to service debt from operations, creating acute financial distress. High leverage (1.20x D/E) combined with persistent losses threatens financial stability and shareholder value.

ChatGPT

LyondellBasell’s latest fundamentals show a sharp deterioration in earnings quality, with revenue flat but margins collapsing into operating and net losses. While liquidity remains adequate and operating cash flow is still positive, free cash flow is thin relative to revenue and leverage looks uncomfortable given negative interest coverage. The business appears financially stable in the near term, but current profitability and cash generation do not support a stronger fundamental view.

Why Buy LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Stock? LYB Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong liquidity position with $3.4B cash and 1.77x current ratio providing near-term operational flexibility
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $2.3B suggests underlying business can still generate cash despite accounting losses
  • + Diversified industrial chemicals business with global market presence provides revenue stability
ChatGPT
  • + Adequate near-term liquidity, with a 1.77x current ratio and $3.44B in cash
  • + Operating cash flow remained positive at $2.26B despite net losses
  • + Large asset base and equity of $10.08B provide some balance sheet support

LYB Stock Risks: LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Massive net losses ($738M) with negative ROE (-7.3%) and ROA (-2.2%) indicating severe profitability crisis and value destruction
  • ! Negative interest coverage (-3.3x) and $12.1B debt load creates refinancing and default risk if losses persist
  • ! Collapsing margins across all levels (gross 4.1%, operating -1.4%, net -2.4%) suggest structural cost issues or demand collapse in core markets
  • ! Free cash flow margin of only 1.3% leaves minimal buffer for debt service, capex, and dividends
ChatGPT
  • ! Profitability has weakened materially, with negative operating margin, net margin, ROE, and ROA
  • ! Interest coverage of -3.3x indicates debt servicing is pressured by weak earnings
  • ! Free cash flow is only $384M, leaving limited cushion after capital spending

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin recovery (currently -1.4%, must return to positive territory)
  • * Debt service capability and interest coverage ratio improvement (currently -3.3x)
  • * Gross margin stabilization and cost structure analysis (currently collapsed at 4.1%)
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin recovery and gross margin improvement
  • * Free cash flow generation relative to capex and debt burden

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$30.2B
Net Income
$-738.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$-2.34
Free Cash Flow
$384.0M
Total Assets
$34.0B
Cash Position
$3.4B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 1.3% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility.

LYB Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 4.1%
Operating Margin -1.4%
Net Margin -2.4%
ROE -7.3%
ROA -2.2%
FCF Margin 1.3%

LYB vs Materials Sector: How LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Compares

How LyondellBasell Industries N.V. compares to Materials sector averages

Net Margin
LYB -2.4%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
LYB Sector
ROE
LYB -7.3%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
LYB Sector
Current Ratio
LYB 1.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.6x
LYB Sector
Debt/Equity
LYB 1.2x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
LYB Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Stock Overvalued? LYB Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, LyondellBasell Industries N.V. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Materials sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-7.3%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
-2.4%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.20x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Balance Sheet: LYB Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.77x
Quick Ratio
1.20x
Debt/Equity
1.20x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
-3.31x
Long-term Debt
$12.1B

LYB Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

LYB 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $45.1B, Net Income $3.4B, EPS $9.58. Year 2022: Revenue $49.4B, Net Income $1.4B, EPS $4.24. Year 2023: Revenue $50.5B, Net Income $5.6B, EPS $16.75. Year 2024: Revenue $50.5B, Net Income $3.9B, EPS $11.81. Year 2025: Revenue $33.4B, Net Income $2.1B, EPS $6.46.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: LyondellBasell Industries N.V.'s revenue has declined by 26% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $6.46 reflects profitable operations.

LYB Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
1.3%
Free cash flow / Revenue

LYB Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for LyondellBasell Industries N.V. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $7.7B $573.0M $1.75
Q2 2025 $7.7B $115.0M $0.34
Q1 2025 $7.7B $177.0M $0.54
Q3 2024 $10.3B $573.0M $1.75
Q2 2024 $10.3B $715.0M $2.18
Q1 2024 $9.9B $473.0M $1.44
Q2 2023 $10.1B $715.0M $2.18
Q1 2023 $10.1B $474.0M $1.44

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$2.3B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$201.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$1.9B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$1.8B
Returned to shareholders

LYB SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (CIK: 0001489393)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 10, 2026 DEF 14A lyb014791-def14a.htm View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/primarydocument.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/primarydocument.xml View →
Mar 11, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/primarydocument.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about LYB

What is the AI rating for LYB?

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (STRONG SELL) and ChatGPT (SELL) with 88% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are LYB's key strengths?

Claude: Strong liquidity position with $3.4B cash and 1.77x current ratio providing near-term operational flexibility. Positive operating cash flow of $2.3B suggests underlying business can still generate cash despite accounting losses. ChatGPT: Adequate near-term liquidity, with a 1.77x current ratio and $3.44B in cash. Operating cash flow remained positive at $2.26B despite net losses.

What are the risks of investing in LYB?

Claude: Massive net losses ($738M) with negative ROE (-7.3%) and ROA (-2.2%) indicating severe profitability crisis and value destruction. Negative interest coverage (-3.3x) and $12.1B debt load creates refinancing and default risk if losses persist. ChatGPT: Profitability has weakened materially, with negative operating margin, net margin, ROE, and ROA. Interest coverage of -3.3x indicates debt servicing is pressured by weak earnings.

What is LYB's revenue and growth?

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. reported revenue of $30.2B.

Does LYB pay dividends?

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. pays dividends, with $1,764.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find LYB SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (CIK: 0001489393) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is LYB's EPS?

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. has a diluted EPS of $-2.34.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is LYB a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, LyondellBasell Industries N.V. has a SELL rating with 88% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is LYB stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for LYB: ROE of -7.3% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of -2.4% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy LYB stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives LyondellBasell Industries N.V. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is LYB's free cash flow?

LyondellBasell Industries N.V.'s operating cash flow is $2.3B, with capital expenditures of $1.9B. FCF margin is 1.3%.

How does LYB compare to other Materials stocks?

Vs Materials sector averages: Net margin -2.4% (avg: 10%), ROE -7.3% (avg: 14%), current ratio 1.77 (avg: 1.6).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI