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Louisiana-Pacific Corp. (LPX) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

LPX NYSE Lumber & Wood Products (No Furniture) DE CIK: 0000060519
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 12, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
72% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
72% Conf
HOLD
72% Conf

📊 LPX Key Takeaways

Revenue: $2.7B
Net Margin: 5.4%
Free Cash Flow: $91.0M
Current Ratio: 2.78x
Debt/Equity: 0.20x
EPS: $2.08
AI Rating: HOLD with 72% confidence
Louisiana-Pacific Corp. (LPX) receives a HOLD rating with 72% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $2.7B, net profit margin of 5.4%, and return on equity (ROE) of 8.4%, Louisiana-Pacific Corp. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Materials sector. Below is our complete LPX stock analysis for 2026.

Is Louisiana-Pacific Corp. (LPX) a Good Investment?

Claude

Louisiana-Pacific demonstrates a fortress balance sheet with minimal leverage and excellent liquidity (Debt/Equity 0.20x, Current Ratio 2.78x), but faces deteriorating fundamentals marked by 7.9% revenue decline and 64.7% EPS collapse. The company's cyclical lumber sector exposure combined with weak profitability metrics (ROE 8.4%, Net Margin 5.4%) limits upside potential despite financial stability providing downside protection.

ChatGPT

LPX maintains solid profitability and a very conservative balance sheet, with strong liquidity, low leverage, and ample interest coverage supporting resilience through cycles. However, revenue is contracting and free cash flow is thin due to elevated capex, indicating investment amid softer demand. Sustained margin discipline and better cash conversion are needed before a more constructive view.

Why Buy Louisiana-Pacific Corp. Stock? LPX Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Fortress balance sheet with ultra-low leverage (0.20x Debt/Equity ratio) and strong liquidity (2.78x Current Ratio)
  • + Exceptional interest coverage ratio of 12.3x ensures financial flexibility even under industry stress
  • + Solid operating cash flow generation of $382M despite revenue headwinds, demonstrating operational resilience
  • + Conservative capital allocation with manageable capex relative to cash generation
ChatGPT
  • + Strong liquidity (2.78x current, 1.53x quick) and low leverage (0.20x D/E)
  • + Healthy coverage and manageable debt (12.3x interest coverage; $292M cash vs. $348M debt)
  • + Resilient profitability (21.8% gross, 7.7% operating margins) despite revenue decline

LPX Stock Risks: Louisiana-Pacific Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Revenue contraction of 7.9% YoY signals significant market headwinds or competitive pressures in cyclical lumber sector
  • ! Severe EPS deterioration of 64.7% YoY despite flat net income indicates shareholder value destruction and earnings volatility
  • ! Weak profitability with ROE of 8.4% and ROA of 5.6% reflects below-average returns on deployed capital
  • ! Free cash flow margin declining to 3.4% and capex intensity of 10.8% of revenue limits cash available for shareholders
  • ! Cyclical industry exposure with no visible recovery catalysts in near term
ChatGPT
  • ! Top-line contraction (-7.9% YoY) indicating demand/price pressure
  • ! Thin free cash flow (3.4% margin) due to high capex
  • ! Earnings volatility signal (EPS -64.7% YoY vs. flat net income)

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Sequential revenue trends and gross margin recovery in lumber sector cyclical recovery
  • * Free cash flow generation quality and sustainability under current capex regime
  • * Operating margin expansion and return on equity trajectory toward double-digit levels
  • * Debt reduction pace and capital allocation strategy given fortress balance sheet
ChatGPT
  • * OSB and Siding ASPs and volumes
  • * Free cash flow margin and capex returns

Louisiana-Pacific Corp. (LPX) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$2.7B
Net Income
$146.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$2.08
Free Cash Flow
$91.0M
Total Assets
$2.6B
Cash Position
$292.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 3.4% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. Strong liquidity with a 2.78x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

LPX Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 21.8%
Operating Margin 7.7%
Net Margin 5.4%
ROE 8.4%
ROA 5.6%
FCF Margin 3.4%

LPX vs Materials Sector: How Louisiana-Pacific Corp. Compares

How Louisiana-Pacific Corp. compares to Materials sector averages

Net Margin
LPX 5.4%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
LPX Sector
ROE
LPX 8.4%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
LPX Sector
Current Ratio
LPX 2.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.6x
LPX Sector
Debt/Equity
LPX 0.2x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
LPX Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Louisiana-Pacific Corp. Stock Overvalued? LPX Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Louisiana-Pacific Corp. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Materials sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
8.4%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
5.4%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.20x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Louisiana-Pacific Corp. Balance Sheet: LPX Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.78x
Quick Ratio
1.53x
Debt/Equity
0.20x
Debt/Assets
34.1%
Interest Coverage
12.29x
Long-term Debt
$348.0M

LPX Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

LPX 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $4.6B, Net Income -$5.0M, EPS $-0.04. Year 2022: Revenue $3.9B, Net Income $499.0M, EPS $4.46. Year 2023: Revenue $3.9B, Net Income $1.4B, EPS $14.09. Year 2024: Revenue $3.9B, Net Income $1.1B, EPS $13.87. Year 2025: Revenue $2.9B, Net Income $178.0M, EPS $2.46.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Louisiana-Pacific Corp.'s revenue has declined by 35% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $2.46 reflects profitable operations.

LPX Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
3.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

LPX Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Louisiana-Pacific Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $663.0M $9.0M $0.13
Q2 2025 $755.0M $54.0M $0.77
Q1 2025 $724.0M $91.0M $1.30
Q3 2024 $722.0M -$20.0M $1.28
Q2 2024 $611.0M $1.0M $0.02
Q1 2024 $584.0M $21.0M $0.29
Q3 2023 $728.0M -$20.0M $1.63
Q2 2023 $611.0M $1.0M $0.02

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Louisiana-Pacific Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$382.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$61.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$291.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$78.0M
Returned to shareholders

LPX SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Louisiana-Pacific Corp. (CIK: 0000060519)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 8, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 20, 2026 DEF 14A tm261361-2_def14a.htm View →
Mar 11, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Feb 23, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Feb 18, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about LPX

What is the AI rating for LPX?

Louisiana-Pacific Corp. (LPX) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 72% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are LPX's key strengths?

Claude: Fortress balance sheet with ultra-low leverage (0.20x Debt/Equity ratio) and strong liquidity (2.78x Current Ratio). Exceptional interest coverage ratio of 12.3x ensures financial flexibility even under industry stress. ChatGPT: Strong liquidity (2.78x current, 1.53x quick) and low leverage (0.20x D/E). Healthy coverage and manageable debt (12.3x interest coverage; $292M cash vs. $348M debt).

What are the risks of investing in LPX?

Claude: Revenue contraction of 7.9% YoY signals significant market headwinds or competitive pressures in cyclical lumber sector. Severe EPS deterioration of 64.7% YoY despite flat net income indicates shareholder value destruction and earnings volatility. ChatGPT: Top-line contraction (-7.9% YoY) indicating demand/price pressure. Thin free cash flow (3.4% margin) due to high capex.

What is LPX's revenue and growth?

Louisiana-Pacific Corp. reported revenue of $2.7B.

Does LPX pay dividends?

Louisiana-Pacific Corp. pays dividends, with $78.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find LPX SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Louisiana-Pacific Corp. (CIK: 0000060519) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is LPX's EPS?

Louisiana-Pacific Corp. has a diluted EPS of $2.08.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is LPX a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Louisiana-Pacific Corp. has a HOLD rating with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is LPX stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for LPX: ROE of 8.4% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of 5.4% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy LPX stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Louisiana-Pacific Corp. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is LPX's free cash flow?

Louisiana-Pacific Corp.'s operating cash flow is $382.0M, with capital expenditures of $291.0M. FCF margin is 3.4%.

How does LPX compare to other Materials stocks?

Vs Materials sector averages: Net margin 5.4% (avg: 10%), ROE 8.4% (avg: 14%), current ratio 2.78 (avg: 1.6).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 12, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI