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Hershey Co (HSY) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

HSY NYSE Sugar & Confectionery Products DE CIK: 0000047111
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
76% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
68% Conf
HOLD
83% Conf

📊 HSY Key Takeaways

Revenue: $11.7B
Net Margin: 7.6%
Free Cash Flow: $1.8B
Current Ratio: 1.19x
Debt/Equity: 1.01x
EPS: $0.64
AI Rating: HOLD with 68% confidence
Hershey Co (HSY) receives a HOLD rating with 76% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $11.7B, net profit margin of 7.6%, and return on equity (ROE) of 19.0%, Hershey Co demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Market sector. Below is our complete HSY stock analysis for 2026.

Is Hershey Co (HSY) a Good Investment?

Claude

Hershey demonstrates solid operational fundamentals with strong revenue growth (+4.4% YoY) and robust cash generation (FCF of $1.8B), but the significant net income decline (-60.2% YoY) raises concerns about margin compression and profitability sustainability despite steady operating performance. The company maintains healthy interest coverage (6.4x) and acceptable leverage (1.01x D/E), though elevated debt levels relative to equity warrant monitoring.

ChatGPT

Hershey shows solid underlying business quality through strong gross profitability, healthy free cash flow generation, and manageable liquidity for a branded consumer staples company. However, the sharp 60.2% drop in net income despite 4.4% revenue growth points to clear earnings pressure and weaker profit conversion, which tempers the otherwise stable cash-generating profile.

Why Buy Hershey Co Stock? HSY Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong operating cash flow generation ($2.3B) with healthy FCF margin (15.6%) demonstrates efficient cash conversion
  • + Solid gross margin (33.5%) and operating margin (12.3%) indicate pricing power and operational efficiency in core business
  • + Acceptable leverage position (1.01x Debt/Equity) with adequate interest coverage (6.4x) reduces financial distress risk
  • + Consistent revenue growth (+4.4% YoY) demonstrates market demand retention in competitive confectionery sector
ChatGPT
  • + Strong free cash flow generation with $1.82B in free cash flow and a 15.6% FCF margin
  • + Healthy gross margin of 33.5% and positive revenue growth indicate resilient brand strength and pricing power
  • + Financial structure remains serviceable with 6.4x interest coverage and a current ratio of 1.19x

HSY Stock Risks: Hershey Co Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Sharp net income decline (-60.2% YoY) despite revenue growth signals significant margin compression or one-time charges requiring investigation
  • ! Relatively weak current ratio (1.19x) and quick ratio (0.72x) indicate potential near-term liquidity constraints
  • ! High long-term debt ($4.7B) represents 102% of equity, limiting financial flexibility and increasing refinancing risk
  • ! Net margin compression to 7.6% from implied higher prior year reflects deteriorating bottom-line profitability
ChatGPT
  • ! Net income fell 60.2% year over year, signaling significant earnings volatility or non-operating pressure
  • ! Operating margin of 12.3% is meaningfully below gross margin, suggesting cost inflation or elevated overhead pressure
  • ! Leverage is moderate with debt/equity at 1.01x and $4.68B of long-term debt, limiting balance sheet flexibility if profits stay weak

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net income recovery trajectory and root cause analysis of 60% YoY decline
  • * Operating margin sustainability and cost structure management
  • * Free cash flow stability and debt paydown capacity relative to $4.7B long-term debt obligation
ChatGPT
  • * Net income recovery and operating margin trend
  • * Free cash flow consistency relative to debt levels

Hershey Co (HSY) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$11.7B
Net Income
$883.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.64
Free Cash Flow
$1.8B
Total Assets
$13.7B
Cash Position
$925.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Hershey Co presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

HSY Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 33.5%
Operating Margin 12.3%
Net Margin 7.6%
ROE 19.0%
ROA 6.4%
FCF Margin 15.6%

HSY vs Market Sector: How Hershey Co Compares

How Hershey Co compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
HSY 7.6%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
HSY Sector
ROE
HSY 19.0%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
HSY Sector
Current Ratio
HSY 1.2x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
HSY Sector
Debt/Equity
HSY 1.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
HSY Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Hershey Co Stock Overvalued? HSY Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Hershey Co has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
19.0%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
7.6%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.01x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Hershey Co Balance Sheet: HSY Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.19x
Quick Ratio
0.72x
Debt/Equity
1.01x
Debt/Assets
66.3%
Interest Coverage
6.41x
Long-term Debt
$4.7B

HSY Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

HSY 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $9.0B, Net Income $1.1B, EPS N/A. Year 2022: Revenue $10.4B, Net Income $1.3B, EPS N/A. Year 2023: Revenue $11.2B, Net Income $1.5B, EPS N/A. Year 2024: Revenue $11.2B, Net Income $1.6B, EPS N/A. Year 2025: Revenue $11.7B, Net Income $1.9B, EPS N/A.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Hershey Co's revenue has grown significantly by 30% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion.

HSY Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
15.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

HSY Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Hershey Co including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $3.0B $276.3M N/A
Q2 2025 $2.1B $62.7M N/A
Q1 2025 $2.8B $224.2M N/A
Q3 2024 $3.0B $446.3M N/A
Q2 2024 $2.1B $180.9M N/A
Q1 2024 $3.0B $587.2M N/A
Q3 2023 $2.7B $399.5M N/A
Q2 2023 $2.4B $315.6M N/A

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Hershey Co Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$2.3B
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$454.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$1.1B
Returned to shareholders

HSY SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Hershey Co (CIK: 0000047111)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 16, 2026 4 xslF345X06/es260765689_4-hsy.xml View →
Apr 14, 2026 8-K hsy-20260414.htm View →
Apr 13, 2026 4 xslF345X06/es260764341_4-hsy.xml View →
Apr 8, 2026 4 xslF345X06/es260762010_4-hsy.xml View →
Apr 6, 2026 4 xslF345X06/es260760947_4-hsy.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about HSY

What is the AI rating for HSY?

Hershey Co (HSY) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 76% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are HSY's key strengths?

Claude: Strong operating cash flow generation ($2.3B) with healthy FCF margin (15.6%) demonstrates efficient cash conversion. Solid gross margin (33.5%) and operating margin (12.3%) indicate pricing power and operational efficiency in core business. ChatGPT: Strong free cash flow generation with $1.82B in free cash flow and a 15.6% FCF margin. Healthy gross margin of 33.5% and positive revenue growth indicate resilient brand strength and pricing power.

What are the risks of investing in HSY?

Claude: Sharp net income decline (-60.2% YoY) despite revenue growth signals significant margin compression or one-time charges requiring investigation. Relatively weak current ratio (1.19x) and quick ratio (0.72x) indicate potential near-term liquidity constraints. ChatGPT: Net income fell 60.2% year over year, signaling significant earnings volatility or non-operating pressure. Operating margin of 12.3% is meaningfully below gross margin, suggesting cost inflation or elevated overhead pressure.

What is HSY's revenue and growth?

Hershey Co reported revenue of $11.7B.

Does HSY pay dividends?

Hershey Co pays dividends, with $1,085.3M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find HSY SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Hershey Co (CIK: 0000047111) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is HSY's EPS?

Hershey Co has a diluted EPS of $0.64.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is HSY a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Hershey Co has a HOLD rating with 76% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is HSY stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for HSY: ROE of 19.0% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 7.6% (sector avg: 12%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy HSY stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Hershey Co a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is HSY's free cash flow?

Hershey Co's operating cash flow is $2.3B, with capital expenditures of $454.6M. FCF margin is 15.6%.

How does HSY compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 7.6% (avg: 12%), ROE 19.0% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.19 (avg: 1.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI