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Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. (GTE) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

GTE NYSE Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas DE CIK: 0001273441
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 10, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
80% Confidence
AGREEMENT
STRONG SELL
87% Conf
SELL
72% Conf

📊 GTE Key Takeaways

Revenue: $596.7M
Net Margin: -32.4%
Free Cash Flow: $313.2M
Current Ratio: 0.60x
Debt/Equity: 3.00x
EPS: $-5.45
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 87% confidence
Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. (GTE) receives a SELL rating with 80% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $596.7M, net profit margin of -32.4%, and return on equity (ROE) of -84.4%, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Energy sector. Below is our complete GTE stock analysis for 2026.

Is Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. (GTE) a Good Investment?

Claude

Gran Tierra Energy faces severe financial distress with persistent operating losses of -$232.9M (-39% margin), critical liquidity deficiency (0.60x current ratio), and unsustainable leverage (3.0x debt-to-equity) that cannot be serviced from operations (negative -2.3x interest coverage). While positive FCF of $313.2M provides temporary relief, it masks fundamental operational deterioration, declining revenue (-4% YoY), and an imminent refinancing or restructuring event.

ChatGPT

Fundamentals show a sharp swing to losses with deeply negative margins and ROE, coupled with weak liquidity and high leverage that the business currently cannot service from EBIT (negative interest coverage). While operating cash flow is strong and revenue decline is modest, balance sheet stress and profitability headwinds dominate until margins and coverage improve and leverage is reduced.

Why Buy Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. Stock? GTE Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Operating cash flow of $313.2M with strong 52.5% FCF margin demonstrates underlying asset cash generation despite accounting losses
  • + Maintains $82.9M cash position providing near-term liquidity buffer
  • + Exposure to commodity-dependent upstream energy sector provides volatility upside potential in recovery scenarios
ChatGPT
  • + Robust operating cash flow and high FCF margin
  • + Modest revenue decline (-4% YoY) supports baseline cash generation
  • + Large asset base (~$1.59B) that could support deleveraging actions

GTE Stock Risks: Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critical liquidity crisis with 0.60x current ratio and 0.44x quick ratio - company cannot cover current liabilities and faces immediate solvency risk
  • ! Operational losses of -$232.9M with -39% operating margin indicate structural profitability failure independent of revenue volume
  • ! Unsustainable 3.0x debt-to-equity with -2.3x interest coverage creates imminent default or restructuring risk - cannot service $686.5M debt from operations
  • ! Revenue declining 4% YoY signals market share loss or deteriorating operational performance
  • ! Negative ROE of -84.4% demonstrates active value destruction for equity holders
ChatGPT
  • ! Liquidity stress with sub-1.0x current and quick ratios
  • ! High leverage (3.0x D/E) and negative interest coverage
  • ! Sustained operating and net losses with materially negative margins

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Current ratio and working capital position - watch for covenant violations or forced asset sales
  • * Quarterly operating income trend - must achieve positive operating margins to prove business viability
  • * Debt refinancing outcomes and interest coverage ratio improvement - existential for solvency
  • * Revenue stabilization and EBITDA conversion - test if FCF masks true operational distress
ChatGPT
  • * Interest coverage (turning positive and >2x)
  • * Current ratio (progress toward ≥1.0x)

Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. (GTE) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$596.7M
Net Income
$-193.1M
EPS (Diluted)
$-5.45
Free Cash Flow
$313.2M
Total Assets
$1.6B
Cash Position
$82.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 52.5% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

GTE Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -39.0%
Net Margin -32.4%
ROE -84.4%
ROA -12.2%
FCF Margin 52.5%

GTE vs Energy Sector: How Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. Compares

How Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. compares to Energy sector averages

Net Margin
GTE -32.4%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
GTE Sector
ROE
GTE -84.4%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
GTE Sector
Current Ratio
GTE 0.6x
vs
Sector Avg 1.3x
GTE Sector
Debt/Equity
GTE 3.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
GTE Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. Stock Overvalued? GTE Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Energy sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-84.4%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
-32.4%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
3.00x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. Balance Sheet: GTE Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.60x
Quick Ratio
0.44x
Debt/Equity
3.00x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
-2.30x
Long-term Debt
$686.5M

GTE Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

GTE 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $571.0M, Net Income $38.7M, EPS $0.10. Year 2022: Revenue $711.4M, Net Income -$778.0M, EPS $-2.12. Year 2023: Revenue $711.4M, Net Income $42.5M, EPS $1.15. Year 2024: Revenue $711.4M, Net Income $139.0M, EPS $3.76. Year 2025: Revenue $637.0M, Net Income -$6.3M, EPS $-0.19.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Gran Tierra Energy Inc..'s revenue has grown significantly by 12% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-0.19 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

GTE Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
52.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

GTE Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $149.3M $1.1M $0.04
Q2 2025 $152.5M -$12.7M $-0.36
Q1 2025 $157.6M -$78.0K $0.00
Q3 2024 $151.4M $1.1M $0.04
Q2 2024 $157.9M -$10.8M $-0.33
Q1 2024 $144.2M -$78.0K $0.00
Q3 2023 $168.4M $6.5M $0.20
Q2 2023 $157.9M -$10.8M $-0.33

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$313.2M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$3.5M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Dividends
None
No dividend program

GTE SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. (CIK: 0001273441)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 9, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2611552-5_4seq1.xml View →
Apr 9, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2611552-4_4seq1.xml View →
Apr 9, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2611552-3_4seq1.xml View →
Apr 9, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2611552-2_4seq1.xml View →
Apr 9, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2611552-1_4seq1.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about GTE

What is the AI rating for GTE?

Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. (GTE) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (STRONG SELL) and ChatGPT (SELL) with 80% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are GTE's key strengths?

Claude: Operating cash flow of $313.2M with strong 52.5% FCF margin demonstrates underlying asset cash generation despite accounting losses. Maintains $82.9M cash position providing near-term liquidity buffer. ChatGPT: Robust operating cash flow and high FCF margin. Modest revenue decline (-4% YoY) supports baseline cash generation.

What are the risks of investing in GTE?

Claude: Critical liquidity crisis with 0.60x current ratio and 0.44x quick ratio - company cannot cover current liabilities and faces immediate solvency risk. Operational losses of -$232.9M with -39% operating margin indicate structural profitability failure independent of revenue volume. ChatGPT: Liquidity stress with sub-1.0x current and quick ratios. High leverage (3.0x D/E) and negative interest coverage.

What is GTE's revenue and growth?

Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. reported revenue of $596.7M.

Does GTE pay dividends?

Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find GTE SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. (CIK: 0001273441) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is GTE's EPS?

Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. has a diluted EPS of $-5.45.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is GTE a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. has a SELL rating with 80% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is GTE stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for GTE: ROE of -84.4% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of -32.4% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy GTE stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is GTE's free cash flow?

Gran Tierra Energy Inc..'s operating cash flow is $313.2M, with capital expenditures of N/A. FCF margin is 52.5%.

How does GTE compare to other Energy stocks?

Vs Energy sector averages: Net margin -32.4% (avg: 12%), ROE -84.4% (avg: 14%), current ratio 0.60 (avg: 1.3).

Is Gran Tierra Energy Inc.. carrying too much debt?

GTE has a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.00x, which is above the Energy sector average of 0.6x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 10, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI