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Gevo, Inc. (GEVO) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

GEVO Nasdaq Industrial Organic Chemicals DE CIK: 0001392380
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 25, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
88% Confidence
AGREEMENT
STRONG SELL
92% Conf
SELL
85% Conf

📊 GEVO Key Takeaways

Revenue: $160.6M
Net Margin: -21.1%
Free Cash Flow: $-43.5M
Current Ratio: 1.82x
Debt/Equity: 0.35x
EPS: $-0.14
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 92% confidence
Gevo, Inc. (GEVO) receives a SELL rating with 88% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $160.6M, net profit margin of -21.1%, and return on equity (ROE) of -7.3%, Gevo, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Materials sector. Below is our complete GEVO stock analysis for 2026.

Is Gevo, Inc. (GEVO) a Good Investment?

Claude

Gevo exhibits severe operational dysfunction with persistent negative profitability despite $160.6M in revenue, indicating fundamental business model challenges in its specialty chemicals operations. The company is burning cash at an unsustainable rate (-$43.5M free cash flow) while simultaneously deploying significant capital expenditures, raising serious concerns about path to profitability and capital efficiency.

ChatGPT

Gevo’s fundamentals remain weak: revenue is flat, gross profit is negative, and both operating and free cash flow are meaningfully negative, which points to poor growth quality and an unprofitable core business. The balance sheet is not yet distressed, with a solid current ratio and moderate debt relative to equity, but persistent losses and negative interest coverage materially weaken the outlook unless margins and cash generation improve.

Why Buy Gevo, Inc. Stock? GEVO Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Adequate liquidity position with $81.2M cash and 1.82x current ratio providing near-term runway
  • + Conservative debt structure with 0.35x debt-to-equity ratio limiting financial distress risk
  • + Moderate absolute revenue base at $160.6M providing some revenue scale despite profitability challenges
ChatGPT
  • + Liquidity is still adequate, with a 1.82x current ratio and 1.58x quick ratio
  • + Leverage is moderate on paper, with debt-to-equity at 0.35x
  • + Net loss and diluted EPS show some year-over-year improvement despite ongoing losses

GEVO Stock Risks: Gevo, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Severe cash burn of -$43.5M annually with negative operating cash flow unsustainable without external financing
  • ! Persistent negative gross margin (-6.5%) indicates fundamental product pricing or cost structure problems at core operations
  • ! Massive negative interest coverage (-37.3x) from operating losses creates vulnerability to rising rates and refinancing risk on $164.8M long-term debt
ChatGPT
  • ! Negative gross margin suggests the core business is not currently generating profitable unit economics
  • ! Free cash flow is deeply negative due to weak operating cash flow and ongoing capital spending
  • ! Negative interest coverage indicates earnings do not support debt service from operations

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Path to positive gross margin and timeline for operating profitability
  • * Monthly/quarterly cash burn rate and remaining months of runway at current burn
  • * Capital expenditure completion and expected revenue contribution from new capacity investments
ChatGPT
  • * Gross margin and operating margin progression
  • * Operating cash flow and free cash flow trend

Gevo, Inc. (GEVO) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$160.6M
Net Income
$-33.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.14
Free Cash Flow
$-43.5M
Total Assets
$718.9M
Cash Position
$81.2M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Gevo, Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

GEVO Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin -6.5%
Operating Margin -12.6%
Net Margin -21.1%
ROE -7.3%
ROA -4.7%
FCF Margin -27.1%

GEVO vs Materials Sector: How Gevo, Inc. Compares

How Gevo, Inc. compares to Materials sector averages

Net Margin
GEVO -21.1%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
GEVO Sector
ROE
GEVO -7.3%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
GEVO Sector
Current Ratio
GEVO 1.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.6x
GEVO Sector
Debt/Equity
GEVO 0.4x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
GEVO Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Gevo, Inc. Stock Overvalued? GEVO Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Gevo, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Materials sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-7.3%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
-21.1%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.35x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Gevo, Inc. Balance Sheet: GEVO Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.82x
Quick Ratio
1.58x
Debt/Equity
0.35x
Debt/Assets
34.5%
Interest Coverage
-37.29x
Long-term Debt
$164.8M

GEVO Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

GEVO 5-year financial data: Year 2022: Revenue $1.2M, Net Income -$59.2M, EPS $-0.30. Year 2023: Revenue $17.2M, Net Income -$98.0M, EPS $-0.44. Year 2024: Revenue $17.2M, Net Income -$66.2M, EPS $-0.28. Year 2025: Revenue $160.6M, Net Income -$78.6M, EPS $-0.34.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Gevo, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 13,566% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-0.34 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

GEVO Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-27.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

GEVO Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Gevo, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $2.0M -$8.0M $-0.03
Q2 2025 $5.3M $2.1M $0.01
Q1 2025 $4.0M -$18.9M $-0.08
Q3 2024 $2.0M -$15.7M $-0.07
Q2 2024 $4.2M -$14.4M $-0.06
Q1 2024 $4.0M -$17.6M $-0.07
Q3 2023 $309.0K -$15.7M $-0.07
Q2 2023 $89.0K -$13.2M $-0.06

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Gevo, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$13.4M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$4.7M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$30.1M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

GEVO SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Gevo, Inc. (CIK: 0001392380)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 15, 2026 8-K tm2611665d1_8k.htm View →
Apr 9, 2026 DEF 14A tm261548-2_def14a.htm View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04022026_050402.xml View →
Apr 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04012026_050401.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 8-K tm268799d1_8k.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about GEVO

What is the AI rating for GEVO?

Gevo, Inc. (GEVO) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (STRONG SELL) and ChatGPT (SELL) with 88% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are GEVO's key strengths?

Claude: Adequate liquidity position with $81.2M cash and 1.82x current ratio providing near-term runway. Conservative debt structure with 0.35x debt-to-equity ratio limiting financial distress risk. ChatGPT: Liquidity is still adequate, with a 1.82x current ratio and 1.58x quick ratio. Leverage is moderate on paper, with debt-to-equity at 0.35x.

What are the risks of investing in GEVO?

Claude: Severe cash burn of -$43.5M annually with negative operating cash flow unsustainable without external financing. Persistent negative gross margin (-6.5%) indicates fundamental product pricing or cost structure problems at core operations. ChatGPT: Negative gross margin suggests the core business is not currently generating profitable unit economics. Free cash flow is deeply negative due to weak operating cash flow and ongoing capital spending.

What is GEVO's revenue and growth?

Gevo, Inc. reported revenue of $160.6M.

Does GEVO pay dividends?

Gevo, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find GEVO SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Gevo, Inc. (CIK: 0001392380) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is GEVO's EPS?

Gevo, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.14.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is GEVO a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Gevo, Inc. has a SELL rating with 88% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is GEVO stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for GEVO: ROE of -7.3% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of -21.1% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy GEVO stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Gevo, Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is GEVO's free cash flow?

Gevo, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $-13.4M, with capital expenditures of $30.1M. FCF margin is -27.1%.

How does GEVO compare to other Materials stocks?

Vs Materials sector averages: Net margin -21.1% (avg: 10%), ROE -7.3% (avg: 14%), current ratio 1.82 (avg: 1.6).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 25, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI