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GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

GCMG Nasdaq Investment Advice DE CIK: 0001819796
Updated This Month • Analysis: Mar 25, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
BUY
82% Confidence
NEUTRAL
STRONG BUY
82% Conf
HOLD
81% Conf

📊 GCMG Key Takeaways

Revenue: $557.6M
Net Margin: 8.1%
Free Cash Flow: $175.0M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 15.87x
EPS: $0.42
AI Rating: STRONG BUY with 82% confidence
GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) receives a BUY rating with 82% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $557.6M, net profit margin of 8.1%, and return on equity (ROE) of 168.1%, GCM Grosvenor Inc. demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Market sector. Below is our complete GCMG stock analysis for 2026.

Is GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) a Good Investment?

Claude

GCM Grosvenor demonstrates exceptional financial health with robust profitability (8.1% net margin, 23.9% operating margin) and exceptional cash generation (31.4% FCF margin, $175M annual FCF). The company's strong operating leverage, coupled with improving EPS growth (+1300% YoY) and solid revenue growth (+8.5% YoY), indicates operational efficiency gains and shareholder value creation despite elevated leverage metrics.

ChatGPT

GCM Grosvenor shows solid core fundamentals through healthy revenue growth, strong operating margins, and excellent cash generation, with free cash flow materially outpacing net income. However, the balance sheet is a clear constraint: very high leverage and an extremely thin equity base make the reported ROE less meaningful and elevate financial risk despite strong interest coverage.

Why Buy GCM Grosvenor Inc. Stock? GCMG Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation at $175M (31.4% FCF margin) demonstrating strong cash conversion and business sustainability
  • + Outstanding operating margin of 23.9% with net margin of 8.1% showing pricing power and operational efficiency in the investment advisory sector
  • + Strong interest coverage ratio of 22.5x indicating comfortable debt service capability despite elevated debt levels
  • + Significant cash position of $242.1M providing liquidity buffer and strategic flexibility
  • + Robust revenue growth of 8.5% YoY with expanding profitability metrics showing improving operational execution
  • + Exceptional ROE of 168.1% reflecting efficient deployment of shareholder capital despite capital constraints
ChatGPT
  • + Strong free cash flow generation with a 31.4% FCF margin
  • + Solid operating profitability with 23.9% operating margin and strong interest coverage
  • + Revenue growth of 8.5% indicates continuing business momentum

GCMG Stock Risks: GCM Grosvenor Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Extremely high leverage with Debt/Equity ratio of 15.87x and long-term debt of $428.4M against only $27M equity, creating financial fragility and refinancing risk
  • ! Minimal stockholders' equity base of $27M relative to $813.8M in assets indicates over-leveraged capital structure vulnerable to market downturns
  • ! Net income growth flat YoY (+0.0%) despite revenue growth suggests margin expansion was limited and operational leverage benefits have plateaued
  • ! Reliance on debt financing in rising interest rate environment could pressure future profitability despite strong coverage ratios
  • ! Asset-heavy business model with limited current/quick ratio disclosures raises questions about working capital management
ChatGPT
  • ! Very high leverage with debt-to-equity of 15.87x
  • ! Equity base is extremely small relative to assets and liabilities, which amplifies balance-sheet risk
  • ! Net income was essentially flat year over year, suggesting profit growth is lagging revenue and cash flow growth

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and trend (currently $175M annually)
  • * Debt-to-equity trajectory and refinancing schedule for $428.4M long-term debt
  • * Revenue growth acceleration relative to operating income expansion
  • * Stockholders' equity growth to strengthen capital base and reduce leverage ratio
  • * Operating margin maintenance above 23% and net margin above 8%
  • * Interest expense trends relative to operating income growth
ChatGPT
  • * Debt reduction and changes in stockholders' equity
  • * Sustained net income growth relative to revenue and free cash flow

GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$557.6M
Net Income
$45.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.42
Free Cash Flow
$175.0M
Total Assets
$813.8M
Cash Position
$242.1M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 31.4% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

GCMG Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 23.9%
Net Margin 8.1%
ROE 168.1%
ROA 5.6%
FCF Margin 31.4%

GCMG vs Market Sector: How GCM Grosvenor Inc. Compares

How GCM Grosvenor Inc. compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
GCMG 8.1%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
GCMG Sector
ROE
GCMG 168.1%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
GCMG Sector
Current Ratio
GCMG 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
GCMG Sector
Debt/Equity
GCMG 15.9x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
GCMG Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is GCM Grosvenor Inc. Stock Overvalued? GCMG Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, GCM Grosvenor Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
168.1%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
8.1%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
15.87x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

GCM Grosvenor Inc. Balance Sheet: GCMG Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
15.87x
Debt/Assets
84.3%
Interest Coverage
22.53x
Long-term Debt
$428.4M

GCMG Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

GCMG 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $531.6M, Net Income $0, EPS $0.00. Year 2022: Revenue $531.6M, Net Income $4.0M, EPS $-0.58. Year 2023: Revenue $531.6M, Net Income $21.5M, EPS $0.28. Year 2024: Revenue $514.0M, Net Income $19.8M, EPS $0.28. Year 2025: Revenue $557.6M, Net Income $12.8M, EPS $-0.28.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: GCM Grosvenor Inc.'s revenue has shown modest growth of 5% over the 5-year period. The most recent EPS of $-0.28 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

GCMG Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
31.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

GCMG Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for GCM Grosvenor Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $122.9M $4.2M $0.03
Q2 2025 $117.0M $4.8M $0.04
Q1 2025 $108.9M $463.0K $-0.02
Q3 2024 $121.7M $4.2M $0.03
Q2 2024 $107.6M $3.6M $0.04
Q1 2024 $99.1M -$1.2M $-0.10
Q3 2023 $121.7M $3.1M $0.02
Q2 2023 $104.4M $3.6M $0.13

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

GCM Grosvenor Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$183.5M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$30.7M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$8.5M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

GCMG SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for GCM Grosvenor Inc. (CIK: 0001819796)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775161793.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775161759.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775161718.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775161689.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form410826005_04022026.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about GCMG

What is the AI rating for GCMG?

GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (STRONG BUY) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 82% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are GCMG's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional free cash flow generation at $175M (31.4% FCF margin) demonstrating strong cash conversion and business sustainability. Outstanding operating margin of 23.9% with net margin of 8.1% showing pricing power and operational efficiency in the investment advisory sector. ChatGPT: Strong free cash flow generation with a 31.4% FCF margin. Solid operating profitability with 23.9% operating margin and strong interest coverage.

What are the risks of investing in GCMG?

Claude: Extremely high leverage with Debt/Equity ratio of 15.87x and long-term debt of $428.4M against only $27M equity, creating financial fragility and refinancing risk. Minimal stockholders' equity base of $27M relative to $813.8M in assets indicates over-leveraged capital structure vulnerable to market downturns. ChatGPT: Very high leverage with debt-to-equity of 15.87x. Equity base is extremely small relative to assets and liabilities, which amplifies balance-sheet risk.

What is GCMG's revenue and growth?

GCM Grosvenor Inc. reported revenue of $557.6M.

Does GCMG pay dividends?

GCM Grosvenor Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find GCMG SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for GCM Grosvenor Inc. (CIK: 0001819796) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is GCMG's EPS?

GCM Grosvenor Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.42.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is GCMG a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, GCM Grosvenor Inc. has a BUY rating with 82% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is GCMG stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for GCMG: ROE of 168.1% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 8.1% (sector avg: 12%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy GCMG stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives GCM Grosvenor Inc. a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is GCMG's free cash flow?

GCM Grosvenor Inc.'s operating cash flow is $183.5M, with capital expenditures of $8.5M. FCF margin is 31.4%.

How does GCMG compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 8.1% (avg: 12%), ROE 168.1% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Is GCM Grosvenor Inc. carrying too much debt?

GCMG has a debt-to-equity ratio of 15.87x, which is above the Market sector average of 0.7x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

Why is GCMG's return on equity (ROE) so high?

GCM Grosvenor Inc. has a return on equity of 168.1%, significantly above the Market sector average of 15%. A high ROE indicates the company is efficient at generating profits from shareholder equity. This is supported by a 8.1% net margin.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 25, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI